ABC: 'Scandal' Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Pan Am* canceled 0.42
Charlie's Angels * canceled 0.48
Work It! * canceled 0.61
Cougar Town :| :| :| 0.65
Missing :oops: 0.65
Body Of Proof* :oops: 0.66
Man Up * canceled 0.66
The River* :oops: 0.66
GCB :| :| :| 0.80
Scandal :) :) :) :) 0.83
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.89
Last Man Standing :) :) :) :) 0.90
Private Practice :) :) :) :) 0.93
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.99
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Happy Endings :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :) :) :) :) 1.04
Desperate Housewives final season 1.04
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.29
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.01

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After two years of what seemed like face saving renewals of marginally rated dramas (V, Body Of Proof), ABC finds itself in a completely different position this season with several rookie dramas with reasonably good ratings.

From Revenge which I have predicted as "certain to be renewed" for quite some time, now to Scandal, which after a string of 2.0 adults 18-49 ratings I am moving up to "likely to be renewed", to GCB not far behind, but still a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

This is the last "regular" ABC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

Why is Cougar Town just a "toss up" with its dreadful ratings instead of "likely to be canceled" or worse? Because of past (negative) experience, I'm keeping shows in their third seasons (even shortened ones) no lower than a "toss up" because of potential syndication related benefits.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • disney rocks

    PP could air its 13 episodes in the DWTS results timeslot when it is on break.

    However, it would need to be cut to 10-11 episodes. Or just have 2-3 of them air in a different timeslot. The last ones.

  • moionfire

    I love scandal, although the dialogue can be a bit embarassing sometimes. Also, it seems that Private Practive has good ratings, so I am not sure why they are canceling it!! It seems like ABC and Shonda Rhimes want to really push “Scandal” at the detriment of its other show.

  • John A

    I hate people making fantasy schedules. Can you guys ban people who do it?

  • Grey

    Have people really given up on Cougar Town being renewed?

    I remember all the rumours and whispers about Fringe being renewed, and now Private Practice…

    I havent heard any rumblings about Cougar Town…which is disconcerting.

  • r0ckmypants

    @John A – Agreed. I don’t mind thoughtful fantasy schedules at all, and I do them every year on my blog. But none of the fantasy schedules in these comment sections have any thought or research or planning or COMMON FRIGGIN’ SENSE behind them.

  • Brandy

    I just hope GCB gets renewed,but if it dosent I’ll buy the DVD in June.

  • The Other Tony

    @ John A and r0ckmypants —

    I’ll stop posting my fantasy schedules when other people stop doing the stupid fantasy elimination games.

    And on that note…

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Dancing With the Stars
    10:00 – Castle / Nashville (midseason – 13 episodes)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars Results Show / Comedy filler (midseason)
    8:30 – White Van Man (fall) / American Judy (midseason – 13 episodes)
    9:00 – Cougar Town (13 episodes with option for back-9) / Prairie Dogs (midseason – 13 episodes)
    9:30 – Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt. 23 (13 episodes with option for back-9) / Happy Endings (midseason – 16-22 episodes)
    10:00 – Private Practice (fall) / Zero Hour (midseason – 13 episodes)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The Middle
    8:30 – Suburgatory (fall/late-spring) / Untitled Dan Fogelman Project (midseason – 8 episodes)
    9:00 – Modern Family
    9:30 – The Family Trap (fall) / How to Live With Your Parents For The Rest of Your Life (midseason – 8 episodes)
    10:00 – Revenge (split season: fall/spring) / Americana (midseason – 13 episodes)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – Last Man Standing
    8:30 – Malibu Country (fall) / The Manzinis (midseason – 13 episodes)
    9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00 – Last Resort (fall) / The Gilded Lillys (midseason – 13 episodes)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Wife Swap / Shark Tank
    9:00 – Primetime: What Would You Do?
    10:00 – 20/20

    SATURDAY
    8:00 – ENCORES

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – America’s Funniest Home Videos
    8:00 – Once Upon A Time
    9:00 – 666 Park Avenue (fall) / Gotham (midseason – 13 episodes)
    10:00 – Scandal (13 episodes with option for back-9 pickup) / Devious Maids (midseason – 13 episodes)

  • Bee

    i wouldn’t take the “13 episode” comment about PP seriously yet. i have a hard time believing it’ll get an OTH-like perfect “this is the final season!” type exit. the cast and crew still wanna make it and if the ratings are still decent, it’ll get extra episodes and be in contention for a season 7. if not, they’ll announce mid-way that it’s indeed the end.

  • Matto

    Castle is such a high quality show, and has a strong, loyal fanbase, and audience and almost always has more total viewers than piece -o- sh*t H50!!

    DWTS is sadly, slowly, steadily dying. It is still the most watched reality show on TV, so that is a good plus to ABC.

    I think Devious Maids is such a quality SUNDAY show, NOT good for Wednesday. I think the SUNDAY schedule should be: ( AND THE REST OF THE WEEK)

    SUNDAY

    8PM – Americana
    9PM – Devious Maids
    10PM – Revenge (NEW NIGHT)

    MONDAY

    (SAME)

    TUESDAY

    8PM – DWTS RESULTS
    9PM – Gotham
    10PM – Last Resort

    WEDNESDAY
    8 – 9PM (SAME)
    10PM – Gotham

    THURSDAY
    8PM – Scruples
    9PM – Greys Anatomy
    10PM – 666 Park Ave.

    FRIDAY
    8:00PM – How To Live With Your Parents…
    8:30PM – Counter Culture
    9:00PM – Mandy Moore Project
    9:30PM – Red Van Man
    10:00PM – Once Upon A Time

  • Fred

    @Grey,

    Except from the CT showrunners. An ominous sign indeed.

    Well, I will be watching every CT ep that airs. Sadly CT isn’t on NBC. If it were CT would have a better chance of being renewed.

  • Matto

    Actually im sorry for the typo… I actually meant for Once Upon A Time to be at Wednesday at 10 and Gotham Tuesday at 9 and Scandal at Thursday at 10 and 666 Park Ave at Friday at 10… somehow

  • Tony

    I love reading these fantasy schedules. Some of them are just straight up insane. OUAT on Fridays? Grey’s Anatomy on Friday? 20/20 on Wednesdays? all of ABC’s wednesday block moved to Sunday? almost the entire schedule having a different show come midseason? lol. no offense. I like reading them because I like seeing what other people have in mind, but sometimes they can just be a bit crazy, but that’s okay because it gives me a good laugh.

  • Bunny

    @Fred and @Grey

    According to Bill Lawrence there is lots behind-the-scene stuff that not of people know about…and he recently tweeted that all of the media sites who predicted a downfall for CT will be on his “suck it” list when the show comes back next season.

  • Fred

    Thanks Bunny!

  • Harris

    @billymartins Ditto to what Alex said. You would literally ruin ABC within 1 year with such a dramatic scheduling shift, lol.

  • Ginger

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – America’s Funniest Home Videos
    8:00 – Once Upon A Time
    9:00 – 666 Park Avenue (new drama)
    10:00 – Castle (new time)

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Dancing With the Stars / The Bachelor
    10:00 – Nashville (new drama)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Last Man Standing
    8:30 – Malibu Country (new comedy)
    9:00 – Dancing with the Stars Results / Apartment 23 (new time)
    9:30 – Dancing with the Stars Results / Happy Endings (new time)
    10:00 – Devious Maids (new drama)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The Middle
    8:30 – Suburgatory
    9:00 – Modern Family
    9:30 – Counter Culture OR The Manzinis (new comedy)
    10:00 – Revenge

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – GCB (new time)
    9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00 – Scandal

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Shark Tank
    9:00 – Private Practice (13 episodes final season) / Primetime: What Would You Do?
    10:00 – 20/20

  • Liz

    I’m going to have to go with both of the Tonys on the fantasy schedule issue. They’re at least good for some laughs at all the craziness, and they’re infinitely more interesting than the annoying elimination game.

  • OERM

    Scandal will be renewed but it will be moved

  • Mark

    MONDAY:
    8pm – Dancing with the Stars
    10pm – Gilded Lilys

    TUESDAY:
    8pm – Happy Endings
    8:30pm – How to Live with Your Parents
    9pm – DWTS Results
    10pm – Private Practice

    WEDNESDAY:
    8pm – The Middle
    8:30pm – Suburgatory
    9pm – Modern Family
    9:30pm – American Judy
    10pm – Revenge

    THURSDAY:
    8pm – Last Resort
    9pm – Grey’s Anatomy
    10pm – Scandal

    FRIDAY:
    8pm – Shark Tank
    9pm – Last Man Standing
    9:30pm – Malibu Country
    10pm – 20/20

    SUNDAY:
    8pm – Once Upon A Time
    9pm – 666 Park Avenue
    10pm – Mistresses

    MIDSEASON:
    Nashville
    Americana
    Devious Maids
    Castle
    Untitled Mandy Moore
    Only Fools and Horses
    Cougar Town

  • rob60990

    I don’t mind fantasy schedules if they make some sense. I do it myself. billy martins and Matto’s schedules are so bad.

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