CW: Do Recent Ratings Lows Put 'The Secret Circle' In Danger Of Being Canceled?

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 24th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 22, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Ringer :cry: :cry: 0.68
Nikita (F) :| :| :| 0.69
Gossip Girl :) :) :) :) 0.81
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.82
90210 :) :) :) :) 0.98
The Secret Circle :) :) :) :) 1.02
Supernatural (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
One Tree Hill final season 1.10
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.80

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After The Secret Circle hit a series low 0.5 adults 18-49 rating last Thursday, the commenter cries began "Worse than Hart Of Dixie!", "As bad as Ringer!", not to mention the retentionistas that have had their knives out for the show all season.

Does its late season ratings plunge pull it off the "likely to be renewed" list? I don't think so, at least not yet, but I'm first to admit there's no data to back me up.

It's very rare that a show that's done reasonably well (ignore the retentionistas) for 90% of the season takes a relative ratings dive at the end like that, so I don't have any data on what that might portend.

That being the case, I'm going with something like "too little, too late", figuring that while renewal decisions have not been announced, the season's ratings history on TSC had minds at the CW already substantially made up to renew the show. But I'm in uncharted waters with that leap.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did the CW's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    You said I didn’t read the Shelter script. Um, I know that! BUT I also said that I could be wrong becase Mark wants diversity. So, I didn’t write Shelter off completely. BUT you still were rude

  • claudia

    @natalia

    you didn’t realize that my jd comment was joke. didn’t stop you from talking down to me.

    and i wasn’t trying to be rude. i was in a rush when i made that comment and could’ve worded it better. i was just saying that unless we’ve actually read the scripts we wouldn’t know whether or no it was interesting. you shouldn’t count something out so quickly based off a 1 sentence description.

  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    if you had read my past comments you would see that, I too, am in a rush because I am in a class.
    The whole Shelter thing is my prediction and my opinion. This comments part of the website is based on opinions you know, not facts. If it were on facts then the site administrators would throw everyone out of here.

    You don’t like my opinion, then skip it. But I , like many others here, will post our opinions and predictions.
    This might not be the site for you, if you don’t like opinions/predictions

  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    you don’t like that I wrote off Shelter. Well, I like First Cut but others here in the past wrote it off. And that is 100% okay. Their opinion

  • claudia

    @natalia

    you’re right. i didn’t read your past comment. my mistake.

    what even? i never said i didn’t like your opinion. i gave you my opinion on your opinion about shelter. why is that a problem if this site is all opinions? and i wasn’t even rude about it. you’ve completely turned this into something that it’s not. nice how you’ve completely disregarded everything you said and pinned it all on me. you say i’m the most annoying person you’ve come across here? well, likewise.

    This might not be the site for you, if you don’t like opinions/predictions

    there you go being condescending again. i’ll stay right where i am thank you very much. :)

  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    I said soemthing about Shelter.-YOU jumped me

    You said soemthing about Dakota- and I, INNOCENTLY, gave you info. from Deadline
    Then you replied back all “I can read” rude crap. So you started it.

    It is koay if you had said taht you wnat DAkota picku. But I just wanted to let you know the insoide scoop that Dakota’s chances are clim. Either way, f you or someone else liked DAkota, despite small chances of pickup, it’s okay to still root for DAKOTA. I NEVER said taht you couldn’t

  • Natalia

    ^corrections:

    Its okay if you had said that you want DAkota picked up. But I just wanted to let you know the inside scoop that Dakota’s chances are slim. You took it the wrong way. Either way, if you or someone else likes Dakota, despite small chances of pickup, it would be okay for you to root for Dakota. I never said that you couldn’t .Your opinion

  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    and never everyone here knows about Daedline’s info. So it’s kinda hard to tell if someone has all the info. I was just trying to be helpful

  • Natalia

    @Claudua

    I have been here for months and no one has said I had been rude. I got into a rift with Sophia once, who like you wouldn’t read my comments all the way or something so there would be a misunderstanding, but all in all Sophia was/is not rude with her comments. She would understand my side and hers at the end. So, you should drop it

  • Natalia

    ^correction: “and I hers at the end”

  • Captain

    If TSC is renewed it will almost certainly be next season’s Nikita. It will most likely be moved to Fridays, tank in the ratings and then collapse.

  • claudia

    @natalia

    I said soemthing about Shelter.-YOU jumped me

    i didn’t jump on anything. i just explained to you what i was trying to say and i apologize if it came off as rude. that was not my intention. yet you still want to argue with me about this. i didn’t start anything.

    You said soemthing about Dakota- and I, INNOCENTLY, gave you info. from Deadline
    Then you replied back all “I can read” rude crap. So you started it.

    innocently? you can’t even admit that you were being condescending!

    ugh, you’re a lost cause. someone who will never take responsibility for their actions. i’m outta here.

  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    And responsibilies for my actions? Unmm, Ive tried explaining myself and you keep making things worse. It’s like you have a pleasure when it comes to fighting.

    I apologize too if I came across rude. But, I never intended that, I was just trying to be helpful.

    All in all, sorry if I was “rude”.

  • Natalia

    “Joey has already been viewed and according to reports, especially Deadline, the other pilots were better. Those shows are in the running while Joey has like no momentum. Sorry”

    Im sorry but I don’t see how my comment about DAkota was rude….

  • claudia

    @natalia

    And responsibilies for my actions? Unmm, Ive tried explaining myself and you keep making things worse. It’s like you have a pleasure when it comes to fighting.

    really? because it seems more like you’re just blaming everything on me. i mean i started it right? and you just finished it?

    I apologize too if I came across rude. But, I never intended that, I was just trying to be helpful.
    and i accept your apology.

    Im sorry but I don’t see how my comment about DAkota was rude….
    if i say “suck it to the naysayers” isn’t it pretty obvious i know that the show probably won’t make it? it seemed like you were rubbing salt on wounds with your reply. that’s all.

  • Natalia

    @Claudia

    Okay,, so I apologize for finishing it I guess.

    “it seemed like you were rubbing salt on wounds with your reply. that’s all.”

    That’s what everyone on this site does. If you are new then get ready for some people who have a lot more harsh opinions/ comments to make than I. I , honestly, am the least of you worries on this site. LOL

    Again, I apologize. Let’s clean this slate clean and start again.

  • Freyja


    Jim said: “The show hasn’t been officially picked up since I checked the news yesterday. But they just hired new production staff, so…. you don’t sign contracts with people only to fire them a week later. I think the show will come back for season 8. I have a pretty good feeling it will be around for longer than that.”

    Yup you don’t hire a new staff and have them sign contracts, if you weren’t given the go ahead to do so. Which means it’s all done behind the scenes, were just waiting for the official word.

  • Natalia

    @Freyja

    Yep, I agree SPN is for sure picked up now. PLus, Nikita creator said he got word for season 2 pickup himself days before upfronts. Which means they will know but we won’t. Which kills me becauase I can’t wait!

  • Natalia

    CW upfronts are in 18 days! It has come by so soon. I am genuinely excited.

    [I have to go now and I don't know when I will be back because I can't get on this site at the compter in my house for some reason. And now I have to leave class :( ]

    But in case I won’t be able to say this next time:
    I just want to say good luck to every fan of every show- old and possibly new. And yes, that good luck also goes to GG, HOD and TSC. Even though I think they are bad shows, good luck as well!

  • The Carrie Diaries

    Dakota and Shelter WON’T GET A 13 EPISODE ORDERS. CULT is DoA ,In my opinion. The Selection / FiRST CUT / TB&TB could work.

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