CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' & 'Rob' Getting Canceled Or Renewed Likely Depends On More CBS Sitcom Time

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.47
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.57
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.58
The Good Wife* renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.73
Unforgettable :oops: 0.73
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.93
CSI renewed 0.94
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.03
Person Of Interest renewed 1.06
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Criminal Minds renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.25
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.35
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

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Nobody's happier than I am that the recycling of CBS topics and headlines in this weekly post is over after this week.

While I can imagine a scenario where CBS doesn't expand its sitcom time and Rules of Engagement gets renewed, I don't think that's a likely scenario. If CBS doesn't expand its sitcom time, I think it's likely that both Rules and Rob are canceled.

However if CBS does expand its sitcom time by an hour (which seems likely but not certain) then these are the outcomes I see in order of their decreasing likelihood.

  • Rules is renewed. Rob is canceled.
  • Both are renewed.
  • Both are canceled.
  • Rob is renewed. Rules is canceled. I view this as highly unlikely.

To make room for new dramas in next Fall's schedule, CBS will cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami), and maybe both. The conventional wisdom is that if its only one NY goes and Miami stays, but I don't think there's enough behind that conventional wisdom to trust it.

This is the last "regular" CBS Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • morningtvwatcher

    http://perezhilton.com/2012-05-01-ashton-kutcher-resigns-two-and-a-half-men#.T6AeS7NYv4E

    Two And A Half Men Gets Another Year! Ashton Kutcher And Co. All Renew Their Contracts!

    Filed under: TV News > Ashton Kutcher > Business Blitz

    It’s official!
    After weeks of negotiations and speculation on whether or not it would even be renewed in the first place, Ashton Kutcher, Jon Cryer, and Angus T. Jones have renewed their contracts for a tenth – and most likely final – season of Two and a Half Men!
    According to sources, the MaSheen’s replacement will now be earning close to $700,000 per episode, with Cryer making slightly less and Jones taking in $300,000 – all this on top of the bonus they received for just signing back on!
    Meanwhile, CBS still has to negotiate a new deal with Warner Bros TV, which produces the Chuck Lorre-created sitcom, but now that the cast is back, things are expected to be good to go by the network’s upfront presentation, scheduled for May 16th!
    And there ya go!
    We really weren’t sure if this one would survive another year, but we guess people are still enjoying the show with Ashton!
    Who’d have thought?!
    Ha! We kid, we kid!
    Glad to have you all back!

  • Avery

    2012-13 Schedule
    Sunday
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – The Mentalist

    Monday
    8:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    8:30 – Partners
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – Mike & Molly
    10:00 – Elementary

    Tuesday
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS:LA
    10:00– Hawaii 5-0

    Wednesday
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    Thursday
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Louis C.K./Spike Feresten Project
    9:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    9:30 – Super Fun Night
    10:00 – Person of Interest

    Friday
    8:00 – Martin Lawrence Project
    8:30 – Ben Falcone/Larry Dorf Project
    9:00 – Widow Detective
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

  • matty B

    CBS Unstoppilbe Tuesday

    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS: LA
    10:00 Hawaii Five-O

  • rob60990

    If CBS expands comedy which I think they will, Rules will get the renewal over Rob.

  • Rebecca

    ^ Agree with rob60990.

    And thanks for using a Rules pic, even though it seems hardly anyone likes those two characters, lol. I like Adam, Jeff and Audrey best. I’m okay with David Spade’s Russell but I know hardly anyone else likes him.

  • Liz

    I could easily see a scenario where both of them are cancelled, even with sitcom expansion. Three new sitcoms on the fall schedule might seem like a lot. But comedy is hot, and CBS has the hits in place to launch new shows.

  • Tom

    I believe Rules will be renewed. Probably for a short season of 13 eps then held back and used to fill holes in the schedule. The show has been a very steady and consistent performer for CBS. It is practically the perfect utility show for them. Plug it in anywhere and it’s viewers show up, it’s numbers fluctuate less than most shows on tv regardless of night of the week and the shows around it. It is not a huge performer but it is very consistent and I think CBS will recognize the value of having it ready to go when they need a show on a moments notice.

  • BL

    If Rules of Engagement gets renewed, I see it moving to Saturday Night

    CBS Sunday
    7pm 60 minutes
    8pm Amazing Race
    9pm Undercover Boss
    10pm CSI

    Monday
    8pm 2.5 Men
    8:30pm How I Met Your Mother
    9pm 2 Broke Girls
    9:30pm New Sitcom
    10pm Hawaii Five-O

    Tuesday
    8pm NCIS
    9pm Person of Interest
    10pm New Drama

    Wednesday
    8pm Survivor
    9pm Criminal Minds
    10pm New Drama

    Thursday
    8pm The Big Bang Theory
    8:30pm Mike and Molly
    9pm 1 New Drama or (possibly 2 new sitcoms)
    10pm New Drama

    Friday
    8pm The Mentalist
    9pm Blue Bloods
    10pm The Good Wife

    Saturday
    8pm The Big Bang Theory (Re-run)
    8:30pm Rules of Engagement
    9pm CSI Miami
    10pm 48 Hours Mystery

    Cancelled: CSI: NY; Unforgettable, NYC 22, A Gifted Man, Rob

  • Scott M

    @Liz

    While it’s possible that CBS will expand their sitcom hours and not have Rules or Rob on the fall schedule CBS will surely want a backup plan in case one of their new sitcoms tanks. Kinda like this year with Gentleman getting dropped and Rules stepping in.

  • tvfreak

    @morningtvwatcher: After last night’s hilarious turn with Kathy Bates, how can 2.5 Men not be renewed? :D

  • Fake Me Out

    @Bill Gorman


    * Rules is renewed. Rob is canceled.
    * Both are renewed.
    * Both are canceled.
    * Rob is renewed. Rules is canceled. I view this as highly unlikely.

    As always you fail to think outside the box! A fifth possibility is the two shows are merged into one SUPER COMEDY! ;-)

    YMMV

    Coloring inside the lines is for those who fail to see the bigger picture

  • ToXiX

    As much as I want Rob! to get renewed, it’s been far too long since it’s premiere and has been forgotten.

  • Ram510

    I think Rules of Engagment will e renewed even if they don’t expand comedy hours cause they San always place it in Saturdays and move it if a comedy fails.

    However I don’t think CBS will be able to do the “Saturday” placement for very long. I’m sure there’s got to be something in a contract somewhere, just a guess

  • Liz

    @Scott M

    Totally possible. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Rules renewed (while I would be surprised to see Rob renewed in any capacity). But I’m putting my money on it not appearing on the fall schedule, unless CBS tries to pull the Saturday trick again.

    @BL

    Are you saying that NCIS: Los Angeles is going to be held for midseason?

  • KJ Styles

    As I said last week. I believe it’s CERTAIN that CBS will expand it’s sitcom hours for several reasons.

    1) 6 of their Top 7 shows are sitcoms

    2) They have a TON of comedy pilots pitched to them, they’re gonna want to premiere at least two of them and they’ll need to expand their hours to do so.

    3) There is a good chance of How I Met Your Mother and/or Two & A Half Men ending after next season. The cast of HIMYM (particularly Josh Radnor) has stated that the show will last no longer than 8 seasons, and next season will be it’s 8th, and with the way the storylines have been going with Robin having been the last chick that Ted fell in love with before he met his kids’ mother, it’s clear that the end is near. As for 2.5 Men, it’s highly unlikely that Ashton Kutcher will sign a long term deal, that coupled with Angus T. Jones being 18 now and can’t really be considered a half-man anymore says that the end is near for that show as well. I’m sure CBS is prepared for those possible developments so they’re gonna need more hits to replace them. Right now, besides those two aforementioned the only true hits they have are Big Bang Theory and 2 Broke Girls. Mike & Molly is a decent performer but not a true hit.

    Also, I think either Rob or Rules Of Engagement will get cancelled even though neither show deserves it given their above average ratings. It wouldn’t surprise me if both of them got the axe. I definitely don’t see both getting renewed because if that happens then they’d only be able to premiere one new sitcom unless they timeshare again like they did with Rules and Rob.

    In any event, I’m looking forward to seeing the CBS upfront more than any other network. It’s my favorite.

  • tvfreak

    @BL: Liz is right, NCIS: LA can’t be held for midseason. Since when does CBS ever do that?

  • tvfreak

    @KJ Styles: Yeah, HIMYM and 2.5 Men should go soon. I just hope that M&M doesn’t become the next Rules – that is, the decently rated sitcom treated by the network as a red-headed stepchild because it’s not a super smash hit.

  • tvfreak

    Well, it’s been a good long while since I joined in the Fantasy Schedule game, so…

    Monday: HIMYM final season, Over and Out, 2.5 Men final season, 2BG, Elementary
    Tuesday: NCIS, NCIS: LA, H50 (just like @matty B says)
    Wednesday: Survivor, CM, CSI
    Thursday: TBBT, M&M, PoI, Mentalist
    Friday: Golden Boy/UB if it fails, Unforgettable, BB
    Saturday: Rules final season, comedy reruns, drama rerun, 48 Hrs.
    Sunday: TAR/UB, Trooper, TGW final season
    Cancel: AGM, CSI: NY and Miami, NYC 22, Rob

  • KJ Styles

    @TVFreak- I’m gonna miss HIMYM if next season is it’s last. I’m sure they’ll end it properly though. As for Mike & Molly, I can see it getting that treatment. I’m not a fan of M&M, but if I was I wouldn’t care as long as it gets renewed for several seasons which I believe it will. After all, despite the red-headed stepchild treatment, Rules has lasted 6 seasons and could very well get a 7th. That’s an excellent run for a sitcom. Also I don’t see CBS moving M&M out of it’s timeslot next year.

    If I were them. I’d move 2BG to Mondays at 8 next year, and HIMYM to Thursdays at 9 with a new sitcom or Rules or Rob following it, then POI at 10.

  • tvfreak

    @KJ Styles: I love M&M and would be very disappointed to see it get shafted the way Rules is getting shafted. Maybe you’re right about it not changing timeslots, maybe Over and Out could benefit more from the always reliable lead-in of TBBT.

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