FOX: If 'Fringe' Is Renewed Here Are 7 Reasons That Had Nothing To Do With It

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 24th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 22, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In canceled 0.66
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.67
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
The Finder (part F) :oops: 0.86
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.88
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz* :cry: :cry: 0.93
American Dad renewed 0.97
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.05
House final season 1.10
The Simpsons renewed 1.23
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.27
New Girl renewed 1.35
Glee renewed 1.37
Family Guy renewed 1.39

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4/26 Update: Fringe renewed for a final 13 episode season.
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My partner in crime disagrees, but, as I have all season, I still have Fringe as a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal because of the ways syndication, or even *potential* syndication can effect the "normal" decision making process.

However, if Fringe is renewed, I'm sure fans will trumpet a variety of reasons why it happened, and FOX's formal and informal PR apparatus will do its best to reinforce some of those reasons, here are some reasons that will have had nothing to do with it:

  • Fox executives love the show! They love all their shows, even the ones they cancel.
  • Fox wants scripted shows on Friday! Right up until they announce a schedule with no scripted shows on Friday. Fox wants to make money on Friday's, they'll do that the best way they can at the time. The "We want scripted shows on Friday" is convenient Hollywood-friendly PR while they still *have* scripted shows on Friday.
  • Fox can't get any better ratings on Fridays! Tell that to Gordon Ramsay.
  • Fringe fans make people listen. They make people take notice. Have loud voices and are heard  That's just producer cheerleading. The only things that Fox execs "listen" to from the fans are the ratings.
  • The critics love Fringe! Lone Star.
  • It has great increases in DVR viewing! Big increases from a tiny base still equal tiny totals, compared to other Fox shows.
  • Anna Torv is tangentially related to Rupert Murdoch! Rupert Murdoch would cancel a show starring his mother if the numbers didn't add up.

What will be the real reason Fringe gets renewed if it happens? As I noted two weeks ago:

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Bonus update: Photo replaced with a screen cap from a syndicated airing of 'Til Death. Yes, doubters, if a ratings loser like 'Til Death can be syndicated, so can Fringe!
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Meliwa

    @hcir–judging by Fringe’s ratings, dude, you and about 12 other people on the planet will enjoy the last season of Fringe.

  • hcir

    @Meliwa – I’ll take it! :-)

  • João Lukas

    renew Finder please!!!!!

  • Ultima

    @tj
    already been renewed lol
    shows how much writer of this knows

    This article was written before Fringe was renewed. Shows how much of an idiot you are.

  • Walter Bishop

    Oh this is a grand achievement indeed. The final season of Fringe, all answers given and finally we get licorice for everybody! Do pardon my rants, I’ve been imbibing rather heavily in a few concoctions in the lab while Olivia and Peter were out and need to urinate.

    Love,
    Walter

  • Nick

    FRINGE – 68 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 20 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 37 (+3)
    TOUCH – 32 (+2)

  • Rebecca

    FRINGE – 65 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 23 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 39 (+2)
    TOUCH – 30 (-2)

    quote from NG [1.22]:
    (Nick is beating a scarecrow into a trash can)
    Winston: What is this, Martin Scorsese’s “The Wizard of Oz”?

  • Riff Rafferty

    Riffster! I love you too! That’s an oversight, both of those should have been “certain to be canceled”, but if that hairsplitting is all you have to quibble about, we’re practically joined at the hip! Will fix that right up next week! Of course Riffster, the point isn’t that they don’t “love” the show, it’s that they “love” all their shows!

    I don’t hate you, I hate that you post misinformation.

    And at least 4 of the reasons you gave did have something to do with it. They lost money on it this year — and they’ll no doubt lose money on it next year. This is Kevin’s playground and we’re all just his guests. He most certainly does not “love” all his shows — and he makes it transparently apparent to even the comatose when he doesn’t “love” something.

    P.S. Will you cry when “The Finder” gets renewed too? Because it’s sure looking better and better every day with “Touch” sinking like a stone.

  • James

    Bill Gorman-
    “Networks love shows they can make a lot of money on, like shows they can make good money on, and don’t like shows they can’t make much money on.

