CBS: 'NYC 22' Will Be Canceled, But That Won't Help 'Unforgettable' Or 'A Gifted Man'

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.57
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.58
The Good Wife renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.71
Unforgettable :oops: 0.72
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.91
CSI renewed 0.93
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.02
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
Criminal Minds renewed 1.07
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.14
NCIS renewed 1.26
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.35
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

-
As CBS' late season drama replacements typically do, NYC 22 arrived with a resounding ratings flop on Sunday night. It is certain to be canceled.

But that won't help A Gifted Man or Unforgettable, they're still certain to be canceled. CBS will want three hours free for new dramas next fall, and there's no room on their schedule for those ratings losers.

CBS will also cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami). More sitcom time could save Rules of Engagement and/or Rob, but without it, they're both likely gone too.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • SherLOCKED (The Mighty Cringe)

    If NYC 22 gets canceled, CSI:Miami gets at least one more season. I am then happy.

  • Jay S.

    Even CBS can’t launch a successful network cop show anymore.

  • Joe Chavez

    Our family LOVES “ROB !!!” Nice to have a positive Latino comedy on the air for once. Cheech and Eugenio are magnifico !!!

  • Lewis

    I don’t get Rules of Engagement possibly getting canceled. It will be at 87 episodes after this season. Wouldn’t the possibility of it passing 88 episodes and even getting to 100, almost guarantee it’s renewal?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I don’t get Rules of Engagement possibly getting canceled. It will be at 87 episodes after this season. Wouldn’t the possibility of it passing 88 episodes and even getting to 100, almost guarantee it’s renewal?”

    Ordinarily yes, but unless CBS expands its comedy time next Fall, where are they going to put it?

  • Robbie Bishop

    CBS should cancel “Unforgettable,” “A Gifted Man,” and “NYC 22″ (and maybe “CSI: NY”).

    “CSI: Miami” should at least get renewed for a final season, and if “CSI: NY” gets renewed, it should also be for a final season.

  • Jay S.

    ROE can just keep going for another 13 episodes as schedule spackle. CBS doesn’t need a place for it.

  • DonJ1973

    Why did CBS even bother greenlighting NYC 22? It’s basically getting the same treatment as Miami Medical from 2 years ago. Launching a new drama March or April is almost a guaranteed lock for cancellation.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Why did CBS even bother greenlighting NYC 22?”

    Spare drama, in the case of immediate, catastrophic failure of A Gifted Man, Unforgettable or Person Of Interest.

    Since there was no catastrophic failure, it was destined for a late premiere and almost certain death.

  • Alexis

    My guess is they’ll ax CSI NY and bring back CSI M for one final 19 episode season. It still makes far more $ for the studio in syndication worldwide, and they can wring the “final season” drama (legitimate jeopardy for series regulars) for passable domestic ratings. They could also tie up many story lines which of course the network could care less about for sentiment, but they’ll calculate it can mean ratings (some viewers that have left may tune in for the final go-round). But who knows.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “My guess is they’ll ax CSI NY and bring back CSI M for one final 19 episode season.”

    Forced to guess, that’s what I’d go with. But I am not forced, so they’ll both stay at “toss up”. ;)

  • Stephen

    I wonder if NYC 22 will be moved to Saturday or summer b4 May. Don’t know what CBS would air last few weeks of season Sun @ 10 though.

    CSI: NY still the most likely of CSIs to end. Miami might get renewed for a reduced # of eps.

    Rob and Rules is interesting. Assuming CBS has 8 sitcom slots by the fall then right now they need 3 new sitcoms if they cancel both Rob & Rules. Either CBS renews one for the fall schedule so they only have to launch 2 new sitcoms in fall while shuffling/expanding the comedy slate or they hold one or both for midseason to fill in if any of their new shows go the route of Gentlemen from this past fall. I’m still feeling as though Rules returns at some point – I don’t really see the upside in CBS renewing Rob but maybe with the expanded comedy time it could make it to season 2.

  • TVDude

    “unless CBS expands its comedy time next Fall, where are they going to put it?”

    Where ever they want. On Saturdays, in front of TBBT, behind it, hidden on a night of repeats. There are many options.

    To a lesser extent, the same can be said for Rob. The problem is, I don’t see CBS throwing Rob away like they are OK with for Rules.

    I read Rules has SIX episodes already written for the next season. If that’s true, I think Sony might push for a renewal. Six episodes for a show that’s not already renewed seems like a lot. Has it happened before? Yes, but I think it’s unlikely given the situation.

    If Rules does get canceled, I think CBS might give Mike and Molly the same treatment. They can’t be too happy with it.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I wonder if NYC 22 will be moved to Saturday or summer b4 May. Don’t know what CBS would air last few weeks of season Sun @ 10 though.”

    Last year they yanked Chaos, but they had the ability to move Flashpoint in a bit early to what was the same timeslot it was going to have during the summer.

    Unless they have whatever show is airing at 10pm Sunday in the summer ready right now, my guess is they stick with it.

  • David Howell

    “ROE can just keep going for another 13 episodes as schedule spackle. CBS doesn’t need a place for it.”

    Or kept as a spare sitcom in the same way that NYC 22 was a spare drama. The difference being that it doesn’t matter if it falls short and can’t get renewal again, because it’ll be a final season order anyway!

    Rob goes, there’s no way it gets to 88. Miami has to stay because a near-midnight finish for an unannounced series finale for a much-loved show would not go down well at all and may hurt the network in general a little. This matters to CBS, because why else would they renew TGW, a serialized (so less valuable in syndication) show with cancellation-worthy numbers?

  • tvfreak

    Sheesh. Even with NYC 22 being the flop we all expected it to be, Bill still thinks Unforgettable is going down! As long as it stays the highest-rated not-yet-renewed drama, even by a measly .01 on the Index, I see no reason for CBS to ax it. Seriously, does anyone else think CBS would not be likely to just annihilate 5 hours’ worth of drama shows at once?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    @TVDude, re: Rules

    “On Saturdays,”

    Possible, but unless sitcom time expands, CBS can only premiere one new sitcom. That would surprise me.

    “in front of TBBT”

    Moving TBBT to 9pm means CBS has expanded their sitcom time. In that case, as I have always noted, a Rules renewal would not be a surprise.

    “hidden on a night of repeats”

    You’re, repeating yourself. Is there such a night other than Saturday?

    “I read Rules has SIX episodes already written for the next season. If that’s true, I think Sony might push for a renewal.”

    OF COURSE Sony is pushing for a renewal. And they’re almost certainly going to make it CHEAP! Still, without sitcom time expansion, where does CBS put it?

    ” I think CBS might give Mike and Molly the same treatment. They can’t be too happy with it.”

    That comment is nuts. CBS produces M&M, it’s in the second year of a certain run into syndication.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Or kept as a spare sitcom in the same way that NYC 22 was a spare drama.”

    Possible. But that only makes sense if CBS expands its sitcom time.

    If they don’t expand sitcom time, then they debut only one new sitcom, and almost certainly have other *new* sitcoms as mid-season spares.

  • Ultima

    @tvfreak
    Sheesh. Even with NYC 22 being the flop we all expected it to be, Bill still thinks Unforgettable is going down!

    NYC 22 did what everyone expected, so why would you expect people to change their projections as a result of that?

  • Concerned Citizen

    I think CBS will expand their sitcom time and give Rules of Engagement a shortened final season to add some more episodes to sell into syndication. They’ll air it when/if one of their new shows fail or just whenever they can find the time. I don’t see any justification for keeping Rob whether they expand their comedy or not. CSI Miami could also get a similar deal, but I’m less confident about that.

    Monday
    8:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    8:30 – Mike and Molly
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – Partners
    10:00 – Hawaii 5-0

    Tuesday
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS:LA
    10:00 – Elementary

    Wednesday
    8:00 – reality
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    Thursday
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Louie CK sitcom
    9:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    9:30 – Super Fun Night
    10:00 – Person of Interest

    Friday
    8:00 – reality
    9:00 – The Mentalist
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    8:00 – reality
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – Ralph Lamb

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures