NBC: Low Rated, But Lucky; 'Community,' '30 Rock,' 'Whitney' Are Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent* :oops: 0.52
Best Friends Forever* canceled 0.58
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.62
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.77
Are You There, Chelsea?* :cry: :cry: 0.90
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
Whitney* :) :) :) :) 0.96
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.99
Community :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night* :| :| :| 1.01
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.51
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.59

-
Once again, if your favorite show is terribly rated, its lucky to have it on N-B-C!

NBC's ratings devastation has reached the point that the three headlined shows are likely to be renewed, even though they have averaged less than a 1.6 adults 18-49 rating in their new episodes since January 1. The cancellation bear can't believe it.

To put that in perspective, How To Be A Gentleman was pulled from the CBS schedule last Fall after two episodes that averaged a 2.6 rating, which is better than all NBC scripted shows have done since January 1 (and better than all but The Office last Fall).

This is the last "regular" NBC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Rich

    It’s too bad Awake doesn’t have the ratings, it’s a really good show and I never miss an episode, but the ratings are complete garbage……

    Awake should make the move to TNT or USA like Southland…..

  • NYC_Lover

    This is what I think NBC will do with their comedies: (all ratings refereed to happened after winter hiatus)

    Likeliest Chance of Getting Renewed to least Likeliest:
    -The Office/Reason: Highest Rated Scripted Show
    - Parks and Rec/Reason: Second Highest Rated Comedy
    - 30 Rock/Reason: Don’t wanna piss off Tina Fey, and their making 800,000 an episode for syndication.
    - Whitney/Reason: Highest Rated New Comedy/5th highest rated average since fall out of 19 scripted on the network
    - Up All Night *TIE* – Community
    - Chelsea

  • NYC_Lover

    My predicted schedule:

    Monday:
    8: The Voice(two cycles)
    10: County

    Tuesday
    8: The Voice Results Show
    9: Parenthood/Smash
    10: The Biggest Loser(two cycles)

    Wednesday:
    8: Off Their Rockers
    830: Community
    9: Go On
    930: Whitney
    10: Do No Harm
    Thursday:
    8: Parks and Rec
    830: The New Normal
    9: The Office
    930: Animal Kingdom
    10: 1600 Pen
    Friday:
    8: Law and Order SVU
    9: Grimm
    10: Midnight Sun/Dateline

    Saturday: Repeats

    Sunday:
    7: Who Do You Think You Are
    8: SNF/ Celeb Apprentice
    9: SNF/ Hannibal
    10: SNF/ Fashion Star

    Cancelled:
    Awake
    Are You There, Chelsea?
    Harry’s Law
    Bent
    Up All Night

  • Concerned Citizen

    @NYC_Lover

    There’s no way Community is as low as you place it. It just needs one more season to reach syndication, and the rights have already been bought by Comedy Central. The only comedies which have a better chance at returning are The Office and Parks and Rec.

  • tvfreak

    @chrisss: Why on earth not?

    @Ken: HOW DARE YOU CALL REVOLUTION DEAD?! For shame. Have you no faith in sci-fi’s chances on the airwaves? Understandable after the unfortunate failure of The Event, but still…

    COMMUNITY – 12 (-1)
    30 ROCK – 8 (+1)

    Eliminated:
    15. Whiney (4-11, 10:28pm)
    14. Harry’s Law (4-12, 9:44am)
    13. Bent (4-12, 5:16pm)
    12. Smash (4-12, 8:59pm)
    11. The Office (4-13, 4:21am)
    10. Are You There, Chelsea? (4-13, 4:21am)
    9. Law & Order: SVU (4-13, 8:18am)
    8. Best Friends Forever (4-13, 8:22am)
    7. Up All Night (4-13, 8:13pm)
    6. Grimm (4-16, 4:38pm)
    5. Awake (4-19, 9:29pm)
    4. Parenthood (4-24, 4:13pm)
    3. Parks & Recreation (4-28, 3:22pm)

    From Chuck episode 1.05 “Chuck Versus The Sizzling Shrimp” -
    [Chuck has had Chinese takeout delivered while on a stakeout.]
    Casey: The idea behind a stakeout is to remain inconspicuous, you moron.
    Chuck: Uh, hello? That’s why I used an alias.

