ABC: 'Scandal' Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Pan Am* canceled 0.42
Charlie's Angels * canceled 0.48
Work It! * canceled 0.61
Cougar Town :| :| :| 0.65
Missing :oops: 0.65
Body Of Proof* :oops: 0.66
Man Up * canceled 0.66
The River* :oops: 0.66
GCB :| :| :| 0.80
Scandal :) :) :) :) 0.83
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.89
Last Man Standing :) :) :) :) 0.90
Private Practice :) :) :) :) 0.93
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.99
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Happy Endings :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :) :) :) :) 1.04
Desperate Housewives final season 1.04
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.29
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.01

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After two years of what seemed like face saving renewals of marginally rated dramas (V, Body Of Proof), ABC finds itself in a completely different position this season with several rookie dramas with reasonably good ratings.

From Revenge which I have predicted as "certain to be renewed" for quite some time, now to Scandal, which after a string of 2.0 adults 18-49 ratings I am moving up to "likely to be renewed", to GCB not far behind, but still a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

This is the last "regular" ABC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

Why is Cougar Town just a "toss up" with its dreadful ratings instead of "likely to be canceled" or worse? Because of past (negative) experience, I'm keeping shows in their third seasons (even shortened ones) no lower than a "toss up" because of potential syndication related benefits.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Rebecca

    CASTLE – 53 (+2)
    THE MIDDLE – 49 (+3)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 24 (-2)
    MODERN FAMILY – 41 (-3)

    quote from Castle [4.22]:
    M.E. Perlmutter: I’ll have answers for you after I cut him open.
    Castle: Charming.
    M.E. Perlmutter: We’re all meat, Castle. Get over it.

  • Vicki

    I love Scandal. I love it when woman can be driven and power hungry.

  • rob60990

    @Ultima, this has to be the 5th schedule I’ve seen that has the DWTS results show after the performance show. Those poor people on the West Coast won’t be able to vote. :(

  • Justin121

    PS nets don’t bother giving full final seasons except for tentpoles.

    PP is more of a One Tree Hill than a Desperate Housewives.

  • wayneosworld

    Last Man Standing has collapsed…how can it be renewed?

  • Devin

    I love fantasy schedules!

    Sunday:

    7:00-America’s Funniest Home Videos
    8:00-Once Upon a Time
    9:00-Devious Maids
    10:00-GCB (I wish they would rename the show)

    Monday:

    8:00-Dancing With the Stars (2 Seasons)/The Bachelor
    10:00-Park 666

    Tuesday:

    8:00-Last Man Standing
    8:30-Malibu Country
    9:00-Dancing Results(Comedies Midseason)
    10:00-Castle

    Wednesday:

    8:00-The Middle
    8:30-Suburgatory
    9:00-Modern Family
    9:30-How to Live w/Your Parents
    10:00-Revenge

    Thursday:

    8:00-Mistresses/Beauty and The Beast
    9:00-Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00-Private Practice (Final Season)/Scandal

    Friday:

    8:00-Happy Endings
    8:30-Cougar Town
    9:00-The B in Apt 23
    9:30-The Manzinis
    10:00-Last Resort

    Saturday:

    8:00-Movie

    Mid Season:
    American Judy
    Family Trap
    Gilded Lillys
    Americana
    Nashville
    20/20
    Shark Tank
    Wipeout

  • Rebecca

    CASTLE – 55 (+2)
    THE MIDDLE – 52 (+3)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 22 (-2)
    MODERN FAMILY – 38 (-3)

    quote from OUAT [1.20]:
    August: You’re our only hope.
    Emma: Then you’re all screwed.

  • IheartCT

    I pray they renew Cougar Town, it’s effing hilarious! :/

  • Badman

    Monday:
    8:00pm DWTS
    10:00pm Castle

    Tuesday:
    8:00pm Last man standing
    8:30pm How to live with your parents
    9:00pm DWTH results
    10:00pm 666 Ave

    Wendesday:
    8:00pm The middle
    8:30pm Suburgatory
    9:00pm Modern family
    9:30pm Apt. 23 / Happy endings
    10:00pm Revenge

    Thursday:
    8:00pm Nashville
    9:00pm Grey’s anatomy
    10:00pm Private practice (final season) / scandal

    Friday:
    8:00pm Priarie dogs
    8:30pm American judy
    9:00pm 20/20
    10:00pm Shark tank

    Sunday:
    8:00pm Once upon a time
    9:00pm Beauty and the beast / Gcb
    10:00pm Devious Maids

  • Jenny

    Nooo don’t renew Scandal please, it has taken PP’s slot on Thursday night and even with a better lead-in, better time, it still couldn’t beat PP’s lowest-rated episode ever. Please give Private Practice a full final season, and cancel Scandal. Thanks

  • Jenny

    Seems like PP vs Scandal is becoming a big issue haha. Anyway I’d be on PP’s side. Better show, not being treat fair enough by ABC, have strong and loyal fanbase. Although it’s never been considered as a big hit, but it fully deserves a full 22-episode final season, not just a “13 episodes to wrap things up”. We neet it to stay, ABC pls listen to viewers. I don’t hate Scandal for any reasons ’cause I don’t watch it, but in my opinion its potential of growing is small.

  • rob60990

    there is no PP vs. Scandal. Both will likely be back.

  • Penny

    Scandal is a disappointment.
    I hope it won’t be renewed, they took a great actor as Cusick and completely underused him.
    At least he will be available for better shows.

  • Valerie

    PP should get full final season order. And Scandal should get another season as well, it has a potential,it can grow.

  • Mp

    SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, SCANDAL, please I hope they never cancel this show!!!

  • tvfreak

    CASTLE – 58 (+3)
    THE MIDDLE – 50 (-2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 19 (-3)
    MODERN FAMILY – 40 (+2)

    “I’m being redirected to Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms! [whisper] Tobacco…”
    -Brick Heck, from The Middle episode 3.21 “The Guidance Counselor”

  • MB

    “Scandal” is interesting. “The Mentalist” is interesting only the episode centers on Red John; otherwise, it’s a creaky whodunit.

  • Steve

    ABC Fall 2012
    Sunday
    7pm AFHV
    8pm Once upon a time
    9pm Don’t Trust the B
    9:30pm Happy Endings
    10pm Devious Maids

    Monday
    8pm Dancing with the Stars
    10pm Last Resort

    Tuesday
    8pm Dancing Results
    8:30pm American Judy or How to Live with Your Parents
    9pm Nashville
    10pm Private Practice

    Wednesday
    8pm The Middle
    8:30pm Suburgatory
    9pm Modern Family
    9:30pm NEW FAMILY COMEDY
    10pm Revenge

    Thursday
    8pm Castle
    9pm Greys
    10pm Scandal

    Friday
    8pm Last Man Standing
    8:30pm Reba 2.0
    9pm Shark Tank
    10pm 20/20

  • Nick

    CASTLE – 55 (-3)
    THE MIDDLE – 48 (-2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 22 (+3)
    MODERN FAMILY – 42 (+2)

    “Don’t be silly. You can’t drive a tank on the street! It doesn’t have turn ondicators!!”
    -Mike, LMS episode 3.24 “Found Money”

  • Nick

    This site REALLY needs an edit button. ^I meant “indicators” in the quote. Stupid phone.

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