Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:
This is the final week of Renew / Cancel Index posts for the season, since the Fall 2012 broadcast TV schedules will be announced during the network upfront meetings next week, so as is our custom, Robert and I play Oddsmakers (hat tip, PTI) with our final renewal chance guesses of the season.
5/10 Update: A Gifted Man has been canceled.
5/13 Update: Unforgettable, NYC 22, Rob and CSI:Miami have been canceled, CSI:NY has been renewed. Two and a Half Men has been renewed.
Our final guesses of RENEWAL chances:
| Program | Bill | Robert |
| A Gifted Man | 0% | 0% |
| NYC 22 | 0% | 0% |
| Unforgettable | 0% | 0% |
| Rob | 25% | 30% |
| CSI:NY | 35% | 45% |
| CSI: Miami | 65% | 55% |
| Rules of Engagement | 65% | 60% |
| Two and a Half Men | 95% | 99% |
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No real differences between Robert's and my final predictions for CBS shows. I'll admit that while I am certain at least one of the CSI offspring will be canceled, The Choice of CSI:NY was just a bit above a stab in the dark since it's likely driven by syndication economics that are substantially hidden from us.
To address the picky commenters out there who'll otherwise whine "You just give percentages, you never make an up or down call!", please take all of my guesses above 50% as "will be renewed" and those below 50% as "will be canceled" and you may interpret the "distance" from 50% as my level of confidence in the prediction.
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For those who'd like to review the last Renew / Cancel Index numbers I'll produce for the season, enjoy:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- May 6, 2012):
| Program | Status | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| A Gifted Man (F)* |  |
0.45 |
| NYC 22 | |
0.46 |
| CSI:NY (F) |  |
0.56 |
| Blue Bloods (F) | renewed | 0.57 |
| The Good Wife* | renewed | 0.68 |
| CSI: Miami* | |
0.72 |
| Unforgettable | |
0.72 |
| How To Be A Gentleman * | canceled | 0.74 |
| The Mentalist | renewed | 0.90 |
| Hawaii Five-0 | renewed | 0.93 |
| CSI | renewed | 0.94 |
| Rules of Engagement | |
1.02 |
| NCIS: Los Angeles | renewed | 1.04 |
| Person Of Interest | renewed | 1.05 |
| Rob* | |
1.07 |
| Criminal Minds | renewed | 1.08 |
| Mike & Molly | renewed | 1.15 |
| NCIS | renewed | 1.24 |
| How I Met Your Mother | renewed | 1.26 |
| 2 Broke Girls | renewed | 1.34 |
| Two and a Half Men |  |
1.39 |
| Big Bang Theory | renewed | 1.75 |
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
Notes:
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
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- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012 - - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
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- more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012 - - certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.
ya’ll need to bring back the unit for season 5 and beyond sun at 10
PERSON OF INTEREST – 13 (-1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 7 (+1)
quote from NCIS [1.5]:
Tony: That’s kinda touching, Gibbs, remembering the day you hired me.
Gibbs: Yeah, well, it seemed like a good idea at the time.
PERSON OF INTEREST – 14 (+1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 6 (-1)
Two show I really enjoy are on the bubble; I much prefer CSI: NY to CSI: Miami and the other show I enjoy is Unforgettable. I’m hoping they get renewed.
Also, I don’t watch any of the comedies. They all seem to be very juvenile. They are a waste of time. Keep Unforgettable and CSI: NY and CSI: Miami.
PERSON OF INTEREST – 15 (+1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 5 (-1)
From Unforgettable episode 1.22 “The Man In The Woods” -
Carrie Wells: Welcome to Syracuse.
Jo Webster: And what a lovely hamlet it is!
It’s CBS so it would not affect me if they cancel them all. BIG bang Theory is the only good show they have and I catch that on TBS.
PERSON OF INTEREST – 16 (+1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 4 (-1)
isnt nyc 22 already canceled
I really hope “Unforgettable” isn’t cancelled!! Come on CBS, give it another chance!!! It has a great cast and interesting story lines.
NYC22 just started, never given a chance. But more importantly, any chance that they could pick up Missing from ABC or the Firm from NBC?
Unforgettable, CSI:Miami, Rob and NYC22 are canceled (see article on home page).
Time to vote:
PERSON OF INTEREST – 15 (-1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 5 (+1)
I fight the good fight, lol. TBBT will still lose the game but not due to my voting. It’s the only comedy on CBS I think I really like (the least crass of all of them) besides Rules of Engagement (which I like but don’t love any more).
Quote from TBBT [5.23]:
Howard: I’m terrified about going into space. You know, what if I don’t make it back?
Bernadette’s dad: It’s gonna be okay, son.
Howard: You really think so?
B’s dad: Of course. A pretty girl like Bernadette? She’ll find a new guy.
Blue Bloods is the best show on tv.
PERSON OF INTEREST – 16 (+1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 4 (-1)
@Bill
Tsk, tsk. Why haven’t you updated the page about Unforgettable, Rob, NYC 22, and the CSIs?
PERSON OF INTEREST – 17 (+1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 3 (-1)
From Person of Interest episode 1.22 “No Good Deed” -
Mr. Finch: You were right, it’s a three-man team.
Mr. Reese: [shoots one assassin in the leg] Two and a half.
When does new schedule get released for yr 2012-2013? I hope they don’t put my favorite drama Good Wife on Sunday night after football? It’s a horrible, horrible slot. Always gets delayed due to football game running over schedule…
@CJ,
I hope they don’t put my favorite drama Good Wife on Sunday night after football
The other option is Friday…
PERSON OF INTEREST – 16 (-1)
THE BIG BANG THEORY – 4 (+1)
quote from TBBT [5.24]:
Russian Cosmonaut: Nine times out of ten, no problem.
Howard: What happens on the tenth time?
Cosmonaut: Problem?
@CJ
The new CBS fall schedule will be posted at 8:45 am on Wednesday, and their upfronts are the same day.
^That’s Eastern time.