    Relative performance among 18-49 year old viewers makes for a pretty good proxy about a show’s ability to make money. This matters more than overall viewership.”

    Now i really am confused,but thank you for acknowledging me for bringing some new posters/readers to your site,

    Big question for Bill and that strange thing who goes by the name of “ultimo” (ironic name because ultimo is a bit a tit)
    What are your favorite TV Shows currently?

  • tvfreak

    FRINGE – 62 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 25 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 37 (-2)
    TOUCH – 33 (+3)

    Eliminated:

    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)
    12. Napoleon Dynamite (4-13, 3:38am)
    11. The Cleveland Show (4-13, 8:39am)
    10. The Simpsons (4-13, 10:49am)
    9. American Dad (4-13, 5:26pm)
    8. Family Guy (4-13, 5:40pm)
    7. Bones (4-14, 1:57pm)
    6. House (4-14, 1:57pm)
    5. New Girl (4-25, 12:11pm)

    “Numbers are constant until they’re not.”
    -Jake Bohm, from Touch episode 1.07 “Noosphere Rising”

  • Nevid

    FRINGE – 60 (-2)
    RAISING HOPE – 22 (-3)
    ALCATRAZ – 39 (+2)
    TOUCH – 36 (+3)

  • Ginger

    Monday
    8:00 – Bones
    9:00 – Untitled Kevin Williamson (new) / Touch (new time)
    Kevin Williamson’s show is supposed to do a short cycle. Have it share with Kiefer Sutherland who’s show 24 used to share a time period.

    Tuesday
    8:00 – Raising Hope
    8:30 – El Jefe (new comedy)
    9:00 – New Girl
    9:30 – Untitled Mindy Kaling (new comedy)
    Raising Hope did okay as a lead in, add to more comedies to the mix.

    Wednesday
    8:00 – The X-Factor/American Idol
    9:30 – The Goodwin Games (new comedy)
    The tried a comedy before, but Breaking In and I Hate My Teenage Daughter were the wrong comedies.

    Thursday
    8:00 – The X-Factor/American Idol
    9:00 – Glee (new time)
    Super charge Glee with singing show lead in. Grey’s in on the decline and Person of Interest didn’t really break out into a mega hit.

    Friday
    8:00 – Hell’s Kitchen / Kitchen Nightmares
    9:00 – Fringe (13 episodes) / Karyn Usher (new drama)
    Have the kitchen shows, a final season of Fringe, and then add in a new drama.

    Saturday
    8:00 – FOX Sports Specials
    9:00 – FOX Sports Specials
    Sorry COPS, FOX is cutting the Saturday budget even further.

    Sunday
    7:30 – animated encores
    8:00 – The Simpsons
    8:30 – The Cleveland Show (new time)
    9:00 – Family Guy
    9:30 – American Dad
    Stick to this until The Flintstones remake can be done.

  • Crazy Eye Broyles (AJ)

    Do you people really have nothing better to do than make fantasy tv schedules? That may be the lamest hobby I have ever seen and is a complete waste of posting space since no one cares and they are never right.

  • Crazy Eye Broyles (AJ)

    Oh and I hope Rob9389387236736 choked on whatever he was eating when he found out this was renewed. Again.

  • Cory

    (C)RINGE – 57 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 24 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 42 (+3)
    TOUCH – 34 (-2)

  • Dennis

    FRINGE – 60 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 21 (-3)
    ALCATRAZ – 40 (-2)
    TOUCH – 36 (+2)

  • Tony

    FRINGE – 63 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 19 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 37 (-3)
    TOUCH – 38 (+2)

    How many seasons of Raising Hope are there??
    I might give it a go over the Summer

  • Dennis

    ^^^^^^^^^ 3 I think

  • tvfreak

    @Tony: There’ve been 2 seasons of RH thus far, and they are comedy platinum. (‘Cos platinum is more valuable than gold, ya know! :D ) Trust me, it’s a scream. It’s right up there with Modern Family and 30 Rock and Community.

  • Rebecca

    Yep, RH will start its third season this fall. Great show.

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