Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):
| Program | Status | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| Pan Am* | canceled | 0.42 |
| Charlie's Angels * | canceled | 0.48 |
| Work It! * | canceled | 0.61 |
| Cougar Town |  |
0.65 |
| Body Of Proof* |  |
0.66 |
| Man Up * | canceled | 0.66 |
| The River* | |
0.66 |
| Missing | |
0.67 |
| GCB | |
0.80 |
| Scandal | |
0.82 |
| Castle |  |
0.88 |
| Last Man Standing | |
0.91 |
| Private Practice | |
0.94 |
| Happy Endings |  |
1.00 |
| Revenge | |
1.01 |
| Suburgatory | |
1.01 |
| The Middle | |
1.02 |
| Desperate Housewives | final season | 1.03 |
| Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 | |
1.19 |
| Once Upon A Time | |
1.28 |
| Grey's Anatomy | |
1.44 |
| Modern Family | |
2.03 |
-
While the retentionistas are likely howling, a decent ratings start for Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23 has it debut as "likely to be renewed", but predictions based on early ratings are subject to change rapidly. Stay tuned.
Following the ratings loser Titanic special, GCB fell to a series low 1.5 adults 18-49 rating on Sunday. The trigger happy would predict it likely to be canceled now, but since it had a string of prior non-dreadful ratings, I'm not so quick to move it from a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.
Why is Cougar Town just a "toss up" with its dreadful ratings instead of "likely to be canceled" or worse? Because of past (negative) experience, I'm keeping shows in their third seasons (even shortened ones) no lower than a "toss up" because of potential syndication related benefits.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
Notes:
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
-
- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012 - - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.
GCB – 18 (-2)
CASTLE – 22
REVENGE – 22 (-1)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 20
THE MIDDLE – 25 (+1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 20 (+2)
MODERN FAMILY – 21 (+3)
APARTMENT 23 – 18 (-3)
Everything’s 18-25, wow close game.
Hope the Middle stays in the lead…
GCB – 22 (+2)
CASTLE – 19 (-1)
REVENGE – 29 (+3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 18 (-2)
THE MIDDLE – 18 (-3)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 19
MODERN FAMILY – 18 (+1)
APARTMENT 23 – 23
@ Nick.. You were too late
I went on from Grey’s.
Go Nashville, Scruples, and 666 Park Avenue!
Fixing the crossed votes:
GCB – 20
CASTLE – 21
REVENGE – 25
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 18
THE MIDDLE – 22
ONCE UPON A TIME – 20
MODERN FAMILY – 22
APARTMENT 23 – 20
GCB – 23 (+1)
CASTLE – 17 (-2)
REVENGE – 32 (+3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 20 (+2)
THE MIDDLE – 18
ONCE UPON A TIME – 16 (-3)
MODERN FAMILY – 17 (-1)
APARTMENT 23 – 23
I think all of these show stand a chance its going to come down to whats gonna do the best in each time slot. Its gonna be interstring how it plays out.
GCB – 22 (-1)
CASTLE – 20 (+3)
REVENGE – 34 (+2)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 18 (-2)
THE MIDDLE – 19 (+1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 13 (-3)
MODERN FAMILY – 17
APARTMENT 23 – 23
Fixing again lol
GCB – 21
CASTLE – 19
REVENGE – 28
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 20
THE MIDDLE – 22
ONCE UPON A TIME – 17
MODERN FAMILY – 21
APARTMENT 23 – 20
oh i give up. everyone posting at the same damn time. Rebecca or tvfreak please fix this hot mess of a game.
Ok i’ll try 1 last time
GCB – 20
CASTLE – 22
REVENGE – 30
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 18
THE MIDDLE – 23
ONCE UPON A TIME – 14
MODERN FAMILY – 21
APARTMENT 23 – 20
@rob
Thanks for fixing. I was away from computer.
My proposed 2012-13 schedule for ABC:
MONDAY
8:00 – Dancing With the Stars
10:00 – Castle / Nashville (midseason)
TUESDAY
8:00 – Dancing with the Stars Results Show
8:30 – White Van Man (fall) / American Judy (midseason)
9:00 – Cougar Town (13 episodes with option for back-9)
9:30 – Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt. 23 (13 episodes with option for back-9) / Happy Endings (midseason)
10:00 – Private Practice (fall) / Zero Hour (midseason)
WEDNESDAY
8:00 – The Middle
8:30 – Suburgatory (fall/late-spring) / Untitled Dan Fogelman Project (midseason)
9:00 – Modern Family
9:30 – The Family Trap (fall) / How to Live With Your Parents For The Rest of Your Life (midseason)
10:00 – Revenge (split season: fall/spring) / Americana (midseason)
THURSDAY
8:00 – Last Man Standing
8:30 – Malibu Country (fall) / The Manzinis (midseason)
9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy
10:00 – Last Resort (fall) / The Gilded Lillys (midseason)
FRIDAY
8:00 – Wife Swap / Shark Tank
9:00 – Primetime: What Would You Do?
10:00 – 20/20
SATURDAY
8:00 – ENCORES
SUNDAY
7:00 – America’s Funniest Home Videos
8:00 – Once Upon A Time
9:00 – 666 Park Avenue (fall) / Gotham (midseason)
10:00 – GCB (13 episodes with option for back-9 pickup) / Devious Maids (midseason) **
** Could also be a slot for Scandal depending on ratings
GCB – 22 (+2)
CASTLE – 19 (-3)
REVENGE – 30
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 21 (+3)
THE MIDDLE – 24 (+1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 12 (-2)
MODERN FAMILY – 20 (-1)
APARTMENT 23 – 20
GCB – 19 (-3)
CASTLE – 20 (+1)
REVENGE – 28 (-2)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 21
THE MIDDLE – 24
ONCE UPON A TIME – 15 (+3)
MODERN FAMILY – 19 (-1)
APARTMENT 23 – 22 (+2)
GCB – 16 (-3)
CASTLE – 23 (+3)
REVENGE – 28
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 19(-2)
THE MIDDLE – 23 (-1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 16 (+1)
MODERN FAMILY – 21 (+2)
APARTMENT 23 – 22
When I first saw the promos, I said that the program ws destined to air one or 2 episodes and then feed The Bear. After watching 2 full epispdes it maybe be a keeper.
Hoping with all my heart that Cougar Town will be renewed. I still don’t understand why ABC would almost totally ignore (I’m talking about messing with its schedule and lack of promotion) a show they own and that all it needs is for more people to realize it’s NOT about what the title suggests!
@Mandy
Well, the most recent episode actually had something to do with cougars, lol. A cougar statue Travis, Bobby and some others stole from the college, hehe. I loved that. And it’s an awesome comedy.
new vote
GCB – 16
CASTLE – 25 (+2)
REVENGE – 28
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 17 (-2)
THE MIDDLE – 26 (+3)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 17 (+1)
MODERN FAMILY – 20 (-1)
APARTMENT 23 – 19 (-3) I like the show; I just don’t want it to beat the others.
quote from CT [3.8]:
Travis (talking to roommates about the stolen cougar statue): Plus, I learned something that’s gonna help us in college. Campus cops will forget anything for 20 bucks.
Campus Cop, in their house: They will.
I am not sure if i have stated this before, but I hope GCB gets canceled or at least the very least moved to a different night. I do not see GCB as a successor to DH at all. Devious Maids looks way more interesting and looks like it will try to break to latino stero-type unlike GCB which has embraced pretty much all stero-types about the south.