CW: 'The Secret Circle' Falls To A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The L.A. Complex :oops: 0.44
Ringer* :oops: 0.68
Nikita (F) :| :| :| 0.69
Gossip Girl :) :) :) :) 0.82
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.82
90210 :) :) :) :) 0.98
The Secret Circle :| :| :| 1.01
One Tree Hill* final season 1.07
Supernatural (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.81

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5/3 Update: The Vampire Diaries, 90210 & Supernatural have all been renewed.

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While I still think that The Secret Circle has a better chance at renewal than Nikita and Hart Of Dixie, after two consecutive 0.5 adults 18-49 ratings I can no longer consider it "likely to be renewed" and it's now down to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

And while The L.A. Complex may have a long and happy life in Canada, after its six episodes run on the CW this spring, you'll never see it on The CW again because of its dreadful ratings. I've also moved Ringer to "certain cancellation". As now the lowest rated CW show on any night (save TLAC), it's done.

This is the last "regular" CW Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did the CW's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Jo

    http://ology.com/post/75984/renew-cancel-predictions-for-the-cw-gossip-girl-secret-circle-and-more

    This website predicts renewals for both HOD and TSC and a cancellation for GG

  • Kate

    As much as GG should probably be canceled, I’d say there’s a 99% chance of it coming back. For a shortened season, of course, but it will still be on the 2012-2013 schedule. Maybe they could place it on Tuesdays at 9 pm since everyone says that’s another death slot.

  • Adrian

    I agree with @Kate there is 99.99% chance of GG being back. If it didn’t get an early renewal it was probably because they haven’t hired a new showrunner yet. There is no way in hell it goes without a “final” season unless for some reason negotiations go terribly wrong.

    And there’s also a 99.99% chance of Arrow NOT being on Friday. It’s the most buzzed, high profile pilot they will not waste it on the Friday Death Slot. I can maybe see Cult on Friday, but not Arrow.

  • Brandy

    Kate, I felt sure GG would come back too but with total viewers under a million a few times, no new show runner announced yet, no early renwal I’m only 90% sure now where I was z100% sure before.Though OTH wasn’t a early renwal either when they announced its final season, but then they weren’t looking for a new show runner. Though last night a GG writer tweeted a pic of a piece of paper saying GG Season Six on it,so maybe it’s renewed.Though no official word fro CW yet about it.

  • Bizarro

    The CW should cancel Nikita and The Secret Circle and keep Ringer and Hart of Dixie!

  • Bizarro

    How many 0.4’s did Ringer and Nikita get?

  • WB

    This my prediction!

    RENEWED.

    1. The Vampire Diaries
    2. Supernatural
    3. 90210
    4. Hart of Dixie
    5. The Secret Circle
    6. Gossip Girl
    7. America’s Next Top Model

    CANCELLED/ENDED.
    1. Ringer
    2. Nikita
    3. Remoldeled
    4. H8Ter
    5. The L.A Complex
    5. One Tree Hill

  • Tony

    I wouldn’t say LA Complex is 100% dead. Yes it is their lowest performer, but I would love to know how much the CW pays per episode for the rights. If cheap enough and the CW could profit off of it even if it hits .3s or .4s , they should order more episodes, give it a mid to late summer launch and it could be a decent performer during repeat time. It could grow into a modest performer and being so cheap it’s a risk that could REALLY pay off in the end.

    and again this all depends on how much the CW pays for it per episode, I’m thinking – DIRT CHEAP/REALITY CHEAP.

  • AimanGabz

    im really excited for the 4 new scripts!!! one of them is the selection it mind sound girly coming from a guy like me but i truly loved the book and its like a dream come true because now i get to see it in real life instead of imagining it :) more info about the other scripts i think they are : beauty and the beast/arrow/the carries diaries :) check them out on the imdb and see the cast i hope u guys like it… fyi alaric from the vampire diaries is one of the main characters of one new script so enjoy o i think theres another one called “cult”

  • SmG

    Gummer’s fall pilot, “First Cut,” is about a young doctor in Denver who finds that life in the hospital is no different than life in high school.

    “It doesn’t pander to anyone,” she says with some relief. “It’s pretty smart, a solid alternative to the other girls’ shows. It gives [viewers] another option in case they don’t want to watch vampires. In case they want to do their homework and become surgeons.”

    http://www.nypost.com/p/entertainment/tv/mamie_choice_uZwbGxG5HnYzVJYzfWCaTK?utm_medium=rss&utm_content=TV

  • It Girl

    CW’s “The Selection” poster made by me !
    http://img15.hostingpics.net/pics/570932t3u4ybyo.png

  • Justin121

    Supernatural Best Episodes

    Season 2 episode 17 “Heart”, Sam falls for a warewolf.

    All the episodes Meg Masters (Nicki Aycox) appeared in: S01E11 “Scarecrow”, S01E16 “Shadow”, S01E21 “Salvation”, S01E22 “Devil’s Trap”.

    S02E09 Croatoan. S03E08 A Very Supernatural Christmas.

    Season 1 & 2 had many good episodes like S02E11 Playthings. S02E19 Folsom Prison Blues.

    90210:

    Season 1 episdoe 7 ‘Hollywood Forever': During a school drug bust Naomi tries to help Adrianna by taking her drugs and tries to dispose them but she is caught. Adrianna plans to come forward to protect Naomi from expulsion, but ends up over dosing.

    The first 11-13 episodes of season 1 were great.

    Gossip Girl: Pilot and many season 1-2 episodes. Also season 3-first hlaf of season 4.

    The Vampire Diaries and The Secret Circle: Meh.

  • SmG

    @It Girl, Great work, you have even set the time slot after TVD :)

  • It Girl
  • Peter Mazz

    @It Girl WOW! Those posters are great! what program did you use?

  • It Girl

    @Peter Mazz
    Thank You , I used Adobe Photoshop CS4 ! :)

  • abusedphrase

    TSC deserves a renewal :’)
    According to a poll, more people would like to see it renewed.
    http://www.tvfanatic.com/polls/which-cw-show-do-you-hope-gets-renewed-most/

  • Peter Mazz

    @It Girl You’re Welcome :’)

  • Peter Mazz

    @Bill…. i don’t know why Ringer has .68 and Nikita has .69 and Ringer is certain to be cancelled… while Nikita is just a toss up .-.

  • King

    @It Girl

    Posters are amazing!! Bravo!
    I bet its much better then CW will done (if series get picked)

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