FOX Renew / Cancel Wrap: 'The Finder,' 'Alcatraz,' 'Napoleon Dynamite' Canceled; 'Touch,' 'Fringe' Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 15th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- May 13, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) renewed 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In* canceled 0.64
The Cleveland Show  renewed 0.70
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
The Finder (some F) canceled 0.79
Raising Hope* renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers renewed 0.88
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz* canceled 0.93
American Dad  renewed 1.00
Bones  renewed 1.03
Napoleon Dynamite* canceled 1.06
House final season 1.10
Touch renewed 1.17
The Simpsons  renewed 1.19
New Girl renewed 1.34
Glee  renewed 1.35
Family Guy  renewed 1.37

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The crazy fans will note that I "pushed" on a prediction for Fringe this season with it as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation all season. As I noted elsewhere, no guts, no glory, but apparently all the whining from fans!

Otherwise, I predicted all the Fox renewals and cancellations correctly this season, most far in advance.

With that the Index bids the 2011-12 Fox season adieu, there will be no more Fox Renew / Cancel posts until September. Happy summer Fox!
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The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • disney rocks

    Is Fringe the lowest rated show in history to get renewed on a major network? (sorry cw, you don’t count as major)

    I would’ve though NBC would’ve beat them to that. Who could have predicted Fox would have this honor five years ago?

  • tjw

    @David

    Did you click that link? The chart isn’t his prediction, it’s what he uses to make predictions. In the case of The Cleveland Show, it was renewed for a 2012-13 season in May of 2011, probably because of the production schedule involved for a non-South Park animated show.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Disney Rocks: “Is Fringe the lowest rated show in history to get renewed on a major network?”

    I think Dollhouse might have been lower overall. And it was in its first season whereas Fringe was in its fourth. Note that both shows are sci-fi, both were on Fridays, and both were Fox shows. Something to ponder there…

    Still, that renewal stands out behind a line of cancellations of shows with higher ratings… Really stupid move on Fox’s part, whatever the alleged “deal” with WB is.

  • tvfreak

    Game time!

    RAISING HOPE – 35
    TOUCH – 7

  • Rebecca

    Game: Vote +3 and -3 (must do both) since we are determining which show goes up against Fringe for Ultimate Winner (at which point it’ll be ten to ten and just voting +1 and -1 until one is down to zero). Vote every 24 hours.

  • juan

    Why did they cancel alcatraz if it had bigger rating than many others!

  • Rebecca

    RAISING HOPE – 38 (+3)
    TOUCH – 4 (-3)

    quote from The X Files [4.7] – this is a long one, sorry:
    The Cigarette-Smoking Man: Life…is like a box of chocolates. A cheap, thoughtless, perfunctory gift that nobody ever asks for. Un-returnable, because all you get back is another box of chocolates. So, you’re stuck with this undefinable whipped-mint crap that you mindlessly wolf down when there’s nothing else left to eat. Sure, once in a while, there’s a peanut butter cup, or an English toffee. But they’re gone too fast, the taste is fleeting. So you end up with nothing but broken bits, filled with hardened jelly and teeth-shattering nuts, and if you’re desperate enough to eat those, all you’ve got left is a…is an empty box…filled with useless, brown paper wrappers.

  • Michael

    @Richard Steven Hack
    Dollhouse’s lowest episode in its first season was a 1.0. So yeah, I think that Fringe was lower.

  • Dan

    @Juan Alcatraz was axed because its numbers kept falling week by week and it was expensive and Fringe was renewed so basically only 1 JJ Abrams show on the network. Also FOX had limited timeslots this year so With Touch renewed, they had to cancel a lot.

  • Max

    @Ultima

    “Bob’s Burgers isn’t a big hit or anything, but it really shouldn’t have much problem reaching syndication and being profitable for FOX.”

    “Bob’s Burgers” has 21 episodes. Sure that’s more than six, but it’s not like one season away from syndication either. At this rate it’s like what… 6 or 7 seasons away. Even if they manage to get a full season for once it’s basically aired a reduced single season in terms of episode count so far.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Michael: For season one of Dollhouse, it started at 2.04 18-49 for the first episode and dropped to 1.0 for the last episode, for a season average of 1.46.

    Fringe’s season four ratings went from 1.5 in the premiere to finish at 1.0, hitting .9 three times and mostly doing 1.1 or 1.2 for 12 episodes during the season for an average of about 1.1.

    I guess Fringe is the lowest rated show renewed of the two. On the other hand, Dollhouse only had 13 episodes and Fringe had 22 so it had a longer way to drop. :-)

  • Potato

    Fair warning to everyone: Don’t watch Alcatraz. I mean on DVD or netflix or whatever– they ended the series on like 5 cliffhangers and didn’t answer any questions…

  • Spencer

    I watch 8 Fox Shows
    8. Raising Hope
    7. The Cleveland Show
    6. NapoleonDynamite
    5. New Girl
    4. American Dad
    3. I hate my teenage Daughter
    2. Family Guy
    1. Bob’s burgers

  • Melanie

    I am super upset about finder!!!! This is an amazing show and it should not be cancelled. I am getting tired of networks putting on shows and we get to know these characters and then they just get cut!! I would rather see Touch go!!

  • No One

    Bob’s Burgers is hands down the best animated show on FOX, actually probably just best show on FOX. The Simpsons has some funny episodes, but then a lot of dull ones, American Dad! is good but also has some dull episodes, Cleveland is crap, and Family Guy is going downhill but can still manage some laughs. Bob’s Burgers hopefully will be syndicated to Adult Swim (what other place?) by maybe Season 5 or 6, I don’t think it’s too many seasons away from getting syndicated. Then again, KOTH got syndicated in like…Season 10 or 11.

  • TheAnswerMVP

    Well I won’t be throwing away anymore of my life watching anything on FOX. I lost count how many shows over the years I’ve gotten into that they’ve axed way too early. It’s like if it doesn’t start power swimming once they throw it in the pool they tie a block of cement to it and drowned it. It think it’s time to start taking bets on when FOX becomes the next UPN (now MY TV) and just starts planning re-runs of Friends.

  • Hustis Harper

    RAISING HOPE – 41 (+3)
    TOUCH – 1 (-3)

    Next…

  • Stephen

    Guys, the point of them renewing Fringe was so they could give it a proper ending, IE what NBC did to Chuck for their Season 5. Get over it, you wouldn’t be ranting if you had actually watched the show. It’s quite good actually. Kinda Bummed about Alcatraz though. Shame… Oh well, Checking out NBC’s Revolution to replace it. Looks Damn good.

  • James

    Well….Breaking In has 8 episodes in the can. FOX let Breaking In film it’s finale, Mr. Slater directed it and posted pics onto Twitter. The fan fav character Dutch comes back for the finale as well.

    I’m thinking Breaking In gets dumped onto Hulu or Crackle…just give me a dvd FOX. ^_^. C’mon bro…C’mon.

  • Walter Bishop

    JJ is very convincing – heck he got Leonard Nimoy at 81 to come out of retirement. FOX generally wants to maintain a good relationship with Abrams as well – they are looking down the road beyond FRINGE. Part of the reason FRINGE was renewed for a final season of 13 ep. was its Live+ rating are consistently high. Though the biggest reason was moving production to Canada a couple of years ago. And expectations on Friday night graveyard is low to begin with. Another factor is its remaining viewer base tends to be very involved in the show, recording and watching episodes multiple times. When it airs On Demand you cant speed past the commercials either. Then last and very significant factor was that Warner Brothers likely lowered its fees to almost nothing.

    When Alcatraz was cancelled, nearly all of the remaining viewers just shrugged their shoulders and moved on. While I watched it, it was getting repetitive with 2 criminals/guards each week appearing, causing mayhem and ending up dead or back on the Rock.

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