Which New Fall Broadcast TV Show Will Be Canceled First? (Poll)

Categories: Broadcast TV

Written By

September 17th, 2012

Update October 10, 2012: Though it came in a distant sixth, Made In Jersey was first to be cancelled.

The Cancellation Bear has awoken after his summer hibernation and he's hungry.

The new broadcast primetime shows have already begun premiering, so it's  time to throw your hat in the ring and guess which new broadcast primetime show you think will be caught by the cancellation bear and canceled first!

Because comment thread lawyers are everywhere, let's be clear that for the purposes of this poll "canceled" means removed from its initially scheduled timeslot, either off the air entirely or rescheduled to a burn off timeslot, even if the network *claims* the show will return later (two seasons ago those who answered The Whole Truth in the "next to be canceled" poll ended up being correct, it was removed first among the shows noted and never returned, despite initial ABC claims to the contrary).

What's your guess?

While this poll allows just one answer per person, feel free to expand your choices in the comments.

9/19 Update: You can also guess which new show will be given a full season order first.

 
  • JoAnne

    I couldn’t get through the first 10 minutes of Guys With Kids. A laugh track….REALLY?? See ya’!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I heard The Mob Doctor did horribly”

    Are you from the future? It premieres tonight in the space time continuum that I inhabit.

  • Jared K

    Voted for The Mob Doctor.

    1. The first instinct of many reasonable TV watchers upon seeing that title will be to laugh and say “well, that looks ridiculous”. Not a good place to start for a show that, if the early critical reports are to be believed, won’t be gripping viewers with its quality. Even if the show gets better quickly, it may be too late. Finding a good title may be hard, but as any fan of Cougar Town will tell you, it can be important in making a good first impression.

    2. It has Bones for its lead-in, and at this point in its run, Bones is a solid performer but hardly a strong cornerstone on which to build a night. If we use the end of last season as a guideline The Mob Doctor will most likely be working to build off a lead-in in the mid 2′s, and that’s before attrition starts to set in. Monday may be a night when lots of people watch TV (particularly early in the season), but ABC, CBS, and NBC all have more-or-less established, highly rated programming blocks in place during the hour. It’ll be hard to peel those viewers away.

    3. Fox has already scheduled The Following to take this slot at midseason, which means that even if The Mob Doctor finds a decent audience, it is in for either a short, 13-episode first season, or it will be moving to another night. Neither of these things suggest that Fox has a ton of confidence in the show’s long-term future. Plus, Fox has a history of being quick with the hook, and their priority for the fall is clearly their new, expanded comedy block on Tuesdays. They may want a new medical drama, but I think the leash on this one is very short.

    4. The show will likely take a hiatus when Fox starts airing baseball in October. We saw what happened to New Girl last year, taking it from smash hit to merely above-average numbers. The Mob Doctor will be starting from a lower platform. There’s a good chance the show disappears from the schedule, and never comes back.

    Other contenders:

    Guys With Kids: NBC’s Wednesday night comedy block is going to get killed, and while I’m sure Animal Practice will draw bad numbers, I would be very surprised if Guys With Kids built on its lead-in.

    The Neighbors: It looks terrible, and I’ll be stunned if it earns a back-nine pick-up, but I think being part of ABC’s highly-rated Wednesday night line-up will be enough to prevent it from being the very first show axed. Better With You got a full season.

    Revolution: While the Playboy Club was cancelled in this slot last year, Revolution is a) a slightly better show, and b) has The Voice as its lead-in instead of The Sing-Off. Viewers might turn on it quickly, but it’ll probably score a decent initial number. Even if attrition is rapid, that should be enough to stave off death for a few weeks.

    Ben and Kate: Having to air after Raising Hope opposite The Voice, DWTS, and NCIS is not good. However, Fox is clearly invested in this new Tuesday comedy block. I’d be surprised if they gave up on it so early in the season just to slot in repeats of New Girl.

    Made In Jersey: It’s not in a great position to succeed and looks ridiculous (despite the obvious virtues of star Janet Montgomery). But CBS has a history of sticking with shows, and the bar is lower on Fridays. I think it’s more likely that it follows the path of ‘A Gifted Man’ and lasts into the spring of 2013.

    Chicago Fire: This show is going to fail, but the late premiere date (October 10) probably saves it from being the first one axed.

  • omabin

    @Bill Gorman,

    Oh I agree with you about the CW. I def. think the first cancelations will not come from there, as much as I think that BB and EO are bad shows and will not help the CW. As for Cult, I didn’t know that it may not have enough episodes ready, I have no idea how that situation is, but my understanding concerning midseason shows was that their seasons were filmed earlier on in the year, as with fall shows, am I wrong? You certainnly know more about that than I do, so I will take your word for it. In any case, I think Cult is likely to take the Thursday spot after The Vampire Diaries at midseason, with BB being shipped to Fridays (that, for me, would not be a BB cancelation, it may actually find an audience there). My point was just that this year, unlike last year, it is not 100% accurate to say that the CW has nothing to replace failed shows with. As limited as its option (Cult) is, they do have an option.

  • bob

    NBC will most likely cancel a show quickly. CBS does not cancel shows as quickly. NBC has been pulling the trigger on shows to soon ever since the JAG days….NBC kicked JAG to the curb. CBS picked up JAG and made it a super success and then had NCIS super success due to JAG and now NCIS LA because of the super success of NCIS. NBC was very stupid to cancel JAG.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “CBS does not cancel shows as quickly”

    How To Be A Gentleman, Fall 2011, 2 episodes until it was rescheduled for burn off. RIP

  • Jared K

    Throw Partners on that list as well. HIMYM may be a good lead-in, but that show has more than a little ‘How to Be A Gentleman’ potential. And as Tom noted, Rules of Engagement is loaded and ready as a replacement.

  • Lucretia Lean Green

    Guys With Kids was Awful. The Neighbors Looks bad but will probably benefit from a good time slot…my money is on GWK.

  • CrimTV

    @Bