FOX: 'Touch' Falls To A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) renewed 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In canceled 0.66
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.70
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
The Finder (some F) :cry: :cry: 0.83
Raising Hope renewed 0.88
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.88
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz* :cry: :cry: 0.93
American Dad renewed 0.98
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.06
House final season 1.10
Touch :| :| :| 1.22
The Simpsons renewed 1.22
New Girl renewed 1.35
Glee renewed 1.37
Family Guy renewed 1.39

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Recipe for Touch being a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation:

  • 1 part ratings that have fallen in all but one week of its run
  • 1 part Fringe renewal, removing an hour from the 2012-13 schedule for 13 episodes

Mix and wait for Fan Excuse Bingo play to begin!

Those who'll jump to play the "Fox can't cancel all their rookie dramas" square, may wish to refresh their memory about what happened last season.

This is the last "regular" Fox Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Pete

    If Touch is renewed with falling ratings, it can serve as a mid-season replacement of Fringe on Fridays. It isn’t strong enough to be on Mondays, and FOX definitely will try more new dramas on Thursdays.

  • Robbie

    fox will bring back either touch or alcatraz in january for 13 episodes. depends if the ratings of touch continue to fall.

  • chrisss

    @ Robbie

    Only chance they would do that is if they hate their pilots.

  • poweranimals

    FOX is dead to me if they cancel Touch.

  • Randy

    Wow, Fringe renewed. I’m shocked! Others are saying 13 episodes only for 100 ep total.

  • March

    Schedule 2012 / 2013

    Monday
    8:00 Bones
    9:00 Touch / New drama

    Tuesday
    8:00 Glee
    9:00 New Girl
    9:30 Raising Hope / New comedy

    Wednesday
    8:00 X Factor / American idol

    Thursday
    8:00 X Factor / American idol (results)
    9:00 New drama

    Friday
    8:00 Hell’s Kitchen
    9:00 Fringe

    Sunday
    8:00 The Simpsons
    8:30 New show
    9:00 Family Guy
    9:30 American Dad / The Cleveland Show

  • Bob Smith

    Richard Steven Hack

    Are you still crying?

    That’s some serious butthurt.

  • The End

    Would love to see Fox pick up a Science fiction series pilot for next season.

  • NJ Viewer

    @RG-X
    That means each movie would have to be 24 hours long…

  • DamC

    FOX 2012/2013 :

    SUNDAYS:

    Animation Domination

    MONDAYS:

    8- Bones

    9- Kevin Williamson (Fall – 15 episodes)/ Untitled Karyn Usher (Midseason – 13 episodes launched after the NFL Conference Final FOX airs)

    TUESDAYS: (premieres in November)

    8- New Comedy

    8:30- Raising Hope (22 episodes)

    9- New Girl (22 episodes)

    9:30- New Comedy

    WEDNESDAYS:

    8- The X Factor (Fall) / American Idol (Midseason)

    9- The X Factor (Fall) / Guilty (7 episodes – January and February) / American Idol (March to May)

    THURSDAYS:

    8- The X Factor Results (Fall) / American Idol Results (Midseason)

    9- Glee (November to February) / Guilty (6 episodes – March) / Glee (April and May)

    FRIDAYS:

    8- Ramsay Shows (shared with COPS since Saturdays are now dedicated to sports most of the time)

    9- Fringe (13 episodes premieres November) / Touch (13 episodes premieres February)

    This way everything would air uninterrupted apart from the holiday season break (except Glee off for 6 weeks in March). Bones has 4 episodes unaired this season they could keep for fall and shoot 22 more episodes to have a 26 episodes season. Bones would then have only like 7 or 8 weeks off in the whole season.

    This way everything would

  • Tony

    FRINGE – 40 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 39 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 37 (-2)
    TOUCH – 36 (-3)

  • Dennis

    I honestly don’t see any of these 4 going anywhere soon

    FRINGE – 43 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 36 (-3)
    ALCATRAZ – 39 (+2)
    TOUCH – 34 (-2)

  • John

    The problem with Touch is that the premise will get old very quickly. How many ways can they do a story about a boy who writes down a number the whole episode while the father runs around to see how it ties people’s lives together? The main appeal at first was that the audience wanted to see whatever happened to Jack Bauer. On the good side, I’m glad they killed off that Commie Danny Glover.

  • Cory

    As I predicted a lot of the Fringe fans have disappeared from TVBTN now that Fringe has been renewed and the show is losing steam on this voting…

    FRINGE – 40 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 38 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 42 (+3)
    TOUCH – 32 (-2)

  • Tony

    @Cory

    lol So???

    Its a pointless game, and Fringe has been in the lead since it started
    and now, Fringe fans no longer need to play
    we’ve gotten our season 5 now,
    let the other shows (Alcatraz, Touch) have a chance :)

  • patrick

    FRINGE Renewed! Luv it! :D

  • David Howell

    The case for Fox expanding their unscripted hours even further just keeps getting stronger.

    At this rate, Fox might use the post-Idol slot on an unscripted show (and don’t forget they did just that a few years ago, when the lead-in was immensely more powerful than it is now, with the reality show Unan1mous). Having said that, they need to produce something that can make it to syndication that isn’t an animation. Right now their entire syndication machine is reliant on Seth MacFarlane, which is completely unsustainable. Why else did Fringe get a season 5?

    Touch will go. The Finder and Alcatraz will definitely go. There will be no decision on Bob’s Burgers because there doesn’t have to be – the unaired second half of season 2 can air in the fall, Flintstones can take the spot in February after premiering out of the NFL playoffs, and a decision on a “season 3″ can be deferred until winter. Napoleon Dynamite strikes me as a likely cancellation just to ease the time pressure on Seth McFarlane, frankly. Fox cannot afford to burn him out, or they have nothing left for syndication other than Glee.

    Speaking of which, I see Fox keeping Glee where it is because – well, the only place you can move it other than the post-singing results slot is Monday night. Does anyone seriously think that a declining musical dramedy against The Voice, DWTS, and the strongest comedy block on television would do any better than NBC bubble numbers? Because I don’t.

    Between that and the anaemic post-Idol drama ratings, there is one simple strategy: a new Thursday 9pm comedy block. With Raising Hope renewed, I’d put that at 9:30 – the singing results lead-in needs to be used on a new show, but RH will go fine thereafter.

    Sunday: 7 The OT (fall) / reruns (spring), 7:30 Cleveland Show, 8 Simpsons, 8:30 Burgers (fall) / Flintstones (spring), 9 Family Guy, 9:30 American Dad
    Monday: 8 Bones, 9 Mastermind (fall) / Berman/Wright Project (spring)
    Tuesday: 8 Glee, 9 New Girl, 9:30 Mindy Kaling Project
    Wednesday: 8 singing
    Thursday: 8 singing results, 9 Little Brother, 9:30 Raising Hope
    Friday: 8 Fringe (fall) / new reality (spring), 9 Kitchen Nightmares
    Saturday: sport, with the occasional Cops special

    On the bench: at least one other comedy, in case a new one flops quickly; one unscripted hour-long that can be used as spackle and/or to replace an instant flop drama (Fox are piloting UK game show format The Chase in London this month, I think they might have something like that in mind for it).

  • Holly

    @David Howell

    The case for Fox expanding their unscripted hours even further just keeps getting stronger.

    How so? They have precisely 2 dramas over a 2.0, and one of them is ending. They have only two solid live-action comedies (including Glee), both of which may not remain all that solid. And the animation shows are struggling.

    Why would they want to schedule more hours when they can’t make good use of the ones they already have?

    That aside. I can’t see it becoming worthwhile to fight the affiliates for that hour without some major shifts in the business model and content.

  • judie harris

    glad Fox renewed Fringe it’s a really great show but because the CW doesn’t have on demand in my area and Fox does that is how I have to watch it the same goes for Touch but I never muss an episode of either one

  • frank5869

    Touch is a very bad show. 20th Fox cancelled a great top-notch sci-fi show that The Sarah Connor Chronicles was to come up with this pathetic Touch series now?
    Network/studios manages surely are retarded these days.
    However what else could anyone expect from Rupert Murdoch and his gang?
    Well maybe they will manage selling the awful Touch as the new Avatar scam thru 24/7 brainwash marketing machine they got. It worked with Avatar so well, they kept selling the awful Fringe fake sci-fi too. Worse the product stronger the marketing effort at selling it by brainwashing weak minds that prefer acting like sheeps instead of using their own brain.

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