CBS: 'NYC 22' Will Be Canceled, But That Won't Help 'Unforgettable' Or 'A Gifted Man'

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.57
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.58
The Good Wife renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.71
Unforgettable :oops: 0.72
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.91
CSI renewed 0.93
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.02
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
Criminal Minds renewed 1.07
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.14
NCIS renewed 1.26
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.35
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

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As CBS' late season drama replacements typically do, NYC 22 arrived with a resounding ratings flop on Sunday night. It is certain to be canceled.

But that won't help A Gifted Man or Unforgettable, they're still certain to be canceled. CBS will want three hours free for new dramas next fall, and there's no room on their schedule for those ratings losers.

CBS will also cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami). More sitcom time could save Rules of Engagement and/or Rob, but without it, they're both likely gone too.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Sheesh. Even with NYC 22 being the flop we all expected it to be, Bill still thinks Unforgettable is going down! As long as it stays the highest-rated not-yet-renewed drama, even by a measly .01 on the Index, I see no reason for CBS to ax it. Seriously, does anyone else think CBS would not be likely to just annihilate 5 hours’ worth of drama shows at once?”

    CBS canceled 5 drama hours in 2009-10. They only canceled 4 last year because they pushed Undercover Boss into the spring. That trick is unusable again.

  • tvfreak

    @Ultima: I didn’t expect people to change their projections. I’m just shocked that they seem so…set in stone. Someone, either Bill or myself, will have egg on the face come May upfronts re: Unforgettable.

  • Ultima

    @tvfreak
    As long as it stays the highest-rated not-yet-renewed drama, even by a measly .01 on the Index, I see no reason for CBS to ax it.

    Two reasons. One, CBS may not renew any more dramas because they will either use Undercover Boss in the fall or have three hours of new dramas in addition to another hour of comedy. Two, if CBS does renew another drama, CSI Miami is in syndication, which makes it worth significantly more than Unforgettable, despite the very slight ratings difference.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I didn’t expect people to change their projections. I’m just shocked that they seem so…set in stone.”

    The season is almost 90% over. Very little is subject to change at this point. And for unforgettable, the writing has been on the wall for months.

    “Someone, either Bill or myself, will have egg on the face come May upfronts re: Unforgettable.”

    It will be you.

    Another prediction: You’ll be conspicuously absent. ;)

  • TVDude

    “That comment is nuts. CBS produces M&M, it’s in the second year of a certain run into syndication.”

    I think you misunderstood me. M&M won’t get canceled. I wasn’t saying that. If Rules gets canceled, Mike and Molly might be the show to get the poor treatment and scheduling. If Rules gets canceled, M&M will be the weakest of the existing shows.

  • ccemerson

    I know networks will be the ultimate decision maker, especially CBS. Wouldn*t it be fun in April for them to air their pilots that they are reviewing for fall and see what connects with the viewer? Fun spackle to plug a hole like now when they are forced to air a dud like NYC22. Have like Idol/The Voice text/vote online a keeper or dump it.

  • Jack

    2012-13 schleude:
    Monday
    8:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    8:30 – Mike and Molly
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – Partners
    10:00 – Hawaii 5-0

    Tuesday
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS:LA
    10:00 – CSI: Miami

    Wednesday
    8:00 – reality
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    Thursday
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – The Big Bang Theory
    9:00 – Person of Interest
    10:00 – new drama

    Friday
    8:00 – reality
    9:00 – new drama
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    8:00 – reality
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – The Mentalist

  • tvfreak

    @Bill: Sigh. :( In that case, CBS should change its full name to Cancellation Bear Silagers. (Silagers being a fancy word for Feeders.)

    Bringing the game over, not a new vote:

    THE MENTALIST – 21
    HAWAII FIVE-0 – 5
    PERSON OF INTEREST – 29
    MIKE & MOLLY – 12
    NCIS – 24
    HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER – 41
    THE BIG BANG THEORY – 62

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I think you misunderstood me. M&M won’t get canceled. I wasn’t saying that. If Rules gets canceled, Mike and Molly might be the show to get the poor treatment and scheduling. If Rules gets canceled, M&M will be the weakest of the existing shows.”

    Potential future “poor treatment” isn’t something I care about.

    M&M is certain to last at least 4 seasons on CBS to get the episodes for syndication, regardless of its “treatment”.

  • ccemerson

    How many new Undercover Boss eps. to they still have ?? Shuffle that to Sundays pronto to bolster their Sunday hole.Fill Fridays 8pm w/repeats or boot NYC22 there to burn off.

  • tvfreak

    @Bill: Would you like to place your order in advance for how you want me to cook the eggs on my face? ;)

    @ccemerson: Cool idea. But CBS isn’t much of a young people’s network, except on the comedy front. On the dramas, it probably wouldn’t work as well.

  • DonJ1973

    According to thefutoncritic.com, CBS has only 4 episodes of NYC 22 scheduled to air this season. I wonder if they filmed 13 or a short order. Either way, some episodes aren’t airing or will be burned off this summer when the show gets cancelled.

  • Ultima

    @ccemerson
    Wouldn*t it be fun in April for them to air their pilots that they are reviewing for fall and see what connects with the viewer?

    Most pilots aren’t ready for screening until the first week of May, by which time netwok schedules are usually completely full due to sweeps.

  • DonJ1973

    Also, I found it funny the big selling point of this show was Robert De Niro being attached as Producer. Who the hell cares? Unless Robert De Niro was going to be a recurring guest star, his name as Producer is meaningless to the average viewer.

  • TVDude

    I don’t disagree with that. I’m just pointing out that if CBS kills one black sheep, it’s likely another will be born. Rules has been CBS filler show for several seasons now as they try to find the next big hit. Without Rules, another show will probably fill that void, and I was saying that Mike and Molly is probably it (unless Rob returns instead).

    CBS could still launch a new show and have Rules on Saturday. It would be surprising, but it was surprising last year. Putting Rules on Saturday, canceling Rob would leave one slot open on a week night, perfect for launching one new show.

    Given the amount of comedy pilot’s they’ve ordered, I would place my bets on sitcom expansion. I’m just mentioning that Rules could still possibly return even if sitcom time doesn’t expand (which I think it will, but it’s hard to play that game).

    I agree with the bubble status on every show, I’m not saying I disagree. In terms of percentage, I think Rules has probably a 60% chance of returning. That’s just my opinion though.

  • Ultima

    @ccemerson
    How many new Undercover Boss eps. to they still have ?? Shuffle that to Sundays pronto to bolster their Sunday hole.Fill Fridays 8pm w/repeats or boot NYC22 there to burn off.

    They have three Undercover Boss episodes left. I doubt they’ll move them as they’re leading into new dramas on Friday and there’s little point to putting it on Sunday at 10. If CBS decides to pull NYC 22 early, they’ll probably just replace it with drama repeats.

  • DonJ1973

    @TvDude

    Just to make a correction from your earlier comment. Mike and Molly is a Warner Brothers comedy. CBS doesn’t produce it.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Just to make a correction from your earlier comment. Mike and Molly is a Warner Brothers comedy. CBS doesn’t produce it.”

    That was my bad. Comment corrected.

  • Rebecca

    Rules has five episodes left to air this season and so far since they came back I think they only mentioned Jeff and Audrey’s “baby on the way via surrogate” once (when Jeff had to empty out a spare room to make room for the baby). I hope more will be settled re: the baby coming and the other couple’s wedding/elopement/whatever soon; otherwise they’ve wasted the last of their season (if they don’t return). Aggravating.

  • Avery

    2012-13 Schedule

    Sunday
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – The Mentalist

    Monday
    8:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    8:30 – Partners
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – Mike & Molly
    10:00 – Elementary

    Tuesday
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS:LA
    10:00– Hawaii 5-0

    Wednesday
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    Thursday
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Louis C.K./Spike Feresten Project
    9:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    9:30 – Super Fun Night
    10:00 – Person of Interest

    Friday
    8:00 – Martin Lawrence Project
    8:30 – Ben Falcone/Larry Dorf Project
    9:00 – Widow Detective
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

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