FOX: If 'Fringe' Is Renewed Here Are 7 Reasons That Had Nothing To Do With It

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 24th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 22, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In canceled 0.66
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.67
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
The Finder (part F) :oops: 0.86
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.88
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz* :cry: :cry: 0.93
American Dad renewed 0.97
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.05
House final season 1.10
The Simpsons renewed 1.23
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.27
New Girl renewed 1.35
Glee renewed 1.37
Family Guy renewed 1.39

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4/26 Update: Fringe renewed for a final 13 episode season.
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My partner in crime disagrees, but, as I have all season, I still have Fringe as a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal because of the ways syndication, or even *potential* syndication can effect the "normal" decision making process.

However, if Fringe is renewed, I'm sure fans will trumpet a variety of reasons why it happened, and FOX's formal and informal PR apparatus will do its best to reinforce some of those reasons, here are some reasons that will have had nothing to do with it:

  • Fox executives love the show! They love all their shows, even the ones they cancel.
  • Fox wants scripted shows on Friday! Right up until they announce a schedule with no scripted shows on Friday. Fox wants to make money on Friday's, they'll do that the best way they can at the time. The "We want scripted shows on Friday" is convenient Hollywood-friendly PR while they still *have* scripted shows on Friday.
  • Fox can't get any better ratings on Fridays! Tell that to Gordon Ramsay.
  • Fringe fans make people listen. They make people take notice. Have loud voices and are heard  That's just producer cheerleading. The only things that Fox execs "listen" to from the fans are the ratings.
  • The critics love Fringe! Lone Star.
  • It has great increases in DVR viewing! Big increases from a tiny base still equal tiny totals, compared to other Fox shows.
  • Anna Torv is tangentially related to Rupert Murdoch! Rupert Murdoch would cancel a show starring his mother if the numbers didn't add up.

What will be the real reason Fringe gets renewed if it happens? As I noted two weeks ago:

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Bonus update: Photo replaced with a screen cap from a syndicated airing of 'Til Death. Yes, doubters, if a ratings loser like 'Til Death can be syndicated, so can Fringe!
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Ultima

    @MJDB
    Possible 2012-13 Primetime Schedule

    New dramas…

  • james

    Fringe has been renewed for a 13 episode last season!!! Make an article for that i had to dig to get that info…

  • chrisss

    Here’s my Fall Schedule:

    Sunday: Animated Comedies

    Mon:
    8pm- Bones
    9pm- Williamson/Bacon Serial Killer Show

    Tues:
    8pm- The Goodwin Games
    8.30pm- Raising Hope
    9pm- New Girl
    9.30pm- Unt. Mindy Kaling Pilot

    Wed-
    X-Factor

    Thurs-
    8pm- Results Show
    9pm- Glee

    Fri-
    8pm- Kitchen Nightmares
    9pm- Fringe

  • Cory

    @James …. there is an article about Fringe being renewed. On the home page of this site, it’s the 6th story down under the “Featured Stories” heading. It’s basically right at the top 1/3 of the page…hard to miss.

    FRINGE – 46 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 29 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 34 (+3)
    TOUCH – 43 (-2)

  • Tony

    FRINGE – 49 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 31 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 32 (-2)
    TOUCH – 40 (-3)

  • MJDB

    @Mark

    Sorry, I’ll put a new schedule out next week. I do expect them to, I guess at the moment assumed I put some on, but now I realize that I didn’t. Next week I’ll be better. Must’ve been rushing.

  • MJDB

    @Ultima

    That message was for you too.

  • Dennis

    FRINGE – 52 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 33 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 30 (-2)
    TOUCH – 37 (-3)

    :)

  • Jack

    Just checked the news and… guess what? Fringe got renewed! WB must be pretty good in negotiating syndication deals and programming fees, but still.

  • Nick

    FRINGE – 49 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 31 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 33 (+3)
    TOUCH – 39 (+2)

    • “Numbers. I’m starting to understand them, and now patterns?”
    - Martin, Touch episode 3.05 “Entanglement”

  • tvfreak

    FRINGE – 46 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 33 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 31 (-2)
    TOUCH – 42 (+3)

    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)
    12. Napoleon Dynamite (4-13, 3:38am)
    11. The Cleveland Show (4-13, 8:39am)
    10. The Simpsons (4-13, 10:49am)
    9. American Dad (4-13, 5:26pm)
    8. Family Guy (4-13, 5:40pm)
    7. Bones (4-14, 1:57pm)
    6. House (4-14, 1:57pm)
    5. New Girl (4-25, 12:11pm)

    “We have done the impossible, and that makes us mighty.”
    -Malcolm Reynolds, from Firefly episode 1.01 “Serenity”

  • Rebecca

    FRINGE – 43 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 36 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 29 (-2)
    TOUCH – 44 (+2)

    quote from The X Files [1.2]:
    Scully: Oh my g-d, Mulder. It smells like…I think it’s bile.
    Mulder: Is there any way I can get it off my fingers quickly without betraying my cool exterior?

  • Dennis

    FRINGE – 46 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 34 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 31 (+2)
    TOUCH – 41 (-3)

  • tony

    FRINGE – 49 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 32 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 33 (+2)
    TOUCH – 38 (-3)

    I hope netflix bring back Jericho :)

  • Rebecca

    Game players: Elimination Game votes have ended on this thread. The game has resumed over on the new r/c index thread for Fox, on page 2.

  • Kilborn

    Fox would cancel any show regardless of quality. Look no further than “Firefly”.

    Kudos and vindication for Joss Whedon with “The Avengers” this spring! Finally, a show Fox can’t cancel!

  • Dan

    I know the networks look at ratings, but they are complete BS. Everyone knows it, even your FAQ says so, or at least implies they are BS. If out of the statistical sample only 10% like a show, but in reality it could be 50% or more. If a TV network wants to truly look at ratings, they should look at social media sites to truly find out who watched the show, simply because, they will be talking about it. For instance, look at how many tweets were made about a show after it airs. Etc… You can get faster numbers and best of all, the work is already done for you. No need to install boxes or anything at peoples homes. Get with the times and use what the target demographics actually use to talk about the show, its all done online.

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