NBC: Low Rated, But Lucky; 'Community,' '30 Rock,' 'Whitney' Are Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent* :oops: 0.52
Best Friends Forever* canceled 0.58
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.62
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.77
Are You There, Chelsea?* :cry: :cry: 0.90
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
Whitney* :) :) :) :) 0.96
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.99
Community :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night* :| :| :| 1.01
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.51
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.59

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Once again, if your favorite show is terribly rated, its lucky to have it on N-B-C!

NBC's ratings devastation has reached the point that the three headlined shows are likely to be renewed, even though they have averaged less than a 1.6 adults 18-49 rating in their new episodes since January 1. The cancellation bear can't believe it.

To put that in perspective, How To Be A Gentleman was pulled from the CBS schedule last Fall after two episodes that averaged a 2.6 rating, which is better than all NBC scripted shows have done since January 1 (and better than all but The Office last Fall).

This is the last "regular" NBC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • rob60990

    NBC is so much of a mess and with rumors they may be premiering shows in August, I’m not making a schedule for them.

    A sitcom starring Roseanne Barr and John Goodman may not get picked up? Is the script that bad? I mean they picked up Whitney!

  • Brian

    I agree..Bring back Harry’s Law for season 3 and put it back on Mondays at 10 pm it’s orig. time!

  • Anger Management June 28

    NBC really had something good going with Whitney and Chelsea then they messed it up with Bent and BFFs.

    Hopefully with the early schedule in August we’ll get them both on the fall schedule.

  • Anger Management June 28

    @ Brian
    Even better put Harry’s Law on Thursdays at 9pm and have it boost County with those viewers and let County draw in its own demo which should be younger than HL.

  • Rebecca

    @Ken
    Thanks. I should update my “in development” chart over on the futoncritic site so I’d know what has been dropped. This is the first year I’ve used it and I don’t have many pilots listed there yet.

    @Georgie
    In my case, I like both Community and TBBT so I would just like them to be in different time slots so I can watch them both live. Otherwise I can only watch and record one and then see the other online the next day. I agree that Community is the better show…TBBT might be one of the few multi cams I still enjoy.

  • Alan

    Fashion Star is already renewed! I guess because they are already looking casting new contestants for the second season.

  • ashley

    Still trying to figure out why Up All Night is a toss up and Whitney likely to be renewed? Up All Night has a higher index than Whitney, Community and 30 Rock.

  • Randy

    Instead of going for the bare minimum, they should just gut almost all these shows, and create new ones. Also, get new writers for goodness sakes because obviously people aren’t watching their network. The shows I watched on nbc this year are Jay Leno, Who’s Still Standing (Gameshow), and Fear Factor.

  • Pete

    @Ultima

    Oh, what I mean is there is always space for NBC to launch new shows on Sundays “from February to May”. For instance, the 8pm timeslot occupied by Harry’s Law will be cleared next season. Also, if NBC wants to, Apprentice can be shortened to release more slots for other shows on Sundays.

  • Pete

    Speaking of reality shows, NBC has got too many of them – The Voice (possibly 2 cycles), The Biggest Loser (2 cycles), Apprentice, Fashion Star, Ready for Love.

    I personally don’t know where Fashion Star and Ready for Love will go next season, but there are too many of these in NBC’s primetime schedule.

  • Claimer

    @ ashley

    Are you blind Up All Night’s ratings have been horrible and in the basement. Whitney has been their second most watched comedy so that explains your false case.

  • josh

    please renew 30 rock!!!!

    The live episode was amazing! I watched both versions

  • Ultima

    @Pete
    Speaking of reality shows, NBC has got too many of them – The Voice (possibly 2 cycles), The Biggest Loser (2 cycles), Apprentice, Fashion Star, Ready for Love.

    The Voice, The Biggest Loser and The Apprentice make up six of the eight highest rated hours on NBC. When they actually have successful scripted shows, they can cut back on the number of hours spent on reality.

    There’s a limit to the number of new shows they can effectively promote for the fall, and they have plenty of holes to fill, so it’s not as if they are actually limiting the amount of scripted content at this point.

  • DamC

    NBC FANTASY SCHEDULE :

    Mondays :

    8- The Voice (Fall) / Fear Factor (Midseason)

    9- The Voice (Fall) / The Frontier (15 episodes – Midseason)

    10- Smash (15 episodes – Fall, Premieres after AGT finale) / Hannibal (15 episodes – Midseason)

    Tuesdays:

    8- The Office (24 episodes FINAL SEASON)

    8:30 – Parks & Recreation (20 to 24 episodes FINAL SEASON)

    9- Community (17 episodes FINAL SEASON -Fall) / The Voice Results (November) / Community (Winter) / The Apprentice (Spring)

    9:30- 30 Rock (13 episodes FINAL SEASON – Fall) / The Voice Results (November) / 30 Rock (Winter) / The Apprentice (Spring)
    (Since Community has more episodes than 30 Rock, it’ll be burned off in Parks & Rec timeslot)

    10 – County (22 episodes. Premieres November after The Voice Results. Only airs after The Voice and The Apprentice)

    Wednesdays:

    8- The Biggest Loser (2 seasons)

    9- Chicagon Fire (22 episodes)

    10 – SVU (22 episodes)

    Thursdays:

    8- Go On (25 episodes – premieres in August)

    8:30- Save Me (25 episodes – premieres in August)

    9- The New Normal (25 episodes – premieres in August)

    9:30- Up All Night (25 episodes – premieres in August)

    10- Parenthood (22 episodes – premieres in September)

    Fridays:

    8- maybe Harry’s Law (22 episodes)

    9- Grimm (24 episodes – premieres in August the day after the Olympics with AGT as a lead-in)

    10- Rock Center

    Sundays (Midseason after the Oscars):

    7- Who Do You Think You Are

    8- Dateline NBC

    9- Whitney (13 episodes)

    9:30- Downwardly Mobile (13 episodes)

    10- Notorious (13 episodes)

    COMEDY MIDSEASON REPLACEMENTS : Friday Night Dinner, 1600 Penn
    DRAMA MIDSEASON REPLACEMENT : Midnight Sun.

    Midnight Sun could replace County or Chicago Fire if it fails or go on Fridays at 10 if nothing fail on the fall lineup.

    Betty White’s Off Their Rockers could air on Mondays in January. The Midseason lineup would only premiere in February

  • Chris

    Whitney is a flop–no matter how many times it’s renewed. Unlikely it’ll run as long as Gossip Girl. So I guess that’s a hit? :D

  • tvfreak

    @Georgie: It’s called sci-fi. Rule #1 for Sci-Fi – Viewers must practice total Suspension of Disbelief. Plus, it’s a JJ Abrams/Eric Kripke coproduction. That has to count for something, especially since there’s a chance that after next season there’ll be no more Abrams sci-fi shows on TV (unless one counts Person of Interest, which I don’t.)

  • Chris

    No more shows run by Abrams, but Bad Robot will keep pitching ‘em, and my guess is somebody will buy one.

  • Sweetd

    If NBC renews community & ABC cancels Cougar town, NBC should pick up Cougar Town for a final season, I’m betting it would get the same, if not better ratings paired with Community.

  • Connor Ratliff

    Every news report I’ve seen is that Best Friends Forever has been pulled but that it has not officially been “cancelled” yet. There are articles which say it’s been cancelled in the headline, but the text of several of those articles contradicts this.

    Can you link to an official NBC announcement of cancellation?

  • Greg

    @Sweetd

    LOL, that would be the most awesome hour of TV!

    But I don’t think that it’ll happen. After all, Cougar Town is produced by ABC studios. Has it ever occurred of a show produced on one network being canceled and saved by another?

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