NBC: 'Best Friends Forever' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Even If NBC *Loves* It!

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 17th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent :oops: 0.52
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.63
Best Friends Forever :oops: 0.65
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.82
Are You There, Chelsea? :cry: :cry: 0.92
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.97
Whitney :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night :| :| :| 1.01
Community :) :) :) :) 1.03
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.54
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.61

-
After dropping to just a 0.9 adults rating in its second episode Best Friends Forever is certain to be canceled, even if, like another certain to be canceled show, NBC just loves, loves, loves it!

In other news, anyone suggesting that Law & Order: SVU is "on the bubble", is either crazy or playing crazy on the Internet to troll for traffic. You be the judge.

Bear pic hat tip to alert reader Cindy.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Chad B

    AWAKE – 3 (-2)
    30 ROCK – 19 (+1)
    PARENTHOOD – 13 (-1)
    COMMUNITY – 93 (+2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 17

    SORRY FORGOT TO ADD COMMUNITY UP!

  • marsinvestigations1

    Ultima,
    Didn’t realize you were an executive at NBC, my apologies. I realize it’s a lot to read a “wall” of text… I assumed your grasp of the english language would have allowed you to breeze through it. Thanks for the pointed statements though… always love being called out by people who can’t understand what they read…

    1. *doesn’t mean we’re all clueless about what they’re doing overall.*
    Unless you’re present at some of their board meetings you are… Nobody viewing this site REALLY knows the intentions at NBC or most any other network in the overall scheme of things.

    2. Season-to-date primetime averages…
    NBC – 2.6 18-49 rating, 7.55 million viewers
    ABC – 2.4 18-49 rating, 8.29 million viewers

    Do these numbers include the Superbowl or inflated numbers due to THE VOICE’s early premiere numbers? Perhaps I should have stated “Unscripted average* Their comedies are pulling under 3 million viewers weekly these days. Veteran shows. ;)

    3. NBC isn’t the first broadcast network to be in this situation and they won’t be the last.

    Sure all the nets have had “down” periods but NBC is in a tricky bind because when the other nets were having ‘down’ periods there was still hope for resurgence (ABC’s 2004/2005 LOST/Desperate Housewives/Grey’s combo) because there wasn’t the threat of cable.

    That is a VERY real issue now — and it’s only getting worse. More and more eyes are tuning OUT of primetime broadcast to cable… and that fracturing is going to continue.

    3. *but they’re not going to start doing ridiculous things like renewing Harry’s Law or whatever else you suggested in your wall of text.

    Ridiculous like renewing it for a 2nd season? Keeping it all season despite it pulling low demos from the premiere episode and showing little or no growth? Also, for those who can comprehend what they read — I never suggested they WOULD renew HL. I suggested only that aside from seeing numbers for the network nobody really knows exactly what they will do — and as history has proven in the past — sometimes the networks do things that are completely out of left field that leave us scratching our heads and finding ways to explain why said decision made sense.

    For the record, I don’t expect HL to get renewed. I was surprised it got a full season order. However, after Dollhouse managed a 2nd season a few years back I’m not really surprised by much in terms of TV development or news.

    Was that easier to understand? ;) Feel free to ignore this particular wall of text if it hurts your eyes or brain too much. ;) Have a nice day.

  • Garrett G

    AWAKE – 1 (-2)
    30 ROCK – 19
    PARENTHOOD – 12 (-1)
    COMMUNITY – 95 (+2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 18 (+1)

  • Ccc

    AWAKE – 0 (-1)
    30 ROCK – 19
    PARENTHOOD – 14 (+2)
    COMMUNITY – 93(-2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 17(-1)

  • John

    What are the odds Parks will make 100 episodes? If it gets renewed next year (which it should) it would be at 90 episodes at the end of 5 with a standard 22 order. I pray it gets 100 episodes…..it can end after 6 seasons at the least. but I would be so annoyed if it ended with less than Community

  • Russell

    @ John The difference between Community and P&R is that Universal can make money off of P&R in syndication and they can’t with Community. So P&R will be on longer for that reason and Community might just be over this season.

  • Rebecca

    I get tired of some of the weird Abed stuff on Community…the “dreamatorium” scenes (or whatever he and Troy call that room). Last night I found 30R and P&R to be much more enjoyable – I really missed P&R. So glad it’s back. And I hope it will stay on the air a very long time (not so long it gets very bad, but long enough to keep entertaining). If UAN needs to go away in order to keep the rest of the Thursday NBC comedies where they belong, so be it – I like the rest of them more. The Office, though, can go away soon – I still enjoy it sometimes but I’m ready for it to end. NBC probably isn’t ready for that, though, so they’ll probably keep it on until it’s completely terrible.

    Next person to vote in the game can take Awake off the list since it got down to zero.

  • Nevid

    30 ROCK – 17 (-2)
    PARENTHOOD – 15 (+1)
    COMMUNITY – 92 (-1)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 19 (+2)

  • Concerned Citizen

    @Kaner

    Since you apparently know much more than I do, would you care to be a bit more specific in your criticism?

    30 ROCK – 15 (-2)
    PARENTHOOD – 16 (+1)
    COMMUNITY – 94 (+2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 18 (-1)

  • SmOkIn JoE

    I do not understand the following. If someone can explain it to me, then it would be very much appreciated. IMO, for roughly the last 2 to 4 years cable (AMC, FX, HBO, Starz, Showtime, etc) have created the best shows not only currently on TV, but some of the ones that are still on the air will go down as the best TV series ever. For those wondering, I am referring to shows such as The Walking Dead, Breaking Bad, Sons of Anarchy, The Shield, Game of Thrones, Boardwalk Empire, Spartacus, Boss, Shameless, Weeds, The Tudors, etc). Furthermore, some of these shows, The Walking Dead are pulling in 7 million viewers on cable, and Game of Thrones is right around 4 million on HBO. Imagine what these numbers would be on either ABC, CBS, or NBC. My point is that there is proof that people will watch shows with long arcs (aka Lost), character development, etc etc. Why are none of the major networks trying to copy what is clearly successful on cable, and continue to produce 10 new shows a year while hoping 2 of them will make it to next season?

  • Will

    I can understand all the controversy about the state of NBC but to be completely honest I don’t think it is a bad thing. I have loved Grimm ever since it came out and thanks to NBC’s terrible ratings the show got renewed which would have never happened on other channels.

  • Rebecca

    30 ROCK – 16 (+1)
    PARENTHOOD – 14 (-2)
    COMMUNITY – 93 (-1)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 20 (+2)

    quote from The Office [3.01]:
    Ryan: Yeah, I’m not a temp anymore. I got Jim’s old job. Which means at my ten year high school reunion, it will not say, “Ryan Howard is a temp.” It will say, “Ryan Howard is a junior sales associate at a midrange paper supply firm.” [pause] That’ll show ‘em.

  • Sati

    Where did you find this picture? XDD

  • Chris M

    I haven’t caught much of Harry’s Law this season, but remember that back in the Boston Legal day, an article came out that David e. Kelley shows can be lower rated and remain on the air because the demos heavily skew to males making more than $100,000. I’m not sure if this is still the case. Has anyone else ever heard this brought up?

  • Ultima

    @marsinvestigations
    Sure all the nets have had “down” periods but NBC is in a tricky bind because when the other nets were having ‘down’ periods there was still hope for resurgence (ABC’s 2004/2005 LOST/Desperate Housewives/Grey’s combo) because there wasn’t the threat of cable.

    What?

    Cable isn’t a new thing; in aggregate, cable networks surpassed broadcast around 2001. ABC faced the same threat from cable as NBC does now.

    That is a VERY real issue now — and it’s only getting worse. More and more eyes are tuning OUT of primetime broadcast to cable… and that fracturing is going to continue.

    This is irrelevant to the relative ratings or success of the big four broadcast networks. As long as broadcast remains the most concentrated and consistent source of viewers, they will be able to demand top dollar for advertising, regardless of how low ratings go.

    The size of the pie doesn’t matter, just the size of the slices. Other networks have had smaller slices in the past and recovered; therefore, resurgence is possible, if not probable, for NBC.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I haven’t caught much of Harry’s Law this season, but remember that back in the Boston Legal day, an article came out that David e. Kelley shows can be lower rated and remain on the air because the demos heavily skew to males making more than $100,000. I’m not sure if this is still the case. Has anyone else ever heard this brought up?”

    Pretty standard Fan Excuse Bingo square.

    Doesn’t ever seem to save any shows, but nice PR nevertheless.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Other networks have had smaller slices in the past and recovered; therefore, resurgence is possible, if not probable, for NBC.”

    That.

    No sane person would suggest that NBC ratings will return to the absolute level they were at in past years, but that the relative ratings balance between the broadcast networks is very cyclical.

    May I offer yet another one of my old charts as illustration.

    http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2008/06/14/looking-back-at-the-eras-of-network-television/4110/

  • tvfreak

    NOOOOO!!! My beloved Awake has been eliminated! :( :( :(

    Oh well. At least now I can stop dividing votes between 30 Rock and Community now…so I can push Community further on its way to the Victor’s Village! :)

    30 ROCK – 18 (+2)
    PARENTHOOD – 13 (-1)
    COMMUNITY – 94 (+1)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 18 (-2)

    Eliminated:
    15. Whiney (4-11, 10:28pm)
    14. Harry’s Law (4-12, 9:44am)
    13. Bent (4-12, 5:16pm)
    12. Smash (4-12, 8:59pm)
    11. The Office (4-13, 4:21am)
    10. Are You There, Chelsea? (4-13, 4:21am)
    9. Law & Order: SVU (4-13, 8:18am)
    8. Best Friends Forever (4-13, 8:22am)
    7. Up All Night (4-13, 8:13pm)
    6. Grimm (4-16, 4:38pm)
    5. Awake (4-19, 9:29pm)

    “All they teach us now is how to build roller coasters and Survivor challenges.”
    -Stewart Der, from 30 Rock episode 6.18 “Murphy Brown Lied To Us” (hilarious appearance by Bobby Moynihan there, lol :) )

  • Bran

    30 ROCK – 19 (+1)
    PARENTHOOD – 15 (+2)
    COMMUNITY – 92 (-2)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 17 (-1)

  • Nick

    30 ROCK – 20 (+1)
    PARENTHOOD – 12 (-2)
    COMMUNITY – 95 (+1)
    PARKS & RECREATION – 17 (-1)

    LOL tvfreak and I voted nearly the same way… I can almost forgive him for killing off Suburgatory on the ABC index (grrr…).
    ;-)

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