NBC: Low Rated, But Lucky; 'Community,' '30 Rock,' 'Whitney' Are Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent* :oops: 0.52
Best Friends Forever* canceled 0.58
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.62
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.77
Are You There, Chelsea?* :cry: :cry: 0.90
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
Whitney* :) :) :) :) 0.96
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.99
Community :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night* :| :| :| 1.01
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.51
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.59

-
Once again, if your favorite show is terribly rated, its lucky to have it on N-B-C!

NBC's ratings devastation has reached the point that the three headlined shows are likely to be renewed, even though they have averaged less than a 1.6 adults 18-49 rating in their new episodes since January 1. The cancellation bear can't believe it.

To put that in perspective, How To Be A Gentleman was pulled from the CBS schedule last Fall after two episodes that averaged a 2.6 rating, which is better than all NBC scripted shows have done since January 1 (and better than all but The Office last Fall).

This is the last "regular" NBC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Georgie

    @ tVFreak
    I know what sci-fi is and I like sci-fi. Fringe and Star Trek are two of my favortie franchises. However, if a show can not explain itself properly in the logline then it should not be made. Also Revolution is only executive produced by JJ Abrams same as POI.

  • dizzylucy

    I’ll be happy to see Community and 30 Rock come back again. Community is hit or miss for me, but I still love 30 Rock. But all I really care about is my precious Parks & Rec!
    I didn’t care for Whitney at all, but have really started to like Up All Night. I hope it hangs in there.

  • Rebecca

    @Greg
    I’m not sure what the situation was or if ownership of the show changed hands, but ABC got Scrubs from NBC (that’s network to network but I don’t remember what studio owned Scrubs). That’s why I think sometimes that Bill Lawrence shows should stay on NBC, and partially why CT should go there if it gets the chance.

  • Concerned Citizen

    Community – 13 (+1)
    30 Rock – 7 (-1)

  • Horrible

    NBC I beg you please don’t keep any of those loser Thursday comedies like Community and 30 Rock. These two shows are slowing your network down big time.

  • Rebecca

    @Greg
    I think another example (thought of this later) would be NCIS, which began as JAG on NBC and later became NCIS once it moved to CBS. That’s all I can think of. There was a time when it was rumored that ABC was considering getting The New Adventures of Old Christine from CBS – it’s too bad that didn’t happen; I miss that show.

  • danielcw

    @rebecca: Scrubs was an ABC Television Studios production
    JAG did not become NCIS. After one season JAG was canceled by NBC (season finale did not air), then JAG ran for another 9 seasons on CBS. NCIS was spun off during JAG’s 8th season, for 2 seasons both shows ran side by side, unfortunately crossovers were rare.

  • Ultima

    @Connor Ratliff
    Can you link to an official NBC announcement of cancellation?

    Networks usually don’t announce cancellations.

    It would be more accurate to say a show was unofficially canceled, de facto canceled or just pulled off the schedule; but, it is much easier to use the shorthand and just say it was canceled. In the end, it’s just semantics as it is certain that it won’t be on the schedule next season.

  • Rebecca

    @danielcw
    Re: JAG. On the Wikiquotes site it says (before season one quotes for NCIS): “NOTE: Before being launched as its own series, NCIS was featured as a two part episode in Season 8 of the Series JAG” – and then it has quotes from those two episodes. People here on this site told me in the past that JAG “became” NCIS.

  • Georgie

    @horrible I’m a not sure about 30 Rock, but Community is quality TV.

    Also since people are mentioning Scrubs, Scrubs was produced by abc studios, that is why ABC was able to have the show switch networks.

  • Jim

    Monday(family Night)
    8:00 New Normal
    8:30 Up All Night
    9:00 Daddy’s Girls
    9:30 DILFS
    10:00 Parenthood

    Tuesday (music Tuesday)
    8:00 The Voice
    10:00 Smash

    Wed.
    8:00 Biggest Loser
    9:00 Fear Factor/The Voice results
    10:00 Notorious

    Thursday
    8:00 Go On(August)/Off Their Rockers(October)
    8:30 Save Me(August)/Whitney(October)
    9:00 Office
    9:30 Parks & Recreation
    10:00 SVU

    Friday
    8:00 Dateline NBC
    9:00 Grimm
    10:00 Do No Harm

    Midseason
    Hannibal
    1600 Penn
    County
    Chicago Fire
    The Farm
    Animal Kingdom
    Frontier

  • Rebecca

    Community – 14 (+1)
    30 Rock – 6 (-1)

    quote from P&R [4.19]:
    Ron: I’m not sure I’m interested in that. No, I am sure. I am not interested in that.

  • tvfreak

    COMMUNITY – 15 (+1)
    30 ROCK – 5 (-1)

    What the hell, it’s not like 30 Rock really stands a chance of winning against Community anyway. :(

  • Tom

    So sorry to see that “Smash” is getting renewed. I was really hoping for that boring piece of crap to die an early death. I just hope that “Smash” doesn’t keep NBC from renewing “Parenthood”.

  • jasterisk

    I really think that the crew at Whitney thought the show was being cancelled with the way they ended it, and especially now with her talk show. I really like the show and hope it comes back but if it does I think it will be a surprise to them. I also enjoy the other two shows listed so yay for NBC. lol

  • Justin121

    August premiere isn’t a bad idea unless it were to be followed by a month’s hiatus.

    Their shows could gain ground and grow a fanbase.

    They shall order 26-30 episodes though and minimze repeats.

  • Rebecca

    @tvfreak
    That’s why I suddenly started voting that way too – with the majority. Community is bound to win in the end. I still love 30R (and P&R).

  • Matto

    Dont think 30Rock will be renewed — Alan Baldwin said he wanted nothing 2 do with NBC anymore… the only sitcoms that will be renewd are:

    The Office – (final season)
    Parks & Rec. – (final season)
    Community – (final season)

    Up All Night did horrrrible with only 2M for some of the epps… the only dramas that will be renewed are:

    Parenthood
    Law And Order: SVU

    I have to say NBC and many critics LOVED Awake — Metacritic gave it 80/100! NBC will actually probably “reboot” it for 1.) it was created and written by Kyle Killen and 2.) Kyle Killen’s other show, Lone Star, was critical hit but ratings lost so they will renew it for sympathy…

  • Oliver

    Alec Baldwin is already signed on for a seventh season of 30 Rock.

  • tvfreak

    @Concerned Citizen: Thank you for brightening my cloudy day with that article. I am happy that Revolution is looking better than most are giving it credit for, and also that the Sarah Silverman project is looking bad! :D And I am happy for other interesting pilots on other nets (e.g. Elementary, Gotham, Last Resort, Masterminds.)

    @Rebecca: I understand. Yeah, I prefer 30 Rock but it really cannot beat Community due to that show’s massive fanbase.

    @Matto: Actually, Alec Baldwin changed his mind re: coming back to 30 Rock after S6. And I can’t imagine NBC giving final season orders to so many strong veterans (well, maybe The Office, but not so much 30R, P&R, or Community).

    Unfortunately, Awake only stands a chance of returning if NBC gives it over to one of its cable nets. Cloo could do with some original programming. But USA and Syfy aren’t out of the question either.

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