CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' & 'Rob' Getting Canceled Or Renewed Likely Depends On More CBS Sitcom Time

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.47
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.57
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.58
The Good Wife* renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.73
Unforgettable :oops: 0.73
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.93
CSI renewed 0.94
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.03
Person Of Interest renewed 1.06
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Criminal Minds renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.25
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.35
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

-
Nobody's happier than I am that the recycling of CBS topics and headlines in this weekly post is over after this week.

While I can imagine a scenario where CBS doesn't expand its sitcom time and Rules of Engagement gets renewed, I don't think that's a likely scenario. If CBS doesn't expand its sitcom time, I think it's likely that both Rules and Rob are canceled.

However if CBS does expand its sitcom time by an hour (which seems likely but not certain) then these are the outcomes I see in order of their decreasing likelihood.

  • Rules is renewed. Rob is canceled.
  • Both are renewed.
  • Both are canceled.
  • Rob is renewed. Rules is canceled. I view this as highly unlikely.

To make room for new dramas in next Fall's schedule, CBS will cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami), and maybe both. The conventional wisdom is that if its only one NY goes and Miami stays, but I don't think there's enough behind that conventional wisdom to trust it.

This is the last "regular" CBS Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • KJ Styles

    @TVFreak- I don’t see CBS putting 2BG at 9:30. It’s ratings are far too strong for that timeslot. I think they’ll either have it headline Mondays at 8, or move it to Thursdays at 9. Also, Unforgettable is as good as dead, and I don’t see them putting Rules on Saturdays. They’ll just air reruns that night and 48 Hours.

  • tvfreak

    Game time!

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 69
    HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER – 24

    Voting in the Elimination Game is conducted in +3, +2, -2 and -3 until only three shows are left, in which case it is +3 and -3 only. If a show makes it to 100 points it enters the Victor’s Village, where it stays until only one other show remains to join it in the Winners’ Circle, where both shows are reset to 10 points and votes are conducted in +1 and -1 until an Ultimate Winner is declared.

    Also, if I don’t recognize you as a regular user I will have to disqualify your vote unless you swear on your grave not to cheat (or if @Julia can verify that you don’t use sock puppets to post, but that’s only done on her own time), and if you answer a trivia question related to that network.

    And after voting, please wait 24 hours before voting again. Enjoy!

  • DangleDang

    somebody know when cbs is will report their 1st-quarter results??

  • DangleDang

    -is

  • tvfreak

    @KJ: Okay, if M&M stays where it is then so will 2BG, which if it continues to grow like the fungus it is will probably come to anchor an hour by fall 2013.

    As for Unforgettable, well, everyone knows my opinion on that one. I will be sorely disappointed if CBS cancels that one (especially since they’ve already renewed TGW, blecch :( )

    And remember, CBS benched Rules to Saturdays at first this season, only to return it to Thursdays when How to Be a Gentleman flopped. Who’s to say it won’t hapen again.

  • KJ Styles

    @TVFreak- Agreed with you on Over & Out, it would get MONSTER ratings behind Big Bang Theory. I could see it being CBS’s 3rd highest rated sitcom next year behind only BBT and 2BG. I don’t expect it to be as good quality-wise as Martin’s classic FOX show, but I will give it a shot.

  • Rebecca

    I’m a HIMYM fan and I’m ready for next season to be its last. Go out on a high note. That can happen with CBS, unless they decide to keep it longer (but it seems the cast is ready to move on anyway). I’ll watch Rules as long as it airs. I don’t care about Rob but if it comes back I’ll probably keep watching. I’ll also keep watching TBBT. I just wish it wouldn’t air opposite Community or 30R because it’s hard to pick which one to record (can only record/watch one “live” here).

  • CrimTV

    @Avery

    “Monday
    8:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    8:30 – Partners”

    As much as I love 2 Broke Girls, I doubt CBS will choose to put it at 8pm, it’s content isn’t appropriate for 8pm (same for shows like Happy Endings and Apt. 23).

  • Ralph Hahn

    @tvfreak: CBS running a lot of promos for the next two “Unforgettable” episodes, saying words to the effect that it’s the SEASON finale.

  • KJ Styles

    @TVFreak- I think 2BG is the sitcom most likely to move timeslots next season. It’s ratings are good enough to warrant either anchoring Mondays at 8 (if they move HIMYM to Thursdays) or Thursdays at 9 (which would give CBS a lineup that would win the night easily.

    If CBS moves M&M, it’ll be Mondays at 8:30 which would actually INCREASE it’s ratings. It would make more sense to put a new sitcom in that slot though.

    I tried watching Unforgettable (mainly because Poppy Montgomery is HOT) but the show just bores me. I’m not surprised at The Good Wife’s renewal given it’s Emmy Buzz every year. Next year will undoubtedly be it’s last though. CBS should announce it as the final season. If it can’t get ratings after 3 seasons, I don’t see why they’d think it can in it’s 4th.

    As for Rules, they only did that because CBS didn’t have many comedy hours. But next season they will have more so it’s most likely destination is Thursdays at 9:30.

  • RISE ABOVE HATE

    @morningtvwatcher

    Let me add some stuff to that

    Two and a Half Men fans, you can breathe again! It looks like the snags in getting a tenth season going have finally been cleared up. According to Deadline Hollywood, stars Ashton Kutcher, Jon Cryer, and Angus T. Jones (Half-man! Half-man! Half-man! I will put a Game of Thrones joke anywhere…) are just a signature away from a one-year deal with the CBS comedy.
    The biggest news here is the inclusion of Kutcher, who replaced Charlie Sheen on a trial basis last season. His future with the show was always up in the air, but Season 9 performed well enough without Sheen to inspire both Kutcher and CBS to work something out. Kutcher will earn around $700,000 per episode, Cryer just shy of that, and Jones will rake in $300,000 an ep. You still make a lot less.

    Now all CBS has to do is work out a deal with Warner Bros TV to continue airing the show, which shouldn’t be difficult. It’s still unclear whether Season 10 will be the show’s last.

    That is from http://www.tv.com

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “CBS running a lot of promos for the next two “Unforgettable” episodes, saying words to the effect that it’s the SEASON finale.”

    Irrelevant.

    Networks do not “surprise” announce whether a finale is season or series finale in promos.

  • KJ Styles

    @CrimTV- 2BG’s content is no worse than HIMYM’s. Barney gets (or at least used to get) more action than Max, Caroline, and every character on 2BG combined.

  • TVDude

    I think Rules was set up for a 13 episode final season. I don’t imagine it immediately appearing in September, even if CBS does expand the comedy time. While its ratings aren’t horrible, the network wants to (and needs to if TAAHM and HIMYM are on their way out) find a hit. Rules will then move into replace anything that has lower ratings.

    As others have mentioned, there are many ways Rules can be burned off if it’s not ever put on the regular schedule including Saturdays (I think CBS will try to avoid this though) or saving it for the summer season (which could happen if they can’t find room for it during the regular season). I would be more surprised if it doesn’t come back than if it does. Still, anything’s possible, I suppose. The actors probably don’t care any more either way. I would personally love to see Patrick Warburton on a more cared for show. So if CBS does bring it back, I do hope it’s for the last time and written that way.

  • morningtvwatcher

    I thought How I meant your Mother still had two Season left? It is currently in it’s 7th season, but It’s was renewed for a 8th and 9th season last year?. And knowing CBS track Record they probably will give it it a Ninth season.

  • KJ Styles

    @TVFreak- If Rules gets renewed, I could see it being timeshared again as well as next season being it’s last. That doesn’t mean that it won’t appear in September though. I’m sure that CBS is gonna want a show with good ratings to lead in Person Of Interest on Thursdays (which it currently does) and Rules fits the bill.

  • TVDude

    I have a feeling CBS will push to keep HIMYM on as long as it rates well. I think it’ll come down to the creative side and the cast since I doubt it’ll rate poorly any time soon.

  • KJ Styles

    @TVDude- Of course CBS will want to keep HIMYM, but the cast clearly wants to move on so I don’t see it going more than 2 more seasons given it’s storyline. It seems like Ted is gonna meet his kid’s mother and marry her soon, and that’ll be the series finale either next season or the season after.

  • Liz

    CBS running a lot of promos for the next two “Unforgettable” episodes, saying words to the effect that it’s the SEASON finale.

    The same thing has happened for multiple cancelled shows. People tried to point to it as a renewal sign, and look what happened.

  • jens2488

    I do not see Over and Out as a good fit for 2BG, TBBT or HIMYM. An older guy who goes to a police academy. It could go the same fate likw Rob!. A star, but not compatible with the lead-in. 2BG, HIMYM and 2BG are all about duos/groups of friends. That is why CBS has ordered pilots like Partners, Super Fun Night, Berlanti/Malins project, Ck/Feresten porject, Friend me and the Nick Stoller comedy, which are all about groups of Friends.

    If you believe the deadline pilot buzz, Partners is a frontrunner wth most of the other comedies about groups of friends in the mix. Over and Out is not even mentioned, which does not mean that it has no chance, but it does not seem to be the huge favorite.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures