FOX Renew / Cancel Wrap: 'The Finder,' 'Alcatraz,' 'Napoleon Dynamite' Canceled; 'Touch,' 'Fringe' Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 15th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- May 13, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) renewed 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In* canceled 0.64
The Cleveland Show  renewed 0.70
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
The Finder (some F) canceled 0.79
Raising Hope* renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers renewed 0.88
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz* canceled 0.93
American Dad  renewed 1.00
Bones  renewed 1.03
Napoleon Dynamite* canceled 1.06
House final season 1.10
Touch renewed 1.17
The Simpsons  renewed 1.19
New Girl renewed 1.34
Glee  renewed 1.35
Family Guy  renewed 1.37

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The crazy fans will note that I "pushed" on a prediction for Fringe this season with it as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation all season. As I noted elsewhere, no guts, no glory, but apparently all the whining from fans!

Otherwise, I predicted all the Fox renewals and cancellations correctly this season, most far in advance.

With that the Index bids the 2011-12 Fox season adieu, there will be no more Fox Renew / Cancel posts until September. Happy summer Fox!
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Harris

    It sucks that they’re pushing Touch into the death slot. It would’ve been better if they had just had it on Monday and left it there.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “It sucks that they’re pushing Touch into the death slot. It would’ve been better if they had just had it on Monday and left it there.”

    The alternative wasn’t Monday, it was cancellation.

    When asked about how easy it was to tell Kiefer his show was moving to Friday, FOX’s Kevin Reilly said “Hey, at least it’s still on the air”.

  • psychic

    I Hate My Teenage Daughter? Wow, I haven’t heard about that one in months. I guess I just assumed it was dead on a stick and forgot about it.

  • Ultima

    @Harris
    It would’ve been better if they had just had it on Monday and left it there.

    I don’t think Touch would have done any worse on Monday (even without the Idol lead-in), but I don’t think it would have done any better, either.

    And it would certainly not be there next season.

  • danny94

    fox should have of renewed terra nova…. 7 million and a 2.2 in the demo was pretty decent espically when you consider how awful fox dramas have done this year!

  • KJ Styles

    @Bill- “The alternative wasn’t Monday, it was cancellation.”

    How do you justify cancelling a show that’s well above the network’s scripted average? Then again, this is the same moronic network that renewed Fringe, who’s ratings are lower than some CW shows, SMH. While I don’t necessarily think Touch would have had monster ratings on Mondays, they’d definitely be better there than on Fridays, where cancellation is virtually imminent. They don’t have the love affair with Touch that they do with Fringe.

    Since House is done after next season, the only showa on FOX that I’m certain to watch next season are Touch and The Following. I’ll watch Mob Doctor’s pilot and see if I like it before committing to it.

  • Lane

    Yeah I agree Fox should have renewed Terra Nova. But it’s funny how The Finder was getting around 2.8(ish) when it was behind Idol. Touch was getting 1.9′s.

  • Tom

    Touch may easily end up on Monday, if Mob Doctor is DoA.

    Fringe is still a stunner to me, though I suspect Fox is actually picking up some of the tab, making it less shocking.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “How do you justify cancelling a show that’s well above the network’s scripted average?”

    If there isn’t any room on the schedule for it next season. The same reason CBS cancels their lowest rated sitcom(s) *every* year.

    If Fox had one more drama pilot they liked, Touch could easily have gone bye, bye.

    And while the entire Spring average for Touch was above the Fox average, the last 4 episodes were just about dead on average for Fox scripted shows, and trending down.

  • JC

    Finder never had a chance. Fox treated it like Hart Hanson kicked their dog or something.

    Hate my teenage daughter never had a chance either. You air 4 episodes and then put it on the shelf for 3 months, I am not sure how that constitutes any opportunity at all.

    There was once a time where shows were tweaked before getting the plug pulled. Now? Forget about it.

  • The End

    @danny94

    Yes Fox totally should of renewed a show with a budget of around 4 million an episode, which barely made them any money, forgetting the fact it will get a slight increase in budget should it get renewed which would push to roughly 4 and a half million an ep. All whilst having mediocre ratings.

    Fox totally messed up there.

  • Rebecca

    Is IHMTD still going to air its up-to-now-unaired episodes in June? I have it down for starting its burnoff eps Sunday, June 3rd from 7-8 pm. If they air, I’ll watch them. It wasn’t a favorite show of mine, but it had some laughs.

  • Oliver

    I am slightly surprised Fox axed Napoleon Dynamite, especially since they haven’t ordered any new animated series and they are presumably planning to axe Cleveland after next season. Its ratings were basically flat with Bob’s Burgers.

    Perhaps the lack of critical acclaim and buzz pushed Fox execs to kill it.

  • TVDude

    I think Napoleon might have been a cost issue. While there weren’t any huge names on the show, there seemed to be a lot of names, which most animated shows typically have the same people voice multiple characters. Napoleon also was heading downward in the ratings which means it could perform worse if renewed. In my opinion, it got canceled for similar reasons to Terra Nova. Did it make money? Yes, but it might not if it were renewed.

  • Ultima

    @Rebecca
    Is IHMTD still going to air its up-to-now-unaired episodes in June?

    According to Futon Critic’s schedule, FOX has changed its mind. Neither IHMTD or Breaking In are currently on the schedule, but that could change.

    Currently, series getting summer burn-offs are How to be a Gentleman (CBS Sat 8), NYC 22 (CBS Sun 10), The Firm (NBC Sat 9), Best Friends Forever (NBC Fri 1 Jun at 8, one night only); with Cougar Town, Touch and Awake having post-sweep finales.

  • Ultima

    @Oliver
    I am slightly surprised Fox axed Napoleon Dynamite, especially since they haven’t ordered any new animated series and they are presumably planning to axe Cleveland after next season. Its ratings were basically flat with Bob’s Burgers.

    After Allen Gregory bombed and they had Napoleon Dynamite scripts in the fall, they decided to order more Bob’s Burgers. It might have been flat with BB, but since it was well behind in episode count, it got canceled.

    They should have five shows for fall of 2013 – Simpsons, Family Guy, American Dad, Bob’s Burgers and The Flintstones (or The Cleveland Show if TF falls through again). Bob’s Burgers isn’t a big hit or anything, but it really shouldn’t have much problem reaching syndication and being profitable for FOX.

  • Walter Bishop

    On TOUCH in the first episode, the first episode should have Martin Bohm running into his long lost twin brother, seperated at birth, Jack Bauer. And the Kid should appear on an episode of FRINGE.

  • Debsafan

    I’m going to miss The Finder. I wish TBS are someone would pick it up and give it a second chance.

  • KJ Styles

    @Bill Gorman-

    “If there isn’t any room on the schedule for it next season. The same reason CBS cancels their lowest rated sitcom(s) *every* year.”

    But Touch was Fox’s 2nd HIGHEST rated drama this season, only behind Glee (which is a dramedy).

    “If Fox had one more drama pilot they liked, Touch could easily have gone bye, bye.”

    And that would have been a mistake, being that new dramas have not worked out for them AT ALL the past several years. Why drop something that IS working given those circumstances?

    “And while the entire Spring average for Touch was above the Fox average, the last 4 episodes were just about dead on average for Fox scripted shows, and trending down.”

    Be that as it may, it was still performing well unlike Fringe which is arguably the lowest rated show in history to earn a renewal.

  • David

    Hi,

    Why do you say that you predicted everything correctly?

    The Cleveland show is so low on your chart yet was still renewed.

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