ABC: 'Scandal' Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Pan Am* canceled 0.42
Charlie's Angels * canceled 0.48
Work It! * canceled 0.61
Cougar Town :| :| :| 0.65
Missing :oops: 0.65
Body Of Proof* :oops: 0.66
Man Up * canceled 0.66
The River* :oops: 0.66
GCB :| :| :| 0.80
Scandal :) :) :) :) 0.83
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.89
Last Man Standing :) :) :) :) 0.90
Private Practice :) :) :) :) 0.93
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.99
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Happy Endings :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 :) :) :) :) 1.04
Desperate Housewives final season 1.04
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.29
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.01

-
After two years of what seemed like face saving renewals of marginally rated dramas (V, Body Of Proof), ABC finds itself in a completely different position this season with several rookie dramas with reasonably good ratings.

From Revenge which I have predicted as "certain to be renewed" for quite some time, now to Scandal, which after a string of 2.0 adults 18-49 ratings I am moving up to "likely to be renewed", to GCB not far behind, but still a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

This is the last "regular" ABC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

Why is Cougar Town just a "toss up" with its dreadful ratings instead of "likely to be canceled" or worse? Because of past (negative) experience, I'm keeping shows in their third seasons (even shortened ones) no lower than a "toss up" because of potential syndication related benefits.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • tvfreak

    @Nick: Your typo would actually work on a comedy somewhere, I’d bet. Not LMS perhaps, too family-friendly. Raising Hope would be a great place to use it, though.

  • Rebecca

    lol Yeah, I could picture Virginia Chance saying ondicators.

    CASTLE – 58 (+3) Season Finale this Monday night!
    THE MIDDLE – 50 (+2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 20 (-2)
    MODERN FAMILY – 39 (-3)

    quote from CT [2.2]:
    Ellie: I want to tell people about every moment with Stan…how he blows kisses in his sleep, and he scares himself when he sneezes. Do you remember the time he pooped in your mom’s purse? I mean, I had to hold it for him, but still….

  • chicc_o

    ABC needs to renew:
    1- Once Upon a Time : Best New Series no comparison
    2- Revenge : Extremely HOT and can go where ever they want .
    3- GCB : They can put it Thursday @ 8 and it will survive there

    Sunday :
    8: Once Upon a Time
    9: The Beauty & The Beast (Best lead in )
    10 : Castle (already established)

    Monday :
    8-10 : DWTS
    10 : Devious Maids (Needs a push to be a HIT)

    Tuesday :
    8 : Happy Endings (Great and might survive)
    8:30 : Don’t Trust the B in Apartment 13
    9 : DWTS Results
    10 : Revenge (Strong and will perform anywhere)

    Wednesday :
    8: The Middle
    8:30 : Last Man Standing (Needs a push and if failed can be replaced by a Sabergatory and a new Comedy will Launch after Modern Family)
    9: Modern Family
    9:30 : Sabergatory / New Comedy Mid Season Replacment
    10 : 666 Park Avenue (Can Success here , Revenge made it possible)

    Thursday :
    8: GCB /PP/Scandal
    9: Greys
    10 : GCB /PP/Scandal

    Friday :
    8: New Comedy
    8:30 : New Comedy
    9 : New Comedy
    9:30 : New Comedy
    10 : Whatever they want to put :)

  • Al

    ABC Fall 2012
    Sunday
    8pm Once upon a time
    9pm 666 Park Ave (or Gotham)
    10pm Last Resort/Gotham/Mistresses

    Monday
    8pm Dancing with the Stars
    10pm Castle

    Tuesday (Dancing and country music night)
    8pm Dancing with the Stars Results
    8:30pm Malibu Country
    9pm Nashville
    10pm Private Practice (13 ep in fall)/Penoza (premiere in January)

    Wednesday (family show)
    8pm The Middle
    8:30pm Suburgatory
    9pm Modern Family
    9:30pm How to Live with Your Parents for the Rest of Your Life
    10pm Revenge

    Thursday (young women night)
    8pm Devious Maids
    9pm Greys
    10pm Americana

    Friday (old night)
    8pm Last Man Standing
    8:30pm The Manzinis
    9pm Body Of Proof
    10pm 20/20

    Mid Season:
    Penoza
    Last Resort
    Family Trap
    Happy Endings
    Mistresses
    Scandal (?}

  • Justin121

    I would like @SJ’s input on this

    Slots that need to be filled:

    Tuesday 8:30 (sitcom)
    Wednesday 9:30 (sitcom)
    Thursday 8:00 (Missing)
    Sunday 9:00 (Housewives)

    ABC usually premiers 3 dramas so one more needs to be cancelled.

    GCB or Scandal? I see no way around it.

    Also, an extra hour of comedy has to take place but that would probably be on Friday. Currently there is no slot for Cougar Town, Happy Endings, Apt. 23.

    Body of Prood currently has no slot. Either cancelled or Friday.

  • tvfreak

    CASTLE – 61 (+3)
    THE MIDDLE – 48 (-2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 17 (-3)
    MODERN FAMILY – 41 (+2)

    From Modern Family episode 3.21 “Planes, Trains, and Cars” –
    Haley: This is just like last year when you wouldn’t take off those skinny jeans.
    Alex: Woudn’t or couldn’t?
    Phil: Hey, I looked hot!

  • Tommy

    According to deadline, ABC is in talks for “Cougar Town” to move to TBS!

  • Georgie

    ABC Dramas pilots(yes=it should go to series, no=it should not have even been given a pilot order):

    Last Resort: Yes!!!!
    Devious Maids: sure, not my cup of tea but it could do well
    Americana: maybe
    Scruples:maybe
    Gotham: Yes!
    Beauty and the Beast: not sure…
    666 park Ave: maybe
    Nashville: NO!
    Penoza: sure
    Dark Horse: NO
    Zero Hour: maybe

  • Louise Wilson

    Scandal – Revenge – The Good Wife – OUAT – Grimm – If they can have those shows stay on then my week will be quite satisfied. For they go full circle in thoughtful entertainment.

  • asdf

    Castle: Will be renewed, certainly, but for 13 episodes, or a full season?

  • Rebecca

    CASTLE – 64 (+3)
    THE MIDDLE – 46 (-2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 19 (+3)
    MODERN FAMILY – 38 (-3)

    quote from CT [2.5]:
    Laurie: Sad is when your foster brother loses an eye in a backyard wrestling match. True story. Pow! Sprinkler head.
    Andy: Is that the one they call Cyclops?
    Laurie: Weirdly, a different brother.

  • J

    How in the world do the executives on TV make their decisions. Every time they produce a good show they just cancel it before it has a chance. I LOVE LOVE LOVE MISSING and like Body of Proof and they are canceling both of them and keeping stupid shows like Suburgatory, Cougar Town and possibly GCB?? I just don’t understand. Do they care what people want to watch ?? I think we’ve had enough reality TV to dumb down America. I mean can we please have only a small portion of the shows fall in to the reality category. I guess they want us to just turn our TV’s to the cable shows.

  • Gustavo

    ABC is a very unusual network.So far didnt renewed anything.

  • Nick

    CASTLE – 61 (-3)
    THE MIDDLE – 44 (-2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 22 (+3)
    MODERN FAMILY – 40 (+2)

    @Rebecca wrote +3 next to both OUAT and Castle, but only raised Ouat 2 so her vote is acceptable :-)

    • “It is too dangerous. We are hostages. Behave accordingly…. Please”  
    -Martha, Castle episode 4.07 “Cops and Robbers”

  • David Howell

    Sunday: 8 OUAT, 9 new fantasy (pick one from Gotham, 666, or Beauty & The Beast), 10 Castle
    Monday: 8 DWTS, 10 Revenge
    Tuesday: 8 DWTS results, 8:30 Malibu Country, 9 HE, 9:30 Apt 23, 10 new drama
    Wednesday: 8 The Middle, 8:30 Suburgatory, 9 MF, 9:30 new comedy, 10 Devious Maids
    Thursday: 8 Wipeout, 9 Grey’s, 10 PP
    Friday: 8 new comedy, 8:30 new comedy, 9 reality, 10 20/20

    PP would be a final season; Scandal and GCB would both be on the bench, with one of them replacing PP. Between DWTS cycles, The Batchelor takes the slot on Monday night, Malibu Country could move to 8pm, with maybe a Modern Family rerun at 8:30.

    ABC shouldn’t even be trying to compete on Thursday at 8 against two of the three biggest shows on television when Wipeout costs almost nothing and does as well as anything else they could put in the slot. That means TGIF for comedy expansion, something we know ABC is open to; if you must renew LMS (I wouldn’t) it leads off Friday night.

    Not sure which new drama would go best on Tuesday, nor which would fit the post-MF slot.

  • Rebecca

    @Nick
    Oops, sorry! Thanks for fixing.

  • Nick

    Have a laugh…
    ABC schedule-

    Mon:
    Dwts (3hrs, 3cycles)

    Tue:
    DWTS Recap
    DWTS Results (2 hrs)

    Wed:
    DWTS

    Thu:
    DWTS Recap
    DWTS Results

    Fri:
    The Middle
    MF (how’s that for TGIF)
    Body of Proof
    Private Practice (final season)

    Sat:
    20/20

    Sun:
    AFV
    OUAT
    Revenge
    GA (final season)

    Lol :-D

    Here’s a real schedule-

    Mon:

  • Nick

    As I said.. EDIT BUTTON!
    Real ABC schedule:

    Mon:
    Dwts/Bachelor/ Duets
    Castle

    Tue:
    LMS
    Reba (new)
    DWTS Results/ Apt 23 + new comedy
    Last Resort (13 ep)/PP (16 ep. Final season)

    Wed:
    TM
    Suburgatory
    MF
    HOw to Live With Your Parents/ American Judy (both new)
    Revenge

    Thu:
    Beauty and the Beast
    GA
    Scandal (13 ep)/ Gilded Lilys (new 13 ep)

    Fri:
    Wipeout/Shark Tank
    new “friends” comedy
    Cougar Town (27 ep, enough for syndication)
    20/20/ Body of Proof

    Sat (fall):
    Football

    Sat: (winter)
    Shark Tank (r)
    20/20
    Castle (r)

    Sun:
    AFV
    OUAT
    Gotham (new)
    Devious Maids (new)
    (note: OUAT has 2-hr premiere to give lead in to Maids)

  • tvfreak

    CASTLE – 64 (+3)
    THE MIDDLE – 42 (-2)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 19 (-3)
    MODERN FAMILY – 42 (+2)

    From Missing episode 1.08 “Answers” (of which this episode featured some) –
    Becca: You son of a b**ch!
    Paul: I can explain-
    [They fight a bit. In a graveyard. So disrespectful. :( ]

  • HotLatino4GayMarriage

    CASTLE – 67 (+3)
    THE MIDDLE – 39 (-3)
    ONCE UPON A TIME – 21 (+2)
    MODERN FAMILY – 40 (-2)

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