CBS: Final Guesses For 'CSI:NY,' 'CSI:Miami,' 'Rules Of Engagement' & More

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 8th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:



This is the final week of Renew / Cancel Index posts for the season, since the Fall 2012 broadcast TV schedules will be announced during the network upfront meetings next week, so as is our custom, Robert and I play Oddsmakers (hat tip, PTI) with our final renewal chance guesses of the season.

5/10 Update: A Gifted Man has been canceled.

5/13 Update: Unforgettable, NYC 22, Rob and CSI:Miami have been canceled, CSI:NY has been renewed. Two and a Half Men has been renewed.

Our final guesses of RENEWAL chances:

Program Bill Robert
A Gifted Man 0% 0%
NYC 22 0% 0%
Unforgettable 0% 0%
Rob 25% 30%
CSI:NY 35% 45%
CSI: Miami 65% 55%
Rules of Engagement 65% 60%
Two and a Half Men 95% 99%

-
No real differences between Robert's and my final predictions for CBS shows. I'll admit that while I am certain at least one of the CSI offspring will be canceled, The Choice of CSI:NY was just a bit above a stab in the dark since it's likely driven by syndication economics that are substantially hidden from us.

To address the picky commenters out there who'll otherwise whine "You just give percentages, you never make an up or down call!", please take all of my guesses above 50% as "will be renewed" and those below 50% as "will be canceled" and you may interpret the "distance" from 50% as my level of confidence in the prediction.
-
For those who'd like to review the last Renew / Cancel Index numbers I'll produce for the season, enjoy:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- May 6, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F)* :oops: 0.45
NYC 22 :oops: 0.46
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.56
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.57
The Good Wife* renewed 0.68
CSI: Miami* :| :| :| 0.72
Unforgettable :oops: 0.72
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
The Mentalist renewed 0.90
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.93
CSI renewed 0.94
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.04
Person Of Interest renewed 1.05
Rob* :| :| :| 1.07
Criminal Minds renewed 1.08
Mike & Molly renewed 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.24
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.26
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.34
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.75

-
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Nick

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 17 (+1)
    THE BIG BANG THEORY – 3 (-1)

  • Hustis Harper

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 18 (+1)
    THE BIG BANG THEORY – 2 (-1)

  • tvfreak

    PERSON OF INTEREST – 19 (+1)
    THE BIG BANG THEORY – 1 (-1)

    We might soon get an ultimate winner!

    From Hawaii Five-0 episode 2.23 “Ua Hala” -
    Danny: Alright with the Navy Seal death stare, what are you going to water board me till I tell you about my private phone call?
    Steve: No, I’m just trying to get you to tell me because we’re friends and I’m worried.

  • tvfreak

    Voting is now moved to the R/C Wrap threads until the winners are chosen. Have fun!

  • J Dunn

    What are your guys thoughts on CSI:Miami being cancelled instead of CSI:NY?

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures