NBC: 'Best Friends Forever' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Even If NBC *Loves* It!

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent :oops: 0.52
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.63
Best Friends Forever :oops: 0.65
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.82
Are You There, Chelsea? :cry: :cry: 0.92
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.97
Whitney :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night :| :| :| 1.01
Community :) :) :) :) 1.03
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.54
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.61

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After dropping to just a 0.9 adults rating in its second episode Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!

In other news, anyone suggesting that Law & Order: SVU is "on the bubble", is either crazy or playing crazy on the Internet to troll for traffic. You be the judge.

Bear pic hat tip to alert reader Cindy.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • ToXiX

    @Bill Gorman

    Ah I see, thanks Bill.

  • Franko

    Should I be worried for Parenthood?

  • KJ Styles

    @Bill Gorman- “But looking at past history risks forgetting the fact that average viewership IS ABSOLUTELY MEANINGLESS to the business of these ad supported TV networks. Their ads are priced on adults 18-49 ratings. Viewers outside that demo make them $0.”

    Really?? Then explain why I see a TON of prime-time ads for erectile dysfunction pills, gout, and arthritis medication. Those are easily bought by people over 50 more than anyone else, so you can’t say people outside of 18-49 make them no money at all.

  • Ultima

    @SJ
    Without The Superbowl, NBC’s average would be ~2.3, which puts it in last place. And if you take away Sunday Night Football…
    His point was right, NBC is a forgotten network.

    I’m not disputing that NBC isn’t a 4th place network, just that they’re not in unchartered wilderness.

    Here’s the numbers from ABC’s post-Millionaire-apocolypse…

    2001/02 – NBC 5.2, FOX 4.0*, CBS 3.9, ABC 3.6

    2002/03 – NBC 4.5, FOX 4.3, CBS 3.8, ABC 3.8*

    2003/04 – NBC 4.2, FOX 4.1, CBS 4.0*, ABC 3.2

    * Super Bowl

    That’s not much different than what NBC is going through now. Granted, ABC never made it back to the top, but after their breakout year in 2004-05, they came within a tenth of FOX for first in 2006 (they had the Super Bowl, FOX had Idol in its best season) and within two tenths of CBS for second in 2007 (CBS had both huge NFL postseason games).

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Really?? Then explain why I see a TON of prime-time ads for erectile dysfunction pills, gout, and arthritis medication. Those are easily bought by people over 50 more than anyone else, so you can’t say people outside of 18-49 make them no money at all.”

    Really.

    Broadcast primetime ads are priced based on adults 18-49 ratings. An adults 18-49 ratings point costs the same no matter how many “extra” non-demo viewers there are.

    Remember that many ads you see may be local ads, and cable/satco controlled ad slots, that may not follow that pricing pattern, but the broadcast network doesn’t get any of that money.

  • Mike

    heres what i believe NBC’s Cancelled and new shows will be (which includes already cancelled shows).

    Cancelled Dramas:

    Prime Suspect
    Harrys Law
    The Firm
    Chuck
    Playboy Club
    Awake (sense it hasent picked up)

    Canceled Comedies:

    Bent (i really liked this show)
    Best friends forever
    free agents
    are you there chelsea
    Up all night (but they may give it a second chance not a great show but i really enjoyed the last 15 minutes of the finale)

    New Dramas:

    Hannibal
    Midnight Sun
    Do No Harm
    The Frontier
    Mockingbird Lane
    Revolution

    New Comedies

    1600 Penn
    Friday Night Dinner
    Jimmy falon pilot
    Go On
    Susan 313

  • Androme

    What the hell is up with the bear pictures?
    And why at they seen only on the NBC ratings pages?

  • Petar

    This year NBC was like first year on Sam Presti and Oklahoma city thunder – in rebuild model! And i think their new CEO is like Presti – pretty smart!

    Well this year The voice probably will be Number 1 show! Will beat AI! With help of post SB slot off course! So real hit not only for NBC standarts! This mean NBC is better than last year! So NBC Mondays are improving! Tuesday TBL is also strong for them! With the voice result show can go even better! So Mondays and Tuesday lets name it reality days on NBC are stong and already rebuild! With two the voice cycles will be great! Friday is also good day for their standarts! And now here we go to mess! Because Wednesday and Thursday is real mess for NBC! But let think about it! Wednesday – BEST FOX day-AI! Thursday – second best FOX day – AI and post AI slot! Thursday -best CBS day- TBBT&POI! Wednesday best ABC sitcom MF and Thursday best ABC drama-Greys! Thursday best CW show-TVD! So NBC must make their math! How can get least damage on little price or right price! Now what NBC clearly can and MUST improve is 10pm slot! They waste The voice lead-in this year! Next year the voice will be in two cycles fall-spring, great chance to promote fresh shows! I read really good analysis in huffingtonpost! I think they has 2-3 really good chances next season if not for hits for good and stable shows! I will take JJ Abrams-Kripke show (with hints of “The Hunger Games” to it- strong, young female lead) for frontrunner in the fall after the voice in monday – just best producer, good writer and star director! Most important storyline looks great! Now Hanibal already pick up with 13ep next season so for me Tuesday after the voice or TBL with best chance for second hit or good show! I think NBC will move the voice result show in 8pm! Will see! Now for the second cycle i still can’t choose! Must see at least trailers! Too similar without big names-producers, writers, directors etc. And now the big question what we make with this 10pm slots in Wednesday and Thursday! I really have NO idea! Really! I think they are just dead slots! I mean ok they will try Smash at 8pm in one of these days but i think will crash because is bad show!(thats why i think the voice lead in was waste) Than all day is dead! I think NBC is moving in right direction although wednesday will stay really bad and next year!

  • Petar

    ps Also NBC will air Olympic games in June/July! That can help too! With promotions and ratings!

  • Androme

    Oh and its all too funny they you guys keep making up schedules for NBC next season, since they probably won’t be chosen as the official schedule anyway.

  • tvfreak

    AWAKE – 16 (+2)
    30 ROCK – 16
    PARENTHOOD – 17 (-1)
    COMMUNITY – 81 (+1)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 15 (-2)

    Eliminated:

    15. Whiney (4-11, 10:28pm)
    14. Harry’s Law (4-12, 9:44am)
    13. Bent (4-12, 5:16pm)
    12. Smash (4-12, 8:59pm)
    11. The Office (4-13, 4:21am)
    10. Are You There, Chelsea? (4-13, 4:21am)
    9. Law & Order: SVU (4-13, 8:18am)
    8. Best Friends Forever (4-13, 8:22am)
    7. Up All Night (4-13, 8:13pm)
    6. Grimm (4-16, 4:38pm)

    “Don’t you hate ‘To be continued’ on TV? It’s horrible when you sense the ‘To be continued’ coming. You know, you’re watching the show; you’re into the story. There’s, like, five minutes left and suddenly you realize,’Hey, they can’t make it. Timmy’s still stuck in the cave. There’s no way they wrap this up in five minutes.’ I mean, the whole reason you watch a TV show is because it ends. If I want a long, boring story with no point to it, I have my life. A comedian can’t do that, see. I can’t go, ‘A man walks into a bar with a pig under his arm… Can you come back next week?'”
    -Jerry Seinfeld, from Seinfeld episode 4.05 “The Watch”

  • Concerned Citizen

    @Androme

    Oh, really? Well, darn. And here I thought NBC was going to come on here, look at my schedule, and plan next season accordingly. Silly me.

    No one actually expects these schedules to mean anything, they’re FANTASY schedules. Just for fun.

    AWAKE – 16
    30 ROCK – 14 (-2)
    PARENTHOOD – 18 (+1)
    COMMUNITY – 83 (+2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 14 (-1)

  • Tommy Mickens

    You guys talking about NBC’s average ratings this year, here’s what really counts in regards to what we’re talking about, which is scripted show renewals:

    NBC is doing COMPLETELY and UTTERLY HORRENDOUS in scripted show ratings. There is no way anyone can talk their way out of that. They are almost (and sometimes are nowadays) CW territory. This is MUCH worse than the slump ABC went through, and it’s been going on for years and years now and only getting worse each year. If this happens for more than two or three more years without some kind of turn-around I think we’ll be seeing some kind of huge and unprecedented changes (much bigger than “Jay Leno 10pm”), for better or for worse.

    The Superbowl, football and The Voice surely help the network out as a whole, but that has nothing to do with their scripted shows.

    As to Harry’s Law, sure, it may be doing horribly in the demo. But these are uncharted waters. NBC’s worse off in scripted show ratings this year than ever before. And HL is a very unique show – terrible demo ratings but best-of-the-network total viewer scripted ratings. Plus it’s been bumped around slots and didn’t bleed too many viewers. PLUS, it seems all the naysayers forget, it was renewed for season 2 with not-so-great ratings while other better-rated shows got cancelled, AND it’s gotten a full-season 2 order and lasted all the way through the season while other better-rated shows got cancelled along the way. So for anyone to say that this ISN’T a unique situation and it’s just business as usual when NBC decides whether to renew it is just delusional. The show may not be renewed, but I don’t think it’s anywhere in this “automatic cancellation and NBC’s not even thinking about it” territory that Bill Gorman and others are espousing.

    Last week’s headline was silly and HL shouldn’t be “certain” cancellation. Because of this strange situation, it should at the least be “likely” cancellation, and maybe even “toss up”.

  • Theoacme

    @Concerned Citizen – heaven knows that with what NBC has on these days, it’s either fantasy schedules, valium, cyanide, or a lobotomy…

    …see Lansing from FYI about “crap slots” – but NBC and CW, in their entirety, it seems, ARE crap slots :p

  • Nick

    AWAKE – 16
    30 ROCK – 16 (+2)
    PARENTHOOD – 16 (-2)
    COMMUNITY – 84 (+1)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 13 (-1)

  • Bob Jones

    I feel really bad for NBC. At least with the CW, I regularly watch The Vampire Diaries/The Secret Circle and sometimes watch Supernatural and Nikita (for nostalgia sake).

    The last shows I watched regularly on NBC were Heroes, Mercy, Chase, and Bionic Woman. I watched Chuck but it was more because I caught up and decided to watch the whole series.

    Premium Cable is where it is at in terms of shows not to miss. HBO has rotated The Wire, Big Love, The Sopranos, True Blood, Boardwalk Empire, Luck, Game of Thrones (my #1 show). Showtime has Dexter, Homeland (my #2 show), The Borgias, Shameless US; AMC has The Walking Dead (#3), Mad Men, Breaking Bad.

    Even basic cable has some high end shows – Falling Skies (#4), Rizzoli & Isles, The Closer, Burn Notice, Covert Affairs, White Collar, Dark Blue, Royal Pains, Leverage, Southland, Justified (#5), Archer, American Horror Story, Eureka, Warehouse 13 (#6), Alphas, Sanctuary, Haven, etc.

    NBC needs a ‘reloaded’ moment. The Voice, The Biggest Loser, Law & Order SVU, Harry’s Law, Celebrity Apprentice and Dateline NBC are their go to shows – I only DVR SVU for posterity, otherwise I stopped watching NBC.

    Fox (despite the complains) at least attempts to get high end show (which fail) – Terra Nova, Dollhouse, Terminator TSCC, Space:A&B, Fastlane, Drive, Firefly, Alcatraz, Touch, Mental.

    NBC just needs one high-end must watch show to build around.

  • The Voice

    Chelsea still has a shot at renewal from what I heard.

  • Anthony

    AWAKE – 15 (-1)
    30 ROCK – 14 (-2)
    PARENTHOOD – 16
    COMMUNITY – 86 (+2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 14 (+1)

  • Brian J

    I wouldn’t be so quick to brush aside total viewers. Such individuals in the demographic sweet spot, Adults 18-49, are certainly important, but virtually no network would turn down a show like “DWTS” if it was only getting a 2.5 in Adults 18-49, compared to say a 5.0, since the sheer number of eyeballs could be helpful in launching a new show.

    Of course, as total viewership goes up, so does that of Adults 18-49, so after a while, that issue is resolved on its own.

    One big problem with a show like “Harry’s Law” is that there’s no real tonal companion to it. Desperate to find a hit, NBC is kind of all over the place with its dramas. Can you see the show following “Smash” or, someone suggested above, “Grimm”? Despite this, its relatively strong ratings are still impressive. Makes you wonder if, despite only being on the air for a short amount of time and being bounced around the schedule, it would work on Saturdays. If it could somehow get at least eight million viewers and post at least, say, a 1.3 in the target demo, it’d probably be a big help for the network. But given that it’s probably not that cheap to produce, I wouldn’t expect that to happen.

    The other thing to consider is that NBC really just needs one show, besides “The Voice,” to build a night around before it can dig itself out of a hole. (Well, ideally, more than one show, but at least one would do it.) “Harry’s Law” is only taking up one hour a week, but that’s one less hour available for that new breakout show.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    @Tommy Mickens, You’re really ramping up your usual level of nonsense today!

    ” it seems all the naysayers forget, it was renewed for season 2 with not-so-great ratings while other better-rated shows got cancelled”

    Pray tell, which NBC scripted show was better rated than Harry’s Law last season and was canceled? Take your time. I can wait.

    “The show may not be renewed, but I don’t think it’s anywhere in this “automatic cancellation and NBC’s not even thinking about it” territory that Bill Gorman and others are espousing.

    Last week’s headline was silly and HL shouldn’t be “certain” cancellation. Because of this strange situation, it should at the least be “likely” cancellation, and maybe even “toss up”.”

    So with that cover every base jabbering, you’ll claim to be correct no matter what happens. Got it!

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