  • Kenneth

    Technically BFF has not been canceled, just removed from the schedule. Like Bent, NBC has no reason to officially cancel it now.

  • Rebecca

    ^ Yeah, they’ll just not be announced as returning shows on May 14th. It’s too bad…I liked them (Bent more than BFF). Is the Sarah Silverman pilot really dead and is that official?

    time to vote:

    COMMUNITY – 11 (-1)
    30 ROCK – 9 (+1)

    quote from The Office [2.21]:
    Dwight: Security in this office park is a joke. Last year I came to work with my spud-gun in a duffle bag. I sat at my desk all day with a rifle that shoots potatoes at 60 pounds per square inch. Can you imagine if I was deranged?

  • Nick

    COMMUNITY – 12 (+1)
    30 ROCK – 8 (-1)
    Seriously, hasn’t Community completely flattened 30 Rock yet?

    @grey matter

    ABC’s situation with comedies a few years ago was completely different from NBC’s now. First of all, ABC had 2 failing comedies on Fridays, and NBC has 3 hours of okay and good comedies. Isn’t 2 Certain Renewal, 3 likely renewal, and 1 tossup good enough for you? Because as we all know, Bill Gorman’s word is law. ;-)

  • Georgie

    @ TVfreak revolution should be dead. Everyone review i have read of the script says it is awful. Plus come on ‘all forms of energy disappear’ that make absolutely no sense. Energy can not just disappear.

  • Ultima

    @MJDB
    Sunday:
    7:00-Dateline
    8:00-Fear Factor
    9:00-Fashion Star/The Celebrity Apprentice

    Sunday Night Football…

    @tvfreak
    Sunday – Football Overrun/Harry’s Law, Chicago Fire, Celebrity Apprentice (1 hr.)

    NBC doesn’t have football overrun, they have primetime football.

  • Ultima

    @J.G.
    It seems like NBC is gonna launch the fall schedule in two tiers: post-Olympics (mid-August) and sometime later in the fall (perhaps post-election in November?)

    First week after the Olympics, then a month later when most networks do premieres.

    There’s no way they’ll launch 14 hours of programming in August, nor will they stretch their summer programming until November.

  • Ken

    @tvfreak & @Rebecca sadly deadline and numerous other sites are reporting that sarah silverman project & revolution have faded away at NBC, my info can be found on the internet

  • Georgie

    to all the fantasy schedulers who move Community away from the 8pm Thursday slot, God bless your soul. Community will do much better not going up against TBBT. Even though Community is the better show, TBBT sadly has a crazy amount of followers. Go On and Community actually seem like a good pair up for a comedy hour, I am hoping NBC is leaning the direction too.

  • fearless

    Grimm should have given a 24 episode order for the first two seasons just in case the third season will fail (which I hope wouldn’t happen)and they can option it for renewal for a fourth season syndication with fewer episodes to produce (around 18 to get the 88)

  • Pete

    @ Ultima

    I thought Sunday Night Football ended in December.

  • TVDude

    I just heard about The Voice coming on this fall and was going to post about it, but I see that someone already has. It is definitely looking like a fall premiere for The Voice is going to happen. It makes sense for them to also have it on in the spring, which makes me wonder if we’re going to see some new faces on the show since I’m sure a lot of talent on the show have other commitments. NBC is definitely going to be the most interesting network to follow in the future, that’s for sure.

  • Pete

    @ Georgie

    TBBT may move to 9pm next season, so who knows which show on NBC will go head-to-head with it.

  • Georgie

    @Pete I actually had not consider that TBBT might be moved to 9pm. good point.

  • Ultima

    @Pete
    I thought Sunday Night Football ended in December.

    SNF ends 30 December and there are only four Sundays before the Super Bowl, one of which they will use to air the Golden Globes. There’s simply no room to fit in a run of Fashion Star (or whatever) with the on-off scheduling and a February premiere of The Apprentice.

    NBC will likely use the first two Sundays to launch their midseason dramas, filler (e.g. Fear Factor) against the AFC Championship, the Golden Globes the fourth Sunday (no football), repeats against the Super Bowl, and then premiere The Apprentice the second Sunday in February (or third if they want to dodge the Grammys again).

  • chrisss

    @ tvfreak

    Because it’s NBC highest rated non-football show?

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