NBC: 'Best Friends Forever' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Even If NBC *Loves* It!

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent :oops: 0.52
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.63
Best Friends Forever :oops: 0.65
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.82
Are You There, Chelsea? :cry: :cry: 0.92
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.97
Whitney :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night :| :| :| 1.01
Community :) :) :) :) 1.03
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.54
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.61

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After dropping to just a 0.9 adults rating in its second episode Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!

In other news, anyone suggesting that Law & Order: SVU is "on the bubble", is either crazy or playing crazy on the Internet to troll for traffic. You be the judge.

Bear pic hat tip to alert reader Cindy.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Chuck_T

    Actually the first six seasons of MATLOCK were on NBC–then it did a couple of season on ABC.

  • Oliver

    After premiering with just a 0.9 adults rating Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!

    Except BFF premeired to a 1.2 on April 5 before falling to 0.9 for its second episode on April 12.

  • Ultima

    @Bert
    Why did Parenthood only get 18 episodes when Harry’s Law got the full 22. Parenthood has much better numbers.

    Because NBC wanted to launch Fashion Star in Parenthood’s timeslot and/or they’ve already accepted that Parenthood is getting 88 episodes over five seasons and it is irrelevant how they’re divided up.

  • Stephen

    It’s so sad to see the Office and even Smash that have dropped so much yet still are so high in the index. Things are so bad over at NBC.

    Smash should be losing its post Voice slot – maybe moves to Wednesdays or Thursdays in the fall? Grimm should stay on Fridays IMO.

    Parenthood might get held until midseason if NBC is giving it less episodes again since doing that should allow NBC to premiere an additional new show in the fall. SVU could move back to Tue @ 10 or stay on Wednesdays.

    Office and P&R should be back for full seasons. Community should receive a renewal but I’d be surprised if its on the fall schedule. 30 Rock will receive some sort of renewal but may be for reduced eps. Whitney & UAN to me are tossups and it depends on if they keep the Wednesday comedy hour and/or expand sitcom time.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “After premiering with just a 0.9 adults rating Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!

    Bah, that’s what a week of vacation will do to you!

    Now fixed. ;)

  • ToXiX

    Why exactly does NBC “love” BFF?

  • Ken

    The Voice is planning a fall run of the Voice, however they might re-think that

    Monday
    8:00 VOICE
    10:00 Revolution/Frontier

    Tuesday
    8:00 Whitney
    8:30 Downwardly Mobile
    (Voice takes 8:00-9:00 this timeslot for results show, after 10 episodes)
    9:00 The Biggest Loser
    10:00 Parenthood/County

    Wensday
    8:00 New Normal
    8:30 30Rock/Up All Night
    9:00 Fear Factor/Who’s Still Standing
    10:00 SVU

    Thursday
    8:00 Community/1600 Penn
    8:30 Parks & Rec
    9:00 The Office
    9:30 Friday Night Dinner/The Farm
    10:00 SMASH

    Friday
    8:00 Dateline/Bad Girls
    9:00 Grimm(Late October)
    10:00 Do No Harm(Late October)

    Saturday
    8:00 Rock Center
    9:00 Revolution(r)
    10:00 SVU(r)

    Sunday Post-SNF
    7:00 Dateline
    8:00 Celebrity Apprentice
    10:00 Chicago Fire

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Why exactly does NBC “love” BFF?”

    Other than the fact that every network loves every one of their shows, I have no specific information about BFF, I just wanted to poke particular fun at the goofy Vulture article linked about how NBC “Loved” Bent, but still burned it off in three doubled up spring nights.

  • marsinvestigations1

    While 18-49 matters in terms of selling ad-time you guys have no clue as to the general network strategy of NBC. Just like surprise renewals for Dollhouse or Fringe on FOX — there have been situations that are not the norm.

    On any other network but NBC with HL performing how it is relative to the other shows on the network I’d say it was a goner. NBC has reached a point none of the big networks have ever been before and I’d say these are definitely NOT normal circumstances.

    I could totally see NBC moving it to Fridays with Grimm (though it was far more likely when it was pulling a 1.2-1.3 demo in the Fall) — and I could totally see it being canceled.

    NBC’s situation is something we’re never really seen before… much like THE CW’s birth was an anomaly (resulting in the cancelation of a handful of average to solid performing shows from UPN/WB due to limited schedule space) NBC is a network that nearly nobody is tuning into at all.

    With Smash falling to new lows each week, and the Voice as well — the network is literally a graveyard of dead or dying shows.

    In years past NBC would likely have canceled HL by midseason — yet it has been kept around. They dumped The Playboy Club after 3 airings dropped it to a 1.3… yet kept Harry’s Law on the schedule when it was pulling 1.2 for the first 5 episodes of the season.

    Don’t pull the “it’s a veteran show… networks often are more forgiving to them…” You can’t have it both ways. It’s either all about 18-49 demos or it isn’t. In the case of HL circa 2011 it was performing FAR worse than some of the shows it outlived. Why? 18-49 is apparently all that matters yet it was kept around.

    Syndication economics have kept Fringe on the air — and other low performing shows on all of the networks. It’s possible there’s a strategy behind HL that’s kept NBC from killing it.

    It might be as simple as “It draws 8 million viewers — but those same viewers are likely to perhaps watch/discuss NBC shows… leading to word of mouth… some of which could trickle down to the younger crowd.

    NBC’s issue lately is that NOBODY is watching the network at all (aside from SNL/The Voice — it struggles everywhere, not just 18-49). It’s got no buzz and even their biggest hits are dying. 8 million eyes watching NBC may not earn them $$$ in ad sales but it’s still eyes watching the network and consequently possibly talking about it — to viewers who ARE in the 18-49 range. That’s why I think NBC has kept it around through May. Though probably won’t any longer than that.

    Either way, I am fairly sure a sub 1.0 isn’t good enough to earn HL a renewal — but my gut says if it was still pulling a 1.2 it would most definitely have ended up shipped to Fridays. At these levels (.8/.9) it’s probably not going to get that opportunity — but to imply it’s JUST 18-49 that keeps a show on the air is short-sighted. Though it wouldn’t be the first time.

    Remember how insistent you guys were that Carrell was just holding out for a better $$$ deal from NBC to stay on the OFFICE? Pretty sure — as I said — he was simply not interested in doing the show anymore. Sure everyone has an asking price and I’m sure NBC could have found a number that would have had him stick around — but you guys were CERTAIN that the only reason he could POSSIBLY suggest wanting out of the show was a ploy to get him a bigger paycheck. In the end he left the show — and it was written into the series, well in advance. They were not battling over offers until May… believe it or not — not every single person makes decisions about his or her life purely based on money — and believe it or not — there are many factors taken into consideration that none of us outside of the networks are privy to. I’m not saying 18-49 isn’t what keeps the business running — it is. But as every season has taught us — there’s always something that happens that surprises us. “Dollhouse RENEWED…”

    Unlike Carrell leaving the Office — NBC’s decisions ARE likely based purely on $$$ – in a normal season. This season for NBC has been anything but normal. I’m 95% sure HL is dead with numbers like this — but I’m not going to say 100% because as I’ve learned in the past — some things are NEVER certain.

  • Fake Me Out

    Since it seems a popular thing to do, I’m making up my own NBC fall schedule … apologies if it’s not an original concept.

    Monday
    08:00 – Sunday Night Football Highlights
    09:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – The Voice

    Tuesday
    08:00 – The Voice Recap
    09:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – The Voice

    Wednesday
    08:00 – The Voice
    09:00 – The Voice Recap
    10:00 – Smash

    Thursday
    08:00 – Thursday Night Football
    09:00 – Thursday Night Football
    10:00 – Thursday Night Football

    Friday
    08:00 – Thursday Night Football Highlights
    09:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – The Voice

    Saturday
    08:00 – The Voice Weekly Highlights
    09:00 – The Voice Weekly Recap Highlights
    10:00 – Smash (R)

    Sunday
    07:00 – Sunday Night Football
    08:00 – Sunday Night Football
    09:00 – Sunday Night Football
    10:00 – Sunday Night Football

  • marsinvestigations1

    Regarding Parenthood getting a 16 episode order for season 3 (NBC later ordered 2 additional episodes bringing it to 18).

    ‘…one of the things that cable discovered over the last decade was that you rotate: you do 13 episodes, then a new show comes in for another 13, etc. Shorter seasons, keep the quality up, originals year-round, and you don’t have those weird breaks in March and April where you get one original episode in a 5-week period.’

    ” I think we’ll gradually see more and more of that. It’s obviously easier to do that with reality shows, for economic reasons. We already do that with “Biggest Loser.” You can tailor those, because they’re expandable or contractable. Harder to do with scripted shows, but we’re trying a couple of versions of that this year. There’s 16 “Parenthood”s, 15 “Smash”es, 13 “Awake”s because it’s mid-season. There could be a scenario where “Parenthood” runs all 16 episodes almost sequentially, which is a benefit to “Parenthood.” We saw as we ramped up through the finale in May, it grew, grew, grew. Then when “Parenthood” is done, we’ll probably have 10 or 12 weeks of the season left where we could put a show like “Awake.” But of course that’s more costly. That’s stretching one show throughout 35 weeks.”

    Not sure if it’s a model they will try again next year.

  • marsinvestigations1

    Fake Me Out,
    Saturday
    08:00 – The Voice Weekly Highlights
    09:00 – The Voice Weekly Recap Highlights
    10:00 – Smash (R)

    A SMASH rerun on saturday? The show repeats horribly. ;) Stick another VOICE repeat in there…

  • Fake Me Out

    @marsinvestigations1 “…Stick another VOICE repeat in there…

    I thought that might be overexposing The Voice too much … :-) I know … a Sunday Night Football preview!

  • Oliver

    I think this is more likely:

    Monday
    08:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – Fear Factor

    Tuesday
    08:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – Fashion Star

    Wednesday
    08:00 – The Biggest Loser
    10:00 – Rock Center

    Thursday
    08:00 – Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
    09:00 – Who’s Still Standing?
    10:00 – The Apprentice

    Friday
    08:00 – Who Do You Think You Are?
    09:00 – Dateline NBC

    Saturday
    08:00 – Escape Routes
    09:00 – Repeat
    10:00 – Repeat

    Sunday
    07:00 – Football Night in America
    08:00 – Sunday Night Football

  • Ultima

    @marsinvestigations
    While 18-49 matters in terms of selling ad-time you guys have no clue as to the general network strategy of NBC.

    I think people who pay attention are aware of the NBC’s general strategy when it comes to programming. Just because networks occasionally make exceptions or do suprising things doesn’t mean we’re all clueless about what they’re doing overall.

    NBC is a network that nearly nobody is tuning into at all

    Season-to-date primetime averages…
    NBC – 2.6 18-49 rating, 7.55 million viewers
    ABC – 2.4 18-49 rating, 8.29 million viewers

    NBC isn’t the first broadcast network to be in this situation and they won’t be the last.

    Yes, their line-up is dreadful and the significant overhaul is going to continue over the next couple of years, but they’re not going to start doing ridiculous things like renewing Harry’s Law or whatever else you suggested in your wall of text.

  • Michael

    Harry’s Law is NOT a bad show. I feel bad for it, because it is the highest rated (in viewers) show repeatibly on NBC. A show like that on CBS would surely get renewed.

    and yet, I wonder how in the world it doesn’t do well in the ratings….

    not to say you could be wrong, but does anyone here still think there is a ‘slim’ chance Harry’s Law could be renewed and NBC take the show as a loss just because they KNOW that they can get viewers to watch it even if not 18-49???

    No offense, but I would hate to see a show like “Bent” or “Awake” or “The Firm” to take over that time slot next year. Cause NBC will be kicking themselves back to the drawing board for the 40th time in the year.

    oh and 2 more things: NBC is already in trouble cause if I’m not mistaken, 3 of its top shows could very well just end it in 2013

    30 Rock (Confirmed via Alec Baldwin…look it up!)
    The Office
    and Law and Order: SVU

    so if they lose these 3 after next season, safe bet 2 are gone….then what for that 3rd place Network that could become 4th (yea, Fox is doing that well people…) Do we get more “rock center with Brian Williams” yeesh! Might as well bring back Leno for the 10 o’clock hour…(sarcasm)

  • Ultima

    @Michael
    Harry’s Law is NOT a bad show. I feel bad for it, because it is the highest rated (in viewers) show repeatibly on NBC. A show like that on CBS would surely get renewed.

    CBS’ most watched show is also the #1 drama overall right now. People like to harp on CBS skewing old, but their shows also get very good 18-49 ratings.

    not to say you could be wrong, but does anyone here still think there is a ‘slim’ chance Harry’s Law could be renewed

    Lots of people think that; the rest of us think they are delusional.

    No offense, but I would hate to see a show like “Bent” or “Awake” or “The Firm” to take over that time slot next year

    Don’t worry, they’re all getting canceled, too.

    NBC is already in trouble cause if I’m not mistaken, 3 of its top shows could very well just end it in 2013
    30 Rock (Confirmed via Alec Baldwin…look it up!)
    The Office
    and Law and Order: SVU

    That’s not necessarily a bad thing. NBC needs to completely reboot their image comedy-wise. That’s simply not going to happen next year as their still trying to make something work with The Office & The Farm in addition to both Community and Parks & Rec needing full seasons to hit syndication numbers. Don’t be shocked to see an all-freshman two-hour comedy block in the fall of 2013, similar to what ABC did in 2009.

  • Michael

    So…NBC is gonna be re-tooled for Fall 2012

    Sunday:
    7:00 Football Night in America
    8:30 Sunday Night Football

    Monday:
    8:00 The Voice (after AGT wraps)
    10:00 Smash

    Tuesday:
    8:00 Whitney/ “New Normal” or Betty White :)
    9:00 The Voice-results
    10:00 “Hannibal”

    Wednesday:
    8:00 Begins as “Mockingbird Lane” (see how that goes…)
    9:00 “Chicago Fire”
    10:00 Law & Order: SVU

    Thursday:
    8:00 30 Rock
    8:30 Parks and Rec
    9:00 The Office
    9:30 Community
    10:00 Parenthood

    Friday:

    8:00 “Friday Night Dinner” (Fitting don’t you think :P)
    9:00 Grimm
    10:00 Rock Center w/Brian Williams

    Saturday:

    8:00 Harry’s Law
    9:00 “Animal Kingdom”
    10:00 Dateline

    The winter pushes new shows like: Happy Valley, Revolution, 1600 Penn, and Do Not harm. Plus adds Celebrity Apprentice, Biggest Loser, Last Man Standing, and Fashion Star among others…..

    Wow, I feel like I could work for NBC now XD.

  • SJ

    @Ultima

    Without The Superbowl, NBC’s average would be ~2.3, which puts it in last place. And if you take away Sunday Night Football…

    His point was right, NBC is a forgotten network. But I agree with you that Harry’s Law has zero chance of getting renewed.

    @Michael
    it is the highest rated (in viewers) show repeatibly on NBC. A show like that on CBS would surely get renewed.

    Yeah, because the lowest-rated show on the last-place network really sounds like something CBS would want to get their hands on.

  • The Mike Factor

    With all of the sadness in the scripted ratings, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a very large chunk of NBC’s reality renewed. In particular, Celebrity Apprentice and Fashion Star (The Voice is obvious) since they both have a whole lot of product placement.

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