CBS: 'NYC 22' Will Be Canceled, But That Won't Help 'Unforgettable' Or 'A Gifted Man'

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.57
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.58
The Good Wife renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.71
Unforgettable :oops: 0.72
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.91
CSI renewed 0.93
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.02
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
Criminal Minds renewed 1.07
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.14
NCIS renewed 1.26
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.35
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

-
As CBS' late season drama replacements typically do, NYC 22 arrived with a resounding ratings flop on Sunday night. It is certain to be canceled.

But that won't help A Gifted Man or Unforgettable, they're still certain to be canceled. CBS will want three hours free for new dramas next fall, and there's no room on their schedule for those ratings losers.

CBS will also cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami). More sitcom time could save Rules of Engagement and/or Rob, but without it, they're both likely gone too.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • One

    I think they’re both done. Here’s what a hypothetical schedule would look like for CBS next fall, assuming certain variables:

    Mondays
    8pm How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 New comedy
    9pm Two and a Half Men
    9:30 New Comedy or Mike & Molly
    10pm New Drama

    Tuesdays
    8pm NCIS
    9pm NCIS:LA
    10pm Hawaii Five-0

    Wednesdays
    8pm Survivor
    9pm Criminal Minds
    10pm CSI

    Thursdays
    8pm Big Bang Theory
    8:30 New Comedy or Rules of Engagement or Mike & Molly
    9pm 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 New Comedy or Rules of Engagement
    10pm Person of Interest

    Fridays
    8pm Undercover Boss
    9pm The Mentalist
    10pm Blue Bloods

    Sundays
    7pm 60 Minutes
    8pm Amazing Race
    9pm New Drama
    10pm Good Wife or New Drama

    Held for midseason
    Good Wife + One New Drama or Two New Dramas

    No realistic CBS fall schedule leaves room ANY non-renewed dramas. Hence why I think neither CSI spinoff has a shot at next season.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “CBS doesn’t like any of its Shows what CBS loves is the money they represent.”

    For CBS shareholders thank goodness that’s the case.

    “Several years ago, they Renewed NBC’s ‘Medium’ not because it was a creative Show that didn’t deserve to be canceled but because it had a 2.0 Adults 18-49 (and it was perfect for the Friday at 9).”

    No, because CBS produced the show and needed to create some extra episodes to get it into syndication, they slapped it into Friday 8pm for as long as that required.

    “They also canceled ‘Ghost Whisperer’, ‘NUMB3RS’ and ‘JAG’ without reliable reasons.”

    Again, those damn ratings and the business revenue they represent getting in the way of fans wishes!

  • Ralph Hahn

    @Bill Gorman: >>> “Why did CBS even bother greenlighting NYC 22?”

    Spare drama, in the case of immediate, catastrophic failure of A Gifted Man, Unforgettable or Person Of Interest. <<<

    "Unforgettable's" numbers have been rising, CBS owns the show and their season ender is scheduled for the 2nd week of May. Surely, you don't put a show destined to be canceled during May sweeps. "CSI:Miami" went out with a whimper in April. Not only was the episode aired around 11PM ET after CBS's (usual) sports runoff, it's rebroadcast six days later wasn't exactly publicized…and they further dissed "Miami" by airing on Saturday night…AFTER a re-run of another show on the bubble.

    It's more likely that Horatio Caine will be hanging up his 'shades' when the news comes officially for CBS.

    I have faith in Les Moonves. He LOVES Poppy and he'll give the show the green light for at least a partial 2nd season.

    I believe in the above statement, but as a former journalist, NOTHING is 'certain' but death & taxes. A good analogy since this IS Tax Day. I'll wait for the official word from CBS before I'm a thoroughly convinced that U/F will waive bye-bye next month.

    The sad, worried pink face you have listed next to the show sure looks lonely up there. Further down from the list from worst to first.

    I thought that NY22 was CBS's 'best hope for a hit' that the net was going to see how they scored before anymore cancelations. Your further reinforcement in your headline that reads "…but that won't help "Unforgettable" or a "A Gifted Man" puts you further on the spot for your "CERTAINty" a few weeks ago that U/F and "Gifted" are definately gone forever.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “No realistic CBS fall schedule leaves room ANY non-renewed dramas. Hence why I think neither CSI spinoff has a shot at next season.”

    While I think it’s likely CBS expands their sitcom time, I don’t think it’s *certain*.

  • Carmen

    @ Ultima your comment (in part) in response to another poster

    “You do realize that the overwhelming majority of scripts and pilots never make it onto the schedule, right? Getting a fall premiere and airing 16 episodes is getting a chance.

    A Gifted Man just didn’t do anything with the chance it had”

    I don’t know, I think that is a little harsh. Yes, it is certainly true that AGM ‘didn’t to anything with the chance it had’ but it needs to be evaluated deeper than that.

    I wonder what a network (in this case CBS – but any network) expects out of a Friday night at 8:00 scripted show? And beyond that, what they expect for a specific genre type show?

    Do they know? or is it sort of like the Supreme Court rulings on pornography.That is, “I can’t define it, but I know it when I see it”!

    With a personal viewpoint, I don’t think a medical show is a good fit for Friday night in the first place. If you are going to go scripted, then a cop show or sci fi is a better fit for Friday.

    I fully believe that CBS should have reversed the schedule for Unforgetable and A Gifted Man.
    Would they have succeeded? Perhaps not, we’ll never know. But I think both would have have a better shot. A Gifted Main would have done (much?) better against the very weak Tuesday at 10:00 competition and Unforgettable (with its more ‘Friday nightish’ genre) might have gotten a 1.5 or so on a Friday.

    We’ll never know, but I think it was poor scheduling by CBS.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Surely, you don’t put a show destined to be canceled during May sweeps.”

    Networks air season finales that turn out to be series finales of ultimately canceled shows during May sweeps all the time.

    “Not only was the episode aired around 11PM ET after CBS’s (usual) sports runoff, it’s rebroadcast six days later wasn’t exactly publicized…and they further dissed “Miami” by airing on Saturday night…AFTER a re-run of another show on the bubble.

    It’s more likely that Horatio Caine will be hanging up his ‘shades’ when the news comes officially for CBS.”

    CSI:Miami cancellation wouldn’t surprise me (i.e. the meaning of “toss up”). Its cancellation wouldn’t make “room” for Unforgettable, but instead either an extra hour of sitcoms or another new drama.

    “I have faith in Les Moonves. He LOVES Poppy and he’ll give the show the green light for at least a partial 2nd season.”

    Les loves all his shows. Even the ones he’s going to cancel.

    “I thought that NY22 was CBS’s ‘best hope for a hit’ that the net was going to see how they scored before anymore cancelations.”

    That was a pretty goofy thought. More logical was that it was a lowly regarded stopgap that wasn’t needed, and was then shuffled off to an end of the season burn off. As for the shows that weren’t renewed a couple weeks ago, either they’re all going to be canceled, or CBS is waiting to see how its pilots turn out before making more decisions.

    “Your further reinforcement in your headline that reads “…but that won’t help “Unforgettable” or a “A Gifted Man” puts you further on the spot for your “CERTAINty” a few weeks ago that U/F and “Gifted” are definately gone forever.”

    I guess then that you’re “on the spot” about the Unforgettable being renewed nonsense.

    The inclusion of AGM and UF in the title was because NYC 22 is unlikely to get much search juice, considering its situation.

  • Mike

    heres what i believe CBS’s Cancelled and new shows will be (which includes already cancelled shows).

    Cancelled Dramas:

    A Gifted Man
    Nyc 22
    CSI Miami or NY (Or Both)
    Unforgettable

    Cancelled Sitcoms:

    How to be a gentleman
    Rules Of Engagement (Unless they’ll do like last year and renew it for saturdays which is something i anticipated to see how the ratings would have done but it never happened)
    ROB

    New Dramas:

    Elementary
    Ralph Lamb
    Applebaum
    Baby Big Shot
    Berlanti Wootton Project (Possibly but maby not)

    New Comedies:

    Partners
    Untitles Martin Lawrence Project
    Super FUn Night

  • Liz

    @Ralph Hahn

    “Unforgettable’s” numbers have been rising

    Wrong. It was wrong the last time you said it, and it will continue to be wrong no matter how many times you say it.

    Since coming back from its winter hiatus, Unforgettable has risen week-to-week four times. It has stayed the same or dropped four times.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    ““Unforgettable’s” numbers have been rising

    Wrong. It was wrong the last time you said it, and it will continue to be wrong no matter how many times you say it.”

    Liz is correct. Here are the original episode UF ratings since Jan 1.

    2.6 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.8

  • Ralph Hahn

    Bill: >>> I guess then that you’re “on the spot” about the Unforgettable being renewed nonsense. <<<

    I'm not on the spot. I'm actually 50/50 on the chances of "Unforgettable's"
    renewal. If I felt stronger about the show's chances, I would probably use the word "likely." But, 'certain', to me, suggests that this is the inevitable and it's going to happen."

