NBC: Low Rated, But Lucky; 'Community,' '30 Rock,' 'Whitney' Are Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

May 1st, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Bent* :oops: 0.52
Best Friends Forever* canceled 0.58
The Firm* canceled 0.61
Harry's Law :oops: 0.62
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Awake :oops: 0.77
Are You There, Chelsea?* :cry: :cry: 0.90
Grimm (F) renewed 0.93
Whitney* :) :) :) :) 0.96
30 Rock :) :) :) :) 0.99
Community :) :) :) :) 0.99
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 1.00
Up All Night* :| :| :| 1.01
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Smash renewed 1.51
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.59

-
Once again, if your favorite show is terribly rated, its lucky to have it on N-B-C!

NBC's ratings devastation has reached the point that the three headlined shows are likely to be renewed, even though they have averaged less than a 1.6 adults 18-49 rating in their new episodes since January 1. The cancellation bear can't believe it.

To put that in perspective, How To Be A Gentleman was pulled from the CBS schedule last Fall after two episodes that averaged a 2.6 rating, which is better than all NBC scripted shows have done since January 1 (and better than all but The Office last Fall).

This is the last "regular" NBC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2011-12 season. Next week Robert and I combine for our annual "Oddsmakers" final predictions for the season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Concerned Citizen

    Community – 20 (+1)
    30 Rock – 0 (-1)

    Community wins! WOOT!

  • Ultima

    @Marcus
    How many 18 year old people do you know that set aside some of their time to actually watch their favorite show (if they even have one) each week when it airs on broadcast TV? (The 18 – 49 demographic.) Zippo.

    18 year olds are not representative of the entire 18-49 demographic.

    Broadcast TV isn’t “cool” anymore. Watching a show on your iPad or online is. The Nielson ratings system is so antiquated it shouldn’t even be relevant anymore. With so many ways to watch a television show now in 2012,

    What do iPads, online streaming and so on have to do with pricing advertising time on television networks?

    So, I watch Harry’s Law on broadcast TV, and watch Once Upon a Time later online. Why? Because Harry’s Law isn’t available on the NBC website. How many others do this, and how does that skew the inaccurate Nielsen ratings system?

    You do realize that the whole point of the Nielsen ratings system is to determine how many people are watching the commercials, so that advertising rates can be set. If you aren’t watching Once Upon a Time on TV, then advertisers aren’t going to pay for that; they’ll pay seperately for the ads that appear while streaming it.

    This outta tell you something. … Networks fighting over a 1.5 or 2.5 rating. Really? I think you are missing the trend.

    You’re missing the trend. TV viewership as a whole isn’t declining, it is just being fragmented between hundreds of cable networks. And yes, the networks fight for those small ratings, because even though ratings are declining, broadcast advertising prices are increasing. It isn’t the absolute ratings that matter, it is the relative ratings, and broadcast TV remains the most concentrated and consistent source of viewers out of any medium.

  • tvfreak

    And here we have it, the scores for the NBC Elimination Game!

    LOSERS:
    15. Whiney (4-11, 10:28pm)
    14. Harry’s Law (4-12, 9:44am)
    13. Bent (4-12, 5:16pm)
    12. Smash (4-12, 8:59pm)

    UNPOPULAR:
    11. The Office (4-13, 4:21am)
    10. Are You There, Chelsea? (4-13, 4:21am)
    9. Law & Order: SVU (4-13, 8:18am)

    MEDIOCRE:
    8. Best Friends Forever (4-13, 8:22am)
    7. Up All Night (4-13, 8:13pm)

    LIKED BUT NOT LOVED:
    6. Grimm (4-16, 4:38pm)
    5. Awake (4-19, 9:29pm)

    POPULAR:
    4. Parenthood (4-24, 4:13pm)
    3. Parks & Recreation (4-28, 3:22pm)

    WINNERS’ CIRCLE RUNNER-UP:
    2. 30 Rock (5-4, 6:33pm)

    AAAANNNNDDD…THE ULTIMATE WINNER:
    1. Community (5-4, 6:33pm)

    The game continues to run on the ABC, CBS, and Fox threads. CBS is close to determining the Winners’ Circle, but ABC and Fox each have four shows left. Can the game finish before the season does? Let’s find out!

  • Oliver

    TV viewership as a whole isn’t declining

    It is.

    NYTimes: Nielsen Reports a Decline in Television Viewing:

    Last year, for the first time in 20 years, Nielsen said the number of such households had dropped to 114.7 million, from 115.9 million previously, despite a rise in the number of households in the country. On Thursday, Nielsen said the figure had dropped further, this time to 114.1 million.

    In the last three months of 2011, the average American with a TV set at home spent 153 hours and 19 minutes watching “traditional TV” — TV viewed on a set rather than a computer or a tablet. That total is about 46 minutes less than was watched in the last three months of 2010, or a decline of 0.5 percent.

  • Ultima

    @Oliver
    TV viewership as a whole isn’t declining
    It is.

    Fair enough, but my point was still correct.

    To look at the downward trend of the highest rated show over the past sixty years and think it is a result of anything other than viewer fragmentation is asinine; a slight dip in TV viewership the last two years doesn’t change that.

  • Patriot

    Come on The Firm is the only program that i watch in this broadcast whyyyy canceled ?? American Dickheads

  • JamesS

    I cannot see any other show that covers those areas covered by either Community or Awake so they should effectively be renewed.
    Community has gone downhill of late due to the whole “feelings” episodes. When will network television give up on the whole soppy woman storylines and concentrate on people just being friends and things happening? The one episode that saved community was the L&O episode and that was followed by a weak episode which looked good except, nothing happened.
    Awake is dealing with too much with no direction however the acting is above par and the show is not so bad. The weak link is the whole teenage storyline angle and ironically that’s what people want. Any show focussing on adults seems to be immediately canned by networks. I think Journeyman, PanAm, Mental. As they all focus on adult actors, the demo drops dramatically. Shows for young people like 90210, TVampireD, all do well. Even if the storylines are rubbish, the acting rubbish and generally it will never reach cult status internationally, they keep making them, shows like them.
    Seriously network television and NBC have been on a downward spiral for years now, you produce a good show and its canned, all because young people won’t watch it. What have young people given us? Twilight. Says it all.
    Community needs to improve storywise but its still watchable. Awake was quoted by “experts” as the best show ever made and every week it struggles. Surely, they weren’t wrong. People just need to WAKE UP!

  • Kim

    Whitney is NOT going to get canceled so get that stick out of your butt!

  • Concerned Citizen

    Deadline’s now saying that Friday Night Dinner is unlikely going to go forward. That’s both shocking and disappointing; it had so much going for it. But on the bright side of things, it also says Whitney’s chances are looking slim, which is excellent because Whitney is an abomination.

  • Concerned Citizen

    And now they’re reporting that Save Me has been picked up for 13 episodes.

  • Logic

    Whitney should be cancelled. That show is god awful. I still can’t believe people like that better than Outsourced. -mindblown-

  • Mr Mumble

    Never understood why folk expected Whitney to be renewed. No critical buzz, no chance of syndication and mediocre ratings in an easy timeslot. Why would NBC go with Whitney when they have half-a-dozen new comedies with a chance of 3+ ratings in August/September after a big Olympics promotion push?

  • Bunny

    looks like Whitney’s chances are slim..

  • MJDB

    That would be very upsetting if they cancel Whitney, still not over Outsourced while it eas pulling decent ratings at 10:30!!!!!!!!!! At least if they do cancel Whitney, it will have had a proper series finale.

  • Ghislaine

    I’d like to see L&O:SVU renewed but with some changings :
    - no more Kelli Giddish aka Det. Amanda Rollins. This character became quite completly useless epiusode after episode. The pair Oliva Benson/Nick Amaro is enough, especially when they are seconded by the “couple” John Much & Odafin Tutola.
    - a better balance between our detectives and the ADAs like in first seasons when episodes included a part with investigations and a part around the trial -> the process was complete like that!
    (It was great to see Alex and Casey, my both favorite ADA’s again! :)

  • Riff Rafferty

    Why would NBC go with Whitney when they have half-a-dozen new comedies with a chance of 3+ ratings in August/September after a big Olympics promotion push?

    Yep, ’cause that big Olympics promotion push and those early premieres sure paid off with the long-running hits, “America’s Toughest Jobs,” “Father of the Pride” and “Hawaii.”

  • RyanCanada

    @Kim i hope your right, i will be hella mad if Whitney gets cancelled. the show was hilarious.

  • Peter Mazz

    NBC SCHEDULE 2012 – 2013:

    MONDAY:
    8:00 – The Sing Off/The Voice
    10:00 – County/Smash

    TUESDAY:
    8:00 – The Biggest Loser/Fashion Star
    9:00 – Parenthood

    WEDNESDAY:
    8:00 – 1600 Penn
    8:30 – Go On/The New Normal
    9:00 – Chicago Fire
    10:00 – Law & Order

    THURSDAY:
    8:00 – Community (Final Season)
    8:30 – Parks & Recreation
    9:00 – The Office (Final Season)
    9:30 – Whitney
    10:00 – Revolution

    FRIDAY:
    8:00 – Hannibal/Mockingbird Lane
    9:00 – Grimm
    10:00 – Dateline NBC

  • Pop Pop

    Six Seasons and a movie!!!!

  • Andrew C

    Wife and I really liked are you there Chelsea. Any news on it?

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