CW Renew/Cancel Wrap: 'The Secret Circle,' 'Ringer' Canceled; 'Nikita,' 'Hart Of Dixie,' 'Gossip Girl' Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 15th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- May 13, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The L.A. Complex canceled 0.40
Ringer* canceled 0.68
Nikita (F) renewed 0.69
Gossip Girl  renewed 0.82
Hart Of Dixie renewed 0.84
90210 renewed 0.98
The Secret Circle canceled 0.99
One Tree Hill* final season 1.07
Supernatural (F) renewed 1.09
Vampire Diaries  renewed 1.83

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After having them as "toss ups" for renewal or cancellation for most of the year, I predicted cancellation for both Nikita and Hart Of Dixie, and blew both those calls. After being moved to a "toss up" late in the season, I predicted that The Secret Circle would be renewed, and blew that call too. Props to Robert who called both Hart Of Dixie and The Secret Circle correctly, and missed only Nikita.

My guess is that the late season swoon by The Secret Circle killed it, and I have so little experience with shows that have ratings dives late, I was unable to take it fully into account.

5/18 Update: As expected, The L.A. Complex was nowhere to be found on the CW 2012-13 schedule. It will never air during the US broadcast season again. It will live on in Canada, and wouldn't stun me if it aired during the summer in the US, but we will have to wait and see.

While I did get all the other CW show final predictions correct, there are so few of them that's like saying I lost my thumb and index finger, but the rest of my hand was fine. As a network, the CW proved to be collectively my worst predicted this season by a wide margin. Ouch!

With that the Index bids the 2011-12 CW season adieu, there will be no more CW Renew / Cancel posts until September. Happy summer CW!

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did the CW's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • MiikeB

    You know, saying you messed up with the CW is like saying you were unable to predict what a crazy person was doing. There is a reason they are in the dumpster, they make bad decisions. Also the flap with the TSC/TVD author getting pushed out, they may be limiting themselves to any potential future lawsuit, where instead of defending TSC and TVD, they will only have to defend their rights on the more successful TVD.

  • Aaliyah

    If you are a fan of THE SECRET CIRCLE help us get it picked up by the CW again. PLEASE, Best Show since Charmed!!!.

  • AO

    @ Kavyn,

    My suspicion is that they will devote the majority of their promotion to all of the new shows that they will be debuting. They absolutely need some of those to succeed. I think that HoD especially could use some promotion, but I just don’t know how much they’ll be able to give it.

  • amanda

    I am very upset about this. I love The Secret Circle, it is one of my most favorite tv shows. I cant wait for Thursdays to watch Vampire Diaries and The Secret Circle. Now I will only have 2 reasons to watch that channel. Supernatural and Vampire Diaries since it has been cancelled. For real, yall couldnt find a way to keep this show? This is crap!!!!

  • YourBestie

    Hart of Dixie yay!! Your too good to be cancelled . Can’t wait for the next season!!!

  • Jennifer Barton

    I think that they should stronlgy reconsider their decision about The Secret Circle. There are alot of upset angry fans that have dedicated their time every week to watching that show And who would certianly watch it if it was to come back, Myself included.

  • Jennifer Barton

    Aaliyah- Hey I’m with you My mom and myself loved charmed and own every season I certianly hope we can find away to get it back on CW, Heres my facebook you can get up with me http://www.facebook.com/SkylarsMom121310

  • enes

    This war is not over Cw #BringBackTheSecretCircle !

  • kernel_thai

    There is a difference between TSC and Nikita in the Thursday 9pm slot. Nikita is a totally different show and appeals to an older, more male audience than TVD. TSC was built to retain TVD audience. It was designed to appeal to the exact same demo. It was very telling that by the end TSC was losing half it’s lead in audience.

  • WB

    THE SECRET CIRCLE was not even close to be like CHARMED. I think The CW made the right decision!

  • AYM

    So glad to see the Secret Circle go…that was the dumbest show. I tried watching the first few episodes to see if I could get into it…boooooring!

  • Sabrina

    To be fair the Thursday at 9pm slot is brutal. And I don’t see Shonda Rhimes vacating that spot anytime soon.

    I don’t think TSC and Nikita should be compared at all. Two completely different shows.

    CW needs rebuild its network and its brand. Starting from the ground up you start with where your biggest problem areas are on the schedule. And in this case that would be the Thursday at 9pm slot.

    TSC was a casualty. However leading up to its demise the fan base was a none entity. Where were all these TSC fans before the show was cut? They mobilized too late to save their show.

    As for Nikita season 4, if it’s to happen, which I really doubt, it won’t be on CW.

  • N

    the secret circle needs to be renewed its a 10.
    the hart of dixie is a 1 it sucks

  • Patrick G.

    I will miss “RINGER” and its crazy story. It was incredibly unbelievable and silly but a guilty plasure nonetheless! I was curious to see how (if) Bridget and Siohban would reconcile and if they could each build back their lives now that the core premise was revealed, but too many viewers left the series because it carried on the stupid deception for too long. It would have worked better as a min-series, but I guess that’s sort of what it ended up being. At least there was the majority of a storyline wrap-up in the finale, with not too mant loose ends.

    And how refreshing to see Bill act human for a change and admit how wrong he was with his CW predictions. I was beginiing to think he was just a nasty, sarcastic, “crazy” robot. You’re more likable, and so is your website, when you show this humility!!

  • Patrick G.

    P.S. PLEASE bring back the edit feature so we can fix our typos. Sorry for the above grammatical errors. I was typing too fast and didn’t re-read before posting this time :(

  • vic

    90210 season finale got 0.5. It deserves cancellation next year. Season 4 was the worst.

  • Peed off!

    You keep I retarded shows like Nikita and kill secret circle? That is retarded. That show is a remake, just watch the old one! This is stupid I will never watch this god awful channel again.

  • joko ono

    peed off,
    just let it go,ok?
    I’m sick of all of you saying rude things about the show that is amazing,and I bet that you did not even watch it,jes they canceled Tsc,and I’m sorry,but life goes on!So deal with it!

  • Pete

    @ joko ono

    Stop being so patronising

  • joko ono

    Pete,
    jelaous to much?

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