    Now, if you had a mole at CBS or someone who is in on the know NOW, you're certain is a certainty that you choose not to share.

    I like the show, but better shows that I have watched were canned…and I got over it. I will if U/F goes down.

    So, I'm NOT writing as a rabid fan. I'm just saying that 'certain' was a strong word to use, unless you were 110% assured by someone inside that the show will NOT be on the 2012-2013 schedule. But, as someone here who posted a week ago or so that she's on the inside and CBS was waiting for the show of strength for the pilots before rendering judgment on the shows not yet renewed by CBS. I believed her, so the words to the effect that 'best hope of a hit' wasn't exactly my sentiments, but it makes sense.

    BTW…I'm having a heck of a time getting your pages loaded today.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “BTW…I’m having a heck of a time getting your pages loaded today.”

    Interesting. Our site seems to be doing OK today.

    Try clearing your browser cache, and restarting your browser.

  • Ralph Hahn

    @Bill: >>> Try clearing your browser cache, and restarting your browser. <<<

    Thanks for the tip. I usually do that on my home PC. This is The Office (sans Steve Carrell) ;-)

  • oneiron

    Ax CSI-NY. Series is worn out and Sinise’s arrogance is grating. Move A Gifted Man to Wed night and it will find an audience. Rules of Engagement can be saved. Warburton is funny, Meagan Pryce is a babe and Timmy holds it all together. David Spade can easily be eliminated. He adds nothing

  • Ultima

    @Carmen
    “A Gifted Man just didn’t do anything with the chance it had”
    I don’t know, I think that is a little harsh.

    Broadcast TV is a harsh business.

    but it needs to be evaluated deeper than that.

    Fair enough.

    They could have switched Unforgettable and A Gifted Man. They could have also switched it with NYC 22 and not given it much of a chance at all.

    The bar was probably set fairly low for Friday; had A Gifted Man performed at the same level as CSI NY, it stays on for the full season and CBS figures out something else to do with Undercover Boss. Maybe it even gets renewed.

    CBS’ sitcoms are doing extremely well (about 50% better than their dramas), which really limits how many freshman dramas can be renewed and Person of Interest is obviously leading the pack. I think this results in the bar for a second freshman drama renewal being very high.

    A Gifted Man probably needed to be in the area of a 2.6 or so on Tuesdays in order to get a renewal in this environment. That’s an increase of 100% over what it got on Fridays. It’s impossible to know how it could have done, but I think it is unlikely it would have improved that much.

  • Ralph Hahn

    oneiron: >>> David Spade can easily be eliminated. He adds nothing <<<

    THAT didn't stop him from weaseling himself to the head of the cast on "Just Shoot Me." (He scored a lot more women than he did funny lines.)

    The show was supposed to be based around Laura San Giacomo. At least longtime actor George Segal was the biggest star coming in.

    I grew tired of Spade on his first season on SNL.

  • DonJ1973

    @oneiron

    What a stupid statement about Gary Sinise. If you follow what he’s done outside the show, he’s a big supporter of the troops overseas and performs chartity concerts all over the world with his Lt. Dan Band. He’s the last person you should call arrogant.

    Also, he was recently injured in a car accident and is recovering from that.

  • Erica

    April is just a terrible time to premiere shows. Why even bother? The same thing happened to Chaos last year.

  • Brooke

    That seriously blows. NYC 22 was actually pretty good. Figures. Something I like is axed already. Too bad they can’t give it to the CW. It would blossom there.

  • Petar

    You know what i start to like idea for 2 hours comedy block in thursday, but with two conditions/requirement:

    1 Thursday lineup to be: 9 TBBT – 9:30 2BG – 10 POI
    Think the fact that 2BG and PoI are from same year and season(CBS frontrunners – drama and sitcom) will help them in next years, because will age together! And TBBT is such a beast so they will not make move at least for few years!

    2 In 8(TBBT slot) to be martin lawrence show! Because i fear they will promote Conan show like girls option or version on big bang at this slot!

    And YES if CBS expand their sitcoms wich (if Ultima was correct with number when wrote 4.5s for CBS sitcoms and 3s for dramas) will me right BUT only if they have hits sitcoms no sitcoms like rob! And than really will have no space for dramas! Only one new at traditional new drama slotfor CBS tuesday at 10 and may be one at friday if TM go in sundays! CSI spin-offs and new dramas are dead in this case!

  • Rebecca

    Gee, a month from today it’ll all be over: The last day of the upfronts (with the 17th being for the CW). A month from now we’ll already know about NBC, Fox, CBS and ABC’s new and returning shows. I hope it’s mostly good news for all concerned.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures