CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' & 'Rob' Getting Canceled Or Renewed Likely Depends On More CBS Sitcom Time

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.47
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.57
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.58
The Good Wife* renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.73
Unforgettable :oops: 0.73
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.93
CSI renewed 0.94
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.03
Person Of Interest renewed 1.06
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Criminal Minds renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.25
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.35
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

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Nobody's happier than I am that the recycling of CBS topics and headlines in this weekly post is over after this week.

While I can imagine a scenario where CBS doesn't expand its sitcom time and Rules of Engagement gets renewed, I don't think that's a likely scenario. If CBS doesn't expand its sitcom time, I think it's likely that both Rules and Rob are canceled.

However if CBS does expand its sitcom time by an hour (which seems likely but not certain) then these are the outcomes I see in order of their decreasing likelihood.

  • Rules is renewed. Rob is canceled.
  • Both are renewed.
  • Both are canceled.
  • Rob is renewed. Rules is canceled. I view this as highly unlikely.

To make room for new dramas in next Fall's schedule, CBS will cancel at least one of the CSI offspring (NY or Miami), and maybe both. The conventional wisdom is that if its only one NY goes and Miami stays, but I don't think there's enough behind that conventional wisdom to trust it.

This is the last "regular" CBS Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • tvfreak

    @Nick: I think HIMYM should be down to 18 now, so I’m going to incorporate that into my vote:

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 78 (+3)
    HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER – 15 (-3)

  • Rebecca

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 75 (-3)
    HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER – 18 (+3)

    quote from NCIS [1.2]:
    Marine: Why you jumping with us, Sir?
    Tony: Always wanted to jump. Gibbs came along to laugh.

  • thazenstab

    All I have to say is they need to keep CSI NY!

  • Jordan

    LOL new pilots. CBS could just show BBT repeats after new episodes all season and be set. Why waste our time with something that’ll be canceled in three weeks?

  • Dean_W

    2012-13 Shedule:

    MONDAY:
    8:00PM – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30PM – NEW COMEDY (September-January) / NEW COMEDY (January-May)
    9:00PM – Two and a Half Men (Final Season)
    9:30PM – Mike & Molly
    10:00PM – Hawaii Five-0

    TUESDAY:
    8:00PM – NCIS
    9:00PM – NCIS: Los Angeles
    10:00PM – NEW DRAMA

    WEDNESDAY:
    8:00PM – Survivor
    9:00PM – Criminal Minds
    10:00PM – CSI: Crime Scene Investigation

    THURSDAY:
    8:00PM – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30PM – 2 Broke Girls
    9:00PM – Person of Interest
    10:00PM – The Mentalist

    FRIDAY:
    8:00PM – NEW DRAMA / Undercover Boss
    9:00PM – CSI: NY (Final Season)
    10:00PM – Blue Bloods

    SATURSDAY:
    8:00PM – COMEDY REPEATS
    8:30PM – COMEDY REPEATS
    9:00PM – DRAMA REPEATS
    10:00PM – 48 Hours Mystery

    SUNDAY:
    8:00PM – The Amazing Race
    9:00PM – The Good Wife (Full Season, Final Season)
    10:00PM – CSI: Miami (Final Season)

    This Schedule is in case of the non-extended Comedy Time in Thursday. If the Extension is done ‘The Mentalist’ will move on Friday at 9 (It’ll kill the Show), ‘Person of Interest’ will go on Thursday at 10 and ‘Rules of Engagement’ will be Renewed for a shortened Season.

  • Justin121

    I find it funny when some posters say:

    ‘They should move it to see how it does without its lead-in’.

    Yeah, they’ll risk the failure of several shows, or the entire network, just to “see how it does without its lead-in”.

    *sigh*

  • steve

    I read Rules was canceled :(

    Too bad, I really like the show too. Very funny!
    CBS should just do another 13 episode order in case one of their new fall sitcoms fail.

  • jens2488

    The newest deadline buzz, of course no guaranteed series orders

    DRAMAS

    Elementary: Seems to be a lock
    Ralph Lamb: Very Strong
    Trooper: Gains momentum, because Jerry Bruckheimer would still have three shows on CBS, if one CSI will get cancelled
    Applebaum and Widow Detective: tested good
    Golden Boy and Baby Big Shot: In the mix

    All drama pilots still in contention

    COMEDIES
    Partners and Nick Stoller Comedy: Strong
    Malins/Berlanti: gaining Momentum

    @ Kyle
    and here it is:

    Over and Out: good early buzz (filmed late)

    How many shows will they pick up? My GUESS: 3 dramas and 3-4 comedies (depending on comedy time expansion)

  • Rebecca

    @steve
    Where did you read that – was it recently? (Rules of Engagement)
    It wasn’t renewed with the big block of other renewed CBS shows but we’ll find out May 16th the fate of the remaining CBS shows (CSI Miami, CSI NY, Rules, Rob and TAAHM but that one’s probably a lock-in).

  • Rebecca

    ^I may have forgotten a few others, like Unforgettable.

  • bluejays

    CBS will expand their sitcoms one way or another I’d bet money on it.

    POI maybe moves to ten and The Mentalist elsewhere.

    @BL – why would they replace NCIS LA with a show that has performed worse than it has for most of the year? Makes no sense! If they move POI to Tuesdays at nine I’ll eat my hat.

  • Ralph Hahn

    HOPE SPRINGS: The latest on renewals and cancellations from EW.com. Entertainment Weekly’s TV writers prepared this:

    >>>Some shows have received an 11th-hour reprieve before the May upfronts in New York, where the broadcast networks announce their fall 2012 schedules beginning May 14. Time to check the status of nearly all broadcast shows. <<<

    <<Unforgettable: The Poppy Montgomery drama performs fairly well without anybody saying a word about it, which makes us think it’s got a decent shot. <<>> CSI: NY and CSI: Miami: We predict Gary Sinise and company say goodbye this spring, followed by David Caruso next year.

    Food for thought.

  • The Other Tony

    @ Dean_W

    I’m in total agreement that a move to Friday would prematurely kill The Mentalist. Although there are others on this forum who seem to think that The Mentalist could survive if it lifts CBS’s demos (and overall ratings/share) on Friday nights…I’m still skeptical, though.

    Since it’s only finishing up it’s fourth season, I think it’s way too early for CBS to sentence TM to a Burn-Off Zone on the schedule at this point in time.

  • Dss

    Oh cmon! Rules is the second funniest show of the Old monday lineup… beaten barely by Big bang.. Anything with “Putty” in it is a guaranteed win

  • GDfriends

    My schedule

    Monday
    HIMYM
    Super Fun Night (new)
    2.5 Men
    Mike&Molly
    H5O

    Tuesday
    NCIS
    NCIS: LA
    The Mentalist (new time)

    Wednesday
    Survivor
    Criminal Minds
    CSI

    Thursday
    The Big Bang Theory
    Partners (New)
    2 Broke Girls
    Martin Lawrence Comedy (new)
    Persons Of Interest (new time)

    Friday
    Undercover Boss
    CSI: NY
    Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    The Amazing Race
    The Good Wife
    CSI: Miami

    Sunday

  • Rebecca

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 72 (-3)
    HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER – 21 (+3)

    quote from the end of JAG before (or when?) it became NCIS:
    Ducky: Agent Blackadder reminds me of a young woman I autopsied once.
    Gibbs: [looking at the body] When’d she die?
    Ducky: Oh, gosh, in Hollywood. Let’s see, it’s got to be at least 20 years ago. She was an assistant film editor and the film editor’s wife caught them in flagrante delicto–
    Gibbs: [interrupting] This one, Ducky. When did this one die?

  • Badman

    Monday:
    8:00pm: How i met your mother
    8:30pm: 2 broke girls
    9:00pm: Two and a half men
    9:30pm: Mike & Molly
    10:00pm: Hawaii five-o

    Tuesday:
    8:00pm NCIS
    9:00pm NCIS LA
    10:00pm Elementary

    Wendesday:
    8:00pm Survivor
    9:00pm Criminal minds
    10:00pm CSI

    Thursday:
    8:00pm The bing bang theory
    8:30pm Partners
    9:00pm Person of interest
    10:00pm The mentalist

    Friday:
    8:00pm New show
    9:00pm The good wife
    10:00pm Blue bloods

    Sunday:
    8:00pm Amazing race
    9:00pm Undercover boss
    10:00pm CSI:Miami

  • Steve

    @ Rebecca

    Sadly here is the story I read about Rules being cancelled:

    http://www.digitalspy.com/tv/news/a350847/rules-of-engagement-canceled-by-cbs.html

  • Rebecca

    @Steve
    Alright, but that article came out last November. Things have changed. Or they haven’t, but we won’t know for sure until the upfronts.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “@ Rebecca

    Sadly here is the story I read about Rules being cancelled:”

    I’d assign zero credibility to a digitalspy post from months ago that hasn’t been corroborated by other sources since then.

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