There were only 3 CW shows that were likely or certain to be renewed last week and this week all three were renewed. That isn't great news for any of the CW shows on the bubble, but it isn't really any worse news eitherand Gossip Girl, Hart Of Dixie, The Secret Circle and Nikita remain bubble shows. I'm sure all four shows won't be cancelled, but I'd be pretty surprised if all four shows were renewed.
I don't know what Nikita's international sales, online viewing really are, but despite its horrible ratings, it's on Friday and still on the bubble. Fans should hope the hard-to-substantiate reports of Nikita's international prowess are true because a renewal for one more season all but guarantees that it will be renewed for another season after that to get it to syndication.
I give Hart Of Dixie an edge over The Secret Circle because CW already knows how Hart Of Dixie does with a weak lead-in and surely envisions The Secret Circle will do worse when it no longer has The Vampire Diaries as a lead-in.
Saturday came reports that ABC is in early talks with TBS about taking Cougar Town off of ABC's hands. That's potentially good news for fans, but bad news when it comes to the show's prospects on ABC. I'm not quite as pessimistic as Bill that the TBS talks mean de facto cancellation on ABC. But it clearly indicates that while ABC Studios wants to get the show to enough episodes for syndication, the ABC broadcast network would be plenty happy for someone else to take on that task.
It'd be hard to fault ABC for feeling that way since the ratings have been terrible and it has several middling-rated (but better rated than Cougar Town) comedies to choose from for schedule padding.
I've downgraded Cougar Town to likely cancellation on ABC.
I'm not quite as optimistic as Bill about Scandal of course I had the benefit of seeing Thursday's ratings which Bill didn't have when he posted Tuesday's Renew/Cancel report. But I'm not as pessimistic as many commenters either, and Scandal remains on the bubble.
When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed **for next season** (2012-13). Certain shows are toss-ups where based on the ratings, the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising.
Here, “canceled” is used interchangeably with “won’t be renewed for next season” and is not meant to imply a show will be yanked off the schedule in the current season though obviously the two outcomes are not mutually exclusive. The semantics police and lawyers should feel free to break out the handcuffs and plead their cases in the comments. Besides, no matter what anyone at ABC says, reasonable people know with certainty that Pan Am isn't coming back next season.
This Isn't The Renew/Cancel Index
Though the basic methodology is the same (intra-network relative ranking of shows by adults 18-49 ),unlike the Renew/Cancel Index which predicts what would happen if the season ended now, Bubble Watch prognosticates about what will happen by May. The two are still usually closely aligned, and almost certainly very closely aligned towards the end of the season.
Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.
| Show | Network | Status |
| Charlie's Angels | ABC | Canceled |
| Man Up | ABC | Canceled |
| Pan Am | ABC | Canceled |
| Work It | ABC | Canceled |
| How To Be A Gentleman | CBS | Canceled |
| Allen Gregory | Fox | Canceled |
| Breaking In | Fox | Canceled |
| I Hate My Teenage Daughter | Fox | Canceled |
| Terra Nova | Fox | Canceled |
| Best Friends Forever | NBC | Canceled |
| The Firm | NBC | Canceled |
| Free Agents | NBC | Canceled |
| Prime Suspect | NBC | Canceled |
| The Playboy Club | NBC | Canceled |
| Body Of Proof | ABC | Certain Cancellation |
| Missing | ABC | Certain Cancellation |
| The River | ABC | Certain Cancellation |
| A Gifted Man | CBS | Certain Cancellation |
| NYC 22 | CBS | Certain Cancellation |
| Unforgettable | CBS | Certain Cancellation |
| The L.A. Complex | CW | Will live on in Canada |
| Ringer | CW | Certain Cancellation |
| Awake | NBC | Certain Cancellation |
| Bent | NBC | Certain Cancellation |
| Harry's Law | NBC | Certain Cancellation |
| Cougar Town | ABC | Likely Cancellation |
| Alcatraz | Fox | Likely Cancellation |
| The Finder | Fox | Likely Cancellation |
| Are You There, Chelsea? | NBC | Likely Cancellation |
| GCB | ABC | On The Bubble |
| Scandal | ABC | On The Bubble |
| CSI: Miami | CBS | On The Bubble |
| CSI: NY | CBS | On The Bubble |
| Rob | CBS | On The Bubble |
| Rules of Engagement | CBS | On The Bubble |
| Gossip Girl | CW | On The Bubble |
| Hart Of Dixie | CW | On The Bubble |
| Nikita | CW | On The Bubble |
| The Secret Circle | CW | On The Bubble |
| Bob's Burgers | Fox | On The Bubble |
| Napoleon Dynamite | Fox | On The Bubble |
| Touch | Fox | On The Bubble |
| Up All Night | NBC | On The Bubble |
| Castle | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Don't Trust The B---- in Apartment 23 | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Happy Endings | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Last Man Standing | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Private Practice | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Revenge | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Suburgatory | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Two and a Half Men | CBS | Likely Renewal |
| 30 Rock | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Community | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Law & Order: SVU | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Parenthood | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Parks & Recreation | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Whitney | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Grey's Anatomy | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Modern Family | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Once Upon A Time | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| The Middle | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| The Office | NBC | Certain Renewal |
| 2 Broke Girls | CBS | Renewed |
| The Big Bang Theory | CBS | Renewed |
| Blue Bloods | CBS | Renewed |
| Criminal Minds | CBS | Renewed |
| CSI | CBS | Renewed |
| The Good Wife | CBS | Renewed |
| Hawaii Five-0 | CBS | Renewed |
| How I Met Your Mother | CBS | Renewed |
| The Mentalist | CBS | Renewed |
| Mike & Molly | CBS | Renewed |
| NCIS | CBS | Renewed |
| NCIS: Los Angeles | CBS | Renewed |
| Person Of Interest | CBS | Renewed |
| 90210 | CW | Renewed |
| Supernatural | CW | Renewed |
| The Vampire Diaries | CW | Renewed |
| American Dad | Fox | Renewed |
| Bones | Fox | Renewed |
| The Cleveland Show | Fox | Renewed |
| Family Guy | Fox | Renewed |
| Fringe | Fox | Renewed |
| Glee | Fox | Renewed |
| New Girl | Fox | Renewed |
| Raising Hope | Fox | Renewed |
| The Simpsons | Fox | Renewed |
| Grimm | NBC | Renewed |
| Smash | NBC | Renewed |
| Desperate Housewives | ABC | Final Season |
| One Tree Hill | CW | Final Season |
| House | Fox | Final Season |
| Chuck | NBC | Final Season |
Nikita isn’t exactly bombing on Fridays while TSC has little interest shown in it even with TVD as a lead in, so I think Nikita and HoD are safer than TSC. and Gossip Girl… I don’t think it needs a 13 ep wrap up season, 6 would be enough with it’s horrible ratings. Get it done and over with!
Gossip Girl will get renewed because no one told the writers to wrap it up. From what I read, they were told they were safe for at least another season. I highly doubt The CW would cancel their signature show without a proper wrap up. Regardless of how many episodes, Gossip Girl will get a final season.
And who ever mentioned Sky Living or whatever it is saying it was the last episode, I’ll wait for verification from The CW, thanks. Don’t see why they would tell international markets that it’s cancelled way ahead of time and not announce the cancellation to the rest of America!
not a fan,but its really awsome how gossip girl can poll 0.5 on such low views
This is all I really care about
“Supernatural CW Renewed “
@Justin123: Here’s your list:
Modern Family
The Middle
Suburgatory
Hapy Endings
Apr. 23
Las Man Standing
Cougar Town
Scratch CT. ABC is cancelling it or it’s moving to TBS. I wouldn’t call LMS safe either. It’s positioning now is basically “living on memories” – what it did in the fall and winter. It’s never showed any up momentum.
That more or less leaves you with 5. Assuming that ABC picks up 3 or 4 sitcoms, they can fully do that with a Tuesday/Wednesday block, saving 2 for mid-season (the TGIF boosters often forget that ABC ALWAYS saves one or two for mid-season).
What about Biggest Loser?
I guess I’ll give my final predictions of Mr. Seidman’s bubble shows:
ABC – Both GCB and Scandal renewed
CBS – CSI: Miami and Rob cancelled; CSI: NY and Rules of Engagement renewed
Deadline.com indicated in their last Primetime Pilot Panic post that Miami is more likely to be cancelled in favor of a new Bruckheimer pilot because Miami is more expensive to produce.
The CW – Gossip Girl cancelled(Upset pick); Secret Circle, Nikita, Hart of Dixie renewed
Thinking that all three renewed will be for 13 episodes and they go with a more cable TV style schedule with only the shows they already renewed getting 22 episodes(Supernatural, 90210, Vampire Diaries).
Fox – Finder and Alcatraz cancelled; Touch, Napoleon Dynamite, Bob’s Burgers renewed’
NBC – Up All Night cancelled.
After last night, I would argue that GCB has fallen to likely cancellation and Bob’s Burgers is still a likely renewal. Otherwise, everything lookin’ pretty dead on in this list (minus Whitney, which I’ve disagreed about for a while and think is on the bubble).
@ Hart of Dixie has Rachel Bilson as a big star…
With her show who’s always on league of the lowest rated on a TV network (CW) whom just an average of a million viewers is considered already as like a blockbuster movie.
Yah right, Rachel Bilson a ^big star^ at the CW Fandoom Planet LMAO!!!
@Doug,
Even if you scratch C-Town, a fourth hour of comedy is bound to happen. Be it on Tuesday or Friday.
Midseason replacements are irrelevant.
PLEASE RENEW THE SECRET CIRCLE,NIKITA,AND HART OF DIXIE THE BEST SHOWS ON CW.
CSI NY is so much better than the original and I just started watching it these last few years. I like Ringer but it looks bad, I hope they find something else for Sarah.
The secret circle deserves renewal. It better be. And I’m positive the ratings will sky rocket this week. I’m predi,tiong a 1.1 or 1.2 at least. You’ll see. Its a better show then nikita and heart of dixie and gossip girl for that matter. Those are the 3 that should be cancelled oh and ringer cause it can’t keep its head above water. Secret circles beginning had good ratings for weeks and they just recently. Started dropping. If you take the average for the season its done way better then those 4 other shows I mentioned. So it deserves renewal.
@Dan pay no attention to Sky Living saying it was the last ever episode of Ringer, those people are best put on mute. they either talk rubbish or spoil the entire episodes before they start!
Nikita must be renewed, best CW show by miles.
Its looking like their is going to be a season 3 of Body of Proof.
@ alexis
i am truly sorry nikita will be canceled. not renewed
Wow, I just read that Body of Proof is looking for a season 3. A few sites also put Apt 2B and LMS as a bubble show; I agree with LMS. I wasn’t aware of Apt 2B though.
@katelyn @Bookworm I think that we need to wait until Friday to see what happens.
@The Big Toe
I agree. I’m just kind of shocked by the report. I always thought it was between with GCB, Scandal and BOP with Scandal and BOP topping GCB; though SJ would like to disagree. I just wasn’t sure it would really be back, not when Rob and team have it so low ranked.
We’ll wait and see though. Why Friday? Thought ABC comes out the 15th?