FOX: If 'Fringe' Is Renewed Here Are 7 Reasons That Had Nothing To Do With It

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 24th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 22, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In canceled 0.66
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.67
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
The Finder (part F) :oops: 0.86
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.88
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz* :cry: :cry: 0.93
American Dad renewed 0.97
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.05
House final season 1.10
The Simpsons renewed 1.23
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.27
New Girl renewed 1.35
Glee renewed 1.37
Family Guy renewed 1.39

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4/26 Update: Fringe renewed for a final 13 episode season.
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My partner in crime disagrees, but, as I have all season, I still have Fringe as a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal because of the ways syndication, or even *potential* syndication can effect the "normal" decision making process.

However, if Fringe is renewed, I'm sure fans will trumpet a variety of reasons why it happened, and FOX's formal and informal PR apparatus will do its best to reinforce some of those reasons, here are some reasons that will have had nothing to do with it:

  • Fox executives love the show! They love all their shows, even the ones they cancel.
  • Fox wants scripted shows on Friday! Right up until they announce a schedule with no scripted shows on Friday. Fox wants to make money on Friday's, they'll do that the best way they can at the time. The "We want scripted shows on Friday" is convenient Hollywood-friendly PR while they still *have* scripted shows on Friday.
  • Fox can't get any better ratings on Fridays! Tell that to Gordon Ramsay.
  • Fringe fans make people listen. They make people take notice. Have loud voices and are heard  That's just producer cheerleading. The only things that Fox execs "listen" to from the fans are the ratings.
  • The critics love Fringe! Lone Star.
  • It has great increases in DVR viewing! Big increases from a tiny base still equal tiny totals, compared to other Fox shows.
  • Anna Torv is tangentially related to Rupert Murdoch! Rupert Murdoch would cancel a show starring his mother if the numbers didn't add up.

What will be the real reason Fringe gets renewed if it happens? As I noted two weeks ago:

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Bonus update: Photo replaced with a screen cap from a syndicated airing of 'Til Death. Yes, doubters, if a ratings loser like 'Til Death can be syndicated, so can Fringe!
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Tony

    @TvFreak & Rebecca
    So its a half hour non-laugh track comedy then??
    Sounds right up my street!! :)

    Is it more of a drama then comedy?
    The concept sounds like it would fit a drama more

  • tvfreak

    @Tony: Nope, it’s all-out comedy.

  • Leah

    only goes to show the stupidity of what gets ratings…how shows like cleveland, the simpsons and family guy get renewed year after year amazes me…but shows like Alcatraz and Terra Nova get cut…I am going to assume that the avg IQ of the viewers that make and break shows is less than 90…

  • Nick

    FRINGE – 60 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 21 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 40 (+3)
    TOUCH – 36 (-2)

    “These numbers point to a disorder in the universe”
    - Dr. Arthur Teller, Touch episode 1.02 “1+1=3″

  • Dennis

    @Leah

    Your post is invalid.
    It’s not as if Terra Nova was a complex show!

  • Mark

    MONDAY:
    8pm – Bones
    9pm – Untitled Kevin Williamson

    TUESDAY:
    8pm – Little Brother
    8:30pm – Raising Hope
    9pm – New Girl
    9:30pm – Untitled Mindy Kaling

    WEDNESDAY:
    8pm – The X Factor

    THURSDAY:
    8pm – The X Facor
    9pm – Glee

    FRIDAY:
    8pm – Hell’s Kitchen
    9pm – Fringe

    MIDSEASON:
    Ben Fox is My Manny (on the Tuesday comedy block)
    Goodwin Games (when AI goes to 90 minutes)
    Guilty (in Bones timeslot while it’s on hiatus)
    Untitled Karyn Usher (after AI while Glee takes a hiatus)

  • tvfreak

    FRINGE – 58 (-2)
    RAISING HOPE – 23 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 37 (-3)
    TOUCH – 39 (+3)

    Eliminated:

    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)
    12. Napoleon Dynamite (4-13, 3:38am)
    11. The Cleveland Show (4-13, 8:39am)
    10. The Simpsons (4-13, 10:49am)
    9. American Dad (4-13, 5:26pm)
    8. Family Guy (4-13, 5:40pm)
    7. Bones (4-14, 1:57pm)
    6. House (4-14, 1:57pm)
    5. New Girl (4-25, 12:11pm)

    From Fringe episode 1.01 “Pilot” -
    Nina: How long has he been dead?
    Technician: About five hours.
    Nina: Question him.

  • PeterTheBishop

    Fringe…Renewed!!!!!

    Finally, killer ep last night after a dragging season.

    Hopefully, they keep the momentum going for an epic final season.

    Then we Fringe fans will have to scream for a Fringe movie!!!

  • Rebecca

    @Tony, yes it’s a half hour comedy…no laugh track. No live audience. Done by the same creator as My Name Is Earl (and sometimes has some of the same actors from that old fun show).

    new vote:

    FRINGE – 55 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 26 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 35 (-2)
    TOUCH – 36 (-3)

    quote from 24 – Day 3, 1:00pm – 2:00pm [3.01]:
    Michelle Dessler: I’ll go anywhere with you…as long as I don’t have to cook.
    Tony: Sweetheart, if you promise not to cook, I will take you with me anywhere.

  • MJDB

    Possible 2012-13 Primetime Schedule:

    Sunday:

    7:00-Napoleon Dynamite
    7:30-Bob’s Burgers
    8:00-The Simpsons
    8:30-The Cleveland Show
    9:00-Family Guy
    9:30-American Dad

    Monday:

    8:00-Touch
    9:00-Bones

    Tuesday:

    8:00-Raising Hope
    8:30-New Comedy
    9:00-New Girl
    9:30-New Comedy

    Wednesday:

    8:00-The X Factor/American Idol

    Thursday:

    8:00-The X Factor/American Idol
    9:00-Glee (Final Season)

    Friday:

    8:00-Kitchen Nightmares
    9:00-Fringe (Final Season)/Cops
    9:30-Fringe (Final Season)/Cops

    Saturday:

    8:00-Drama Rerun
    9:00-Drama Reru

    Saturday:

    8:00-

  • MJDB

    error:

    Saturday:

    8:00-Drama Rerun
    9:00-Drama Rerun

  • martinex

    I’d just like to make a plea for Bob’s Burgers (hilarious), Napoleon Dynamite (Wah!), Fringe, and (yes) The Finder (even though it seems more of a USA show than Fox). Fox has had a history of jettisoning shows that I love (The Sarah Conner Chronicles, Family Guy, Arrested Development)so nothing would surprise me.

  • Mark

    @MJDB

    Do you really expect FOX to air zero new dramas?

  • Cory

    FRINGE – 52 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 28 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 38 (+3)
    TOUCH – 34 (-2)

  • Tony

    FRINGE – 55 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 26 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 35 (-3)
    TOUCH – 36 (+2)

    ~Rebecca Thanks, I’ll definitely check it out over the summer :)

  • Nick

    @Dennis
    Terra Nova was a very complex show. You obviously didn’t watch it. (P. S., it’s not just about dinosaurs).

    Terra Nova was my favorite new drama this season (I liked it even more than Once and Alcatraz).

    @tvfreak
    Like the quote lol.

  • Dennis

    FRINGE – 58 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 24 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 32 (-3)
    TOUCH – 38 (+2)

    @Nick I did watch it. It was dreadful, utter cheese and not complex at all

  • Nick

    FRINGE – 55 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 22 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 35 (+3)
    TOUCH – 40 (+2)

    @Dennis,
    Well obviously you and I have contrasting tastes.

  • tvfreak

    FRINGE – 52 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 24 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 33 (-2)
    TOUCH – 43 (+3)

    Eliminated:

    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)
    12. Napoleon Dynamite (4-13, 3:38am)
    11. The Cleveland Show (4-13, 8:39am)
    10. The Simpsons (4-13, 10:49am)
    9. American Dad (4-13, 5:26pm)
    8. Family Guy (4-13, 5:40pm)
    7. Bones (4-14, 1:57pm)
    6. House (4-14, 1:57pm)
    5. New Girl (4-25, 12:11pm)

    “Step 1, Dad breaks out of a maximum security facility. Step 2, Dad breaks into a maximum security facility. Piece of cake.”
    -Josh Shannon, from Terra Nova episode 1.01 “Genesis, Part 1″

  • Rebecca

    FRINGE – 49 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 27 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 31 (-2)
    TOUCH – 45 (+2)

    I’m out of Fox quotes. How about “Doh!” (Simpsons) or “The Truth is out there” (X Files).

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