NBC: 'Best Friends Forever' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Even If NBC *Loves* It!

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent :oops: 0.52
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.63
Best Friends Forever :oops: 0.65
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.82
Are You There, Chelsea? :cry: :cry: 0.92
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.97
Whitney :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night :| :| :| 1.01
Community :) :) :) :) 1.03
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.54
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.61

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After dropping to just a 0.9 adults rating in its second episode Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!

In other news, anyone suggesting that Law & Order: SVU is "on the bubble", is either crazy or playing crazy on the Internet to troll for traffic. You be the judge.

Bear pic hat tip to alert reader Cindy.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Evan

    Wasn’t Grimm already renewed

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Wasn’t Grimm already renewed”

    Yes. And that’s what the chart shows.

  • little_big_man

    I still wouldn’t bet any money on Harry’s Law being cancelled with the state NBC is in. Can they really lose 8 million viewers?

    If it’s really cancelled it would prove once and for all that total viewers don’t even matter a tiny bit….but if it’s renewed than the tvbtn guys would really lose their faces with the huge amount of ridicule they passed out over the weeks for everyone even thinking about the possibility of it being renewed.

    So even if I never saw an episode of this show and never plan to, the fate of Harry’s Law is almost the most interesting decision for me in these coming weeks because of the above mentioned reasons.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “If it’s really cancelled it would prove once and for all that total viewers don’t even matter a tiny bit”

    To you.

    Anyone paying attention has known that for a very, very long time.

  • Data

    Most of the shows I watch on NBC a safe. Too bad for Harry’s Law – if I’m being totally honest I feel bad for the show: They have the largest audience of any scripted NBC-show but can’t seem to get higher than 1.0 in the ratings. I don’t even get it because the total viewers haven’t decreased from its first season numbers but the target audience drastically has. Were the entire HL-audience 49 years of age when season one aired or how can this be explained?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Were the entire HL-audience 49 years of age when season one aired or how can this be explained?”

    More folks > 49 watching. Fewer folks 18-49 watching.

  • little_big_man

    I am already 95% convinced that total viewers don’t matter, but to my knowledge there has never been a case before where the weakest show in the demo has been the strongest show in total viewers on a network. So that’s what I mean when I say “once and for all”, because I’ve never seen a network cancelling their most watched scripted show because of week demo numbers. Or do you have an example of such a case in the past?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I’ve never seen a network cancelling their most watched scripted show because of week demo numbers. Or do you have an example of such a case in the past?”

    While HL is the most extreme example of “has the best viewership, has the worst demo ratings” since we began the site 5 seasons ago, there are plenty of examples of “has lots viewers, has bad demo ratings” that have been canceled in the past 5 seasons, most of them on CBS (Without A Trace, Cold Case,and many other CBS drama cancellations).

    But looking at past history risks forgetting the fact that average viewership IS ABSOLUTELY MEANINGLESS to the business of these ad supported TV networks. Their ads are priced on adults 18-49 ratings. Viewers outside that demo make them $0.

  • Fake Me Out

    IMHO

    I’ll go out on a limb and say Harry’s Law gets a 13 episode pick-up and is moved to Fridays @ 10pm after Grimm. Under normal circumstances I would never, ever, predict this but given the state of NBC’s (lack of) ratings I still think the total eyeballs (even if wearing glasses and fighting glacoma) will weigh in it’s favour. If it can get a 1.2 ~ 1.4 w/8+ million @ 10pm it’ll get a back 9 order. And if I’m wrong, I’m wrong, no biggie … but if I’m right … a summer full of “I told you so!” posts from me @ the boys! ;-)

    YMMV

    Help save Endgame and watch season 1 on Hulu

  • Jay S.

    “Their ads are priced on adults 18-49 ratings. Viewers outside that demo make them $0.”

    Which gets back to the question as to why they would put a Kathy Bates legal drama on the air in the first place. Also, why did they order the back nine and move it to the most-watched night of the week instead of dropping it or burning it off?

    The network’s treatment of HL is just not consistent with that of a typical show that is considered a flop.

  • little_big_man

    But none of those CBS dramas have been stronger in total viewers than the average CBS drama in those respective years.

    As I said: I also believe in theory that the show will be cancelled, but I wouldn’t bet any money on it compared to all the other shows with only one smiley-face and I’m really looking forward to the decision exactly because it is such a unique case.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Which gets back to the question as to why they would put a Kathy Bates legal drama on the air in the first place.”

    They thought it would do OK. And last year IT DID OK! This year it has declined substantially, even relative to other NBC shows.

    “Also, why did they order the back nine and move it to the most-watched night of the week instead of dropping it or burning it off?”

    They had nothing else to fill the air time. For god sakes, they still have Rock Center on their air, on Wednesday.

    Be certain that the new Comcast overlords will have plenty of new shows to fill the air time next season.

  • Fake Me Out

    I forgot to add to my comment another plus if HL is renewed … Kathy Bates releases promo pix of her eating bear steak … ummmm, bear steak … thems good eats.

  • Laura

    I just hope the cost of SVU doesn’t put NBC off. I think moving it to tuesdays with Parenthood before it could be a good move.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I just hope the cost of SVU doesn’t put NBC off.”

    That would really surprise me. Beggars for ratings do not typically get to be choosy on costs.

  • Brian

    How bout seeing an SVU/Grimm crossover?

  • SJ

    @Fake Me Out

    “Thems good eats” – sounds like a spiritual descendant of the season 1 promo in which Harry holds up a gun and says “It be this!” ;)

  • Tommy Mickens

    Well, at least there’s no silliness about Harry’s Law in the title this week.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Well, at least there’s no silliness about Harry’s Law in the title this week.”

    Since it was in last week, and there are only a couple weeks left, my guess is that it won’t make the headline again.

    As much as crazy fans would like to attribute malice to headline choices, they’re all about search engine seeding.

  • Jay S.

    “They had nothing else to fill the air time. For god sakes, they still have Rock Center on their air, on Wednesday.”

    Filling mid-week air time with burnoffs like Bent and BFF or a news show like Rock Center makes sense, because they are already paid for or are ultra-cheap to produce. You will not see them ordering additional episodes of BFF and moving it to Sunday like they did with HL.

    Look, I agree that HL will likely be cancelled. Some folks here are just acknowledging that the show has very unusual viewership numbers on a desperate network, so we really can’t be 100% sure the normal rules will apply in this one strange case.

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