Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):
| Program | Status | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| Prime Suspect* | canceled | 0.47 |
| Bent |  |
0.52 |
| The Firm* | canceled | 0.61 |
| Harry's Law | |
0.63 |
| Best Friends Forever | |
0.65 |
| Free Agents * | canceled | 0.66 |
| The Playboy Club * | canceled | 0.67 |
| Chuck (F)* | final season complete | 0.69 |
| Awake | |
0.82 |
| Are You There, Chelsea? |  |
0.92 |
| Grimm (F) | renewed | 0.93 |
| 30 Rock |  |
0.97 |
| Whitney | |
0.99 |
| Parenthood* | |
1.00 |
| Up All Night |  |
1.01 |
| Community | |
1.03 |
| Law & Order: SVU |  |
1.10 |
| Parks & Recreation | |
1.10 |
| Smash | renewed | 1.54 |
| The Office | |
1.61 |
-
After dropping to just a 0.9 adults rating in its second episode Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!
In other news, anyone suggesting that Law & Order: SVU is "on the bubble", is either crazy or playing crazy on the Internet to troll for traffic. You be the judge.
Bear pic hat tip to alert reader Cindy.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
Notes:
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- - more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.
@Rebecca,
I actaully saw your response over at the ABC R/C thread (I remember because of Desperate Housewives
).
Thanks for the instructions.
The Good Wife [3.20]:
Peter Florrick (to Jackie, his mom): Alicia and I are trying very hard to act like adults. I need you to BUTT OUT.
I may be one of the few to say it, but HL will not be cancelled…it’s definitely a show that can be syndicated…it’ll definitely be held over for next season and most likely last season.
MY PREDICTION FOR FALL 2012
Sunday
8:00 Parenthood (would be an amazing idea to move it to a “family” time)
9:00 The Apprentice/Celebrity Apprentice
Monday
8:00 Harry’s Law
9:00 The Voice
Tuesday
8:00 The Biggest Loser
9:00 New Drama
10:00 Smash
Wednesday
8:00 The Voice (results)
9:00 Whitney
9:30 Off the Rockers/Are You There, Chelsea? (If continued)
10:00 Law and Order: SVU
Thursday
8:00 30 Rock
8:30 Community
9:00 Parks and Rec
9:30 The Office
10:00 New Drama
Friday
8:00 New Reality
9:00 Dateline
10:00 New Drama
Saturday
8:00 Dateline
9:00 Rerun
10:00 Rerun
@Sean
I agree with you about Harry’s Law being continued at least until syndication, but some things you suggested wouldn’t work.
Here is my opinion factored in:
Sun-
Who’s Still Stamding OR Minute to Win it
New drama
Celebrity Apprentice
LUV the idea of Parenthood at 8 pm, but being on Sundays would only give it a half season order, and NBC needs its veteran shows. You also forgot 7 pm
Mon-
new drama
Voice
Not sure NBC should do 2 cycles of the Voice, but that might be what they need. Mixing HL with it won’t be good.
Tue-
Parenthood
TBL/Harry’s Law
Smush
Here’s where Parenthood would fit in. Also, The Biggest Loser would be only 1/2 season, as it’s aging.
Wed (fall)
Voiceresults
Whitney
new comedy
SVU
(spring)-
Voice Results
Off their Rockers
Whitney/new comedy (whichever does better)
The Voice on Wednesday is a good idea, but no Chelsea, and Off Their Rockers has been stronger than Whitney so far.
Thu-
Community
30R
P&R
@Foul
I think that proabably most of the shows I listed will get renewed, except Fashion Star they can dump since it’s the weaker of the reality shows they have. Also, I wanted to list Community as having a final season, but I don’t think NBC wants 3 major comedies to go after next year, as 30 Rock and The Office have to wrap themselves up. Imagine if there were more veteran shows that left with Friends and Frasier after the 2003-04 season?
Possible 2012-13 Primetime Schedule:
Sunday:
7:00-Dateline
8:00-New Drama
9:00-The Celebrity Apprentice (2 Seasons)
Monday:
8:00-The Voice (2 Seasons)
10:00-Smash
Tuesday:
8:00-The Biggest Loser (2 Seasons)
10:00-Parenthood
Wednesday:
8:00-Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
8:30-New Comedy
9:00-Whitney
9:30-New Comedy
10:00-Law and Order: SVU
Thursday:
8:00-Community
8:30-30 Rock (Final Season)
9:00-The Office (Final Season)
9:30-Parks and Recreation
10:00-New Drama
Friday:
8:00-New Drama
9:00-Grimm
10:00-Dateline
Saturday:
8:00-Drama Rerun
9:00-Drama Rerun
10:00-Drama Rerun
Sorry, continued:
Thu-
Community
new comedy/30 Rock
P&R
Office
New drama
Like the fact that the new drama has an Office lead-in. Community is stronger than 30 Rock, so it gets an :00 time and full order.(But seriously, no new comedies?)
Fri-
Who’s Still Standing/ Minute To Win it/ Fashion Star/ Escape Routes/ Fear Factor
Dateline
Grimm
Where is GRIMM on your list???
NBC does not need a new reality, it has many at its disposal.
Sat-
Rock Center
Latest Burn-off
SVU rerun
Dateline can be shortened to 1 day.
Rock Center could move to Sat. to help the “latest burn-off”
Sean, I like your ideas a lot, but I hope NBC doesn’t use your schedule!
30 Rock – 19 (-1)
Parenthood – 5
Parks and Recreation – 20 (+1)
quote from The Office [8.2]:
Nellie: Take a man’s job but leave him his b@lls. Margaret Thatcher said that. Probably. Don’t know. Don’t read. Didn’t see the movie.
30 Rock – 18 (-1)
Parenthood – 6 (+1)
Parks and Recreation – 20
30 ROCK – 19 (+1)
PARENTHOOD – 6
PARKS & RECREATION – 19 (-1)
Eliminated:
15. Whiney (4-11, 10:28pm)
14. Harry’s Law (4-12, 9:44am)
13. Bent (4-12, 5:16pm)
12. Smash (4-12, 8:59pm)
11. The Office (4-13, 4:21am)
10. Are You There, Chelsea? (4-13, 4:21am)
9. Law & Order: SVU (4-13, 8:18am)
8. Best Friends Forever (4-13, 8:22am)
7. Up All Night (4-13, 8:13pm)
6. Grimm (4-16, 4:38pm)
5. Awake (4-19, 9:29pm)
Victor’s Village:
1. Community (4-21, 4:09pm)
From Community, episode 1.18 “Basic Genealogy” –
Jeff: I hate Glee.
Pierce: I’m not crazy about Glee either.
Jeff: I hate it! I don’t understand the appeal at all.
New vote. I wish we could do 3s over here (just +3 and -3). But it’s 1s, so….
30 ROCK – 19
PARENTHOOD – 5 (-1)
PARKS & RECREATION – 20 (+1)
quote from The Office [3.08]:
Dwight: So you’ll be reporting to me then.
Andy: On the contrary.
Dwight: My title has “manager” in it.
Andy: And I’m a director. Which on a film set is the highest title there is. Do you know anything about film?
Dwight: I know everything about film. I’ve seen over 240 of them.
30 ROCK – 19
PARENTHOOD – 4 (-1)
PARKS & RECREATION – 21 (+1)
30 ROCK – 20 (+1)
PARENTHOOD – 4
PARKS & RECREATION – 20 (-1)
@MJDB
Love the line up!!!!
30 Rock – 19 (-1)
Parenthood – 5 (+1)
Parks and Recreation – 20
You know what? By popular demand, we will do +3 and -3 here. Effective tomorrow, the rule for all other threads (where only five shows are left on each one) will be +3, +2, -2 and -3 until we are down to three shows.
30 ROCK – 22 (+3)
PARENTHOOD – 5
PARKS & RECREATION – 17 (-3)
Eliminated:
15. Whiney (4-11, 10:28pm)
14. Harry’s Law (4-12, 9:44am)
13. Bent (4-12, 5:16pm)
12. Smash (4-12, 8:59pm)
11. The Office (4-13, 4:21am)
10. Are You There, Chelsea? (4-13, 4:21am)
9. Law & Order: SVU (4-13, 8:18am)
8. Best Friends Forever (4-13, 8:22am)
7. Up All Night (4-13, 8:13pm)
6. Grimm (4-16, 4:38pm)
5. Awake (4-19, 9:29pm)
Victor’s Village:
1. Community (4-21, 4:09pm)
“My mother was an English professor. When I was 16, I started dating one of her students. He was a senior, he was 21 years old, and he asked me to marry him. And I said yes because I wanted to get away from my mother. She found out and she told me that if I didn’t stop seeing him, that she would have him kicked out of college. And I told her that I was moving out. She was halfway through a bottle of vodka and she dropped it. It shattered all over the floor. And then she picked up the jagged edge of the bottle and…and she came at me, screaming, “I’ll never let anyone else have you.” And so I kicked her, hard. And then I kicked her again. And she went flying across the room, into the wall. And she slid down to the floor. I’d never hurt her before. I ran out. I was so afraid…”
-Olivia Benson, from Law & Order: SVU episode 6.19 “Intoxicated”
@Sean
MY PREDICTION FOR FALL 2012
Sunday
8:00 Parenthood (would be an amazing idea to move it to a “family” time)
9:00 The Apprentice/Celebrity Apprentice
@MJDB
Sunday:
7:00-Dateline
8:00-New Drama
9:00-The Celebrity Apprentice (2 Seasons)
Sunday Night Football?
At least when goldfish come up with bad schedules, they can’t remember them for long enough to be burdened by regret!
NBC won Monday, Tuesday, and Friday! It’s my favorite network, whith the quality of the shows, it should win Thursday too.
Should tell you that Thursday is what is keeping them down.
Move Whitney to Thursday
Community and 30 Rock to Wednesday
Put an end to The Office.
- Kennith, what do you know about revenge?
- Well, the Bible says it’s wrong but it’s the surprise hit of the seasonon ABC so…
30 Rock [6.16]
Hooray for the +3, -3! So if a show has less than 3 points left we can still eliminate it, I hope? Sorry if that sounds mean. I just mean to shorten the vote list when possible/appropriate.
@Rebecca: Yeah, of course.