Which New Fall Broadcast TV Show Will Be Canceled First? (Poll)

Categories: Broadcast TV

Written By

September 17th, 2012

Update October 10, 2012: Though it came in a distant sixth, Made In Jersey was first to be cancelled.

The Cancellation Bear has awoken after his summer hibernation and he's hungry.

The new broadcast primetime shows have already begun premiering, so it's  time to throw your hat in the ring and guess which new broadcast primetime show you think will be caught by the cancellation bear and canceled first!

Because comment thread lawyers are everywhere, let's be clear that for the purposes of this poll "canceled" means removed from its initially scheduled timeslot, either off the air entirely or rescheduled to a burn off timeslot, even if the network *claims* the show will return later (two seasons ago those who answered The Whole Truth in the "next to be canceled" poll ended up being correct, it was removed first among the shows noted and never returned, despite initial ABC claims to the contrary).

What's your guess?

While this poll allows just one answer per person, feel free to expand your choices in the comments.

9/19 Update: You can also guess which new show will be given a full season order first.

 
  • Ultima

    @Nadine
    I have no idea. Until one has seen the shows, how can you tell?

    Many of the pilots are available online.

  • Greg

    I hope Partners does well. Revolution looks like a very cheaply produced boring show. I don’t think it will last. It will go the way of Alcatraz and that forgettable show where those folks went back in time. Bad storytelling is not going to draw in viewers. A cheaply produced show can be very successful as long as the storylines draw in the viewers. Its all about the story.

  • Ultima

    Currently
    #1 Guys With Kids
    #2 The Neighbors
    #3 Animal Practice

    So, I guess Wednesday isn’t a good night to launch comedies this year? ;)

  • Raykov

    @buttondiet

    By the time The CW launches their new shows, there will be at least one canceled show (maybe more)

  • omabin

    I don’t see why you argue that when a show moves slots during the season (unless its a Saturday burnoff) it’s canceled. That would be like saying PP was canceled last year when it moved to Tuesdays, that Bones was canceled when it moved to Mondays and so forth. Makes no sense to me. I 100% agree with you that when it is pulled and the network says it will bring it back eventually or it is still in consideration, that is canceled, but if they change its timeslot, then it’s another conversation.

    I mention this because a few weeks ago I would have voted for Guys with Kids, but I don’t think it’s premiere numbers were thaaaat bad, and I especially think it’s Fridays repeat numbers were good, so I think there is some probability that NBC decides to do the right thing and try it out on Fridays paired out with Withney. If that happens, why would that be canceled? Call it bubble if you want, an in-danger show if you want, but not canceled if there are still more episodes being produced…

    Anyway, I have voted for the neighbours, even though it’s actually a close call between most of the commedies this year. For some reason, I think the Fox comedies will be ok at least until the spring (though a lot depends on how the new girl performs), and I also think the Tuesday NBC comedies will do good enough for its standards, especially Go On. Everything else… Neighbours, Partners, Guys with Kids and Animal Practice is a big question mark. I have already explained my arguments for Guys with Kids and Partners at least has a favorable lead-in with HIMYM, so I am not inclined to go for those. Between Animal Practice and The Neighbours, it’s hard to bet, but I still went for the neighbours.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “By the time The CW launches their new shows, there will be at least one canceled show (maybe more)”

    That, plus an early cancellation by the CW requires them to slot a repeat, they just don’t have anything else on the bench. That makes it a bigger leap than some of the other networks, who can cancel a drama and slot a news magazine (20/20, Dateline) or a show previously scheduled for mid-season.

  • Oliver

    I think Partners, but I think Guys With Kids and The Neighbors will be pretty close behind.

    Mob Doctor could be a wildcard given its early premiere. Animal Practice has a better timeslot than GWK, so you’d expect it to be canceled later than it. Ben & Kate might also struggle due to horrible promos but Fox are giving its premiere a New Girl lead-in and it’s getting critical buzz.

  • Andrea

    I doubt anything on NBC gets canned first, it’s threshold is so low.

    I’m thinking either FOX or CBS will give a show the shortest leash.

  • Sid

    Partners.

  • Jenny

    Animal Practice. Would say The Neighbors, but the series premier will air after Modern Family so it will likely get sampled.

  • MattM

    Guys With Kids will probably go first since NBC is usually quick with the cancellation trigger.

    I think The Neighbors will do better than people think. It’s a silly concept but it fits in well with the rest of the family-style comedies on that night. It’s not gonna be another 3rd Rock but it will probably be a fun half hour.

  • SJ

    I think it’s a three-way tie between The Mob Doctor, Animal Practice and Guys with Kids. But since TMD will already air two episodes before AP and GWK even return – and because the first-to-be-cancelled-show was a drama the past two seasons, I’m going with The Mob Doctor.

    Neighbors premieres after Modern Family, so I expect it to make it to Halloween.

  • Esaul

    Guys With Friends. With the ratings NBC pulls over other networks, I suspect they’ll be faster to pull a show off than the others. That or they pull The New Normal which seems like last year’s The Playboy Club with a bit of the controversy. Isn’t as big but yeah. Gut says Guys With Friends.

  • Esaul

    Erm. Guys with Kids. Wow.

  • MattM

    The New Normal is no Playboy Club, it actually has some likable characters. I don’t love it, but it’s starting to grow on me.

  • omabin

    Oh and for the dramas, my bets for the first ones to go are: Chicago Fire (I would like it to work, but I don’t see it happening) and The Mob Doctor (even though I think this one is likely to hang around until January because seriously, what else will Fox put there?). Made in Jersey could also be a plausible one, but I think Friday’s low expectations + natural premiere boost will keep it alive for a while. Then there is also Last Resort of course, which I would love to work, but the cursed timeslot is just too much of a big challenge for me to ignore it.

    As for the rest, I think the other two ABC shows will probably be ok, as will the two CBS dramas. Revolution I think will air at least until the end of the season as well and there are no other NBC dramas (I have already covered Chicago Fire). Then there is the CW, but I think anyone seriously betting on them is being too pesimistic, as for them to cancel a new show said show would have to be below like a 0.4, so that repeats would perform better because they have nothing to replace it with.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I doubt anything on NBC gets canned first, it’s threshold is so low.’

    Not low enough for The Playboy Club last season. ;)

  • Jules

    I am doing things differently this year. DVR’ing all the new shows and waiting 6 weeks before watching them to see where they said on cancellation. I have too many other PT shows that I love returning and nothing else seems interesting to me.

    Last Resort and the Revolution are the only ones that look good to me.

    I did see a bit of the New Normal and wasn’t impressed.

  • Mon

    Ihave to say The Last Resort. CBS seems very patient and nothing looks DOA. As long as Elementary and Vegas maintain low 2s+ they will remain on air; low1s+ for Made In Jersey. NBC has low expectations so I crossed its shows too.

  • Tony JJ

    I voted for The Mob Doctor. It premieres tonight, so it has an earlier premiere than most other shows. Plus I’ve heard no buzz on it and it just looks bad. Could be FOX’s next Lonestar, except without the critical praise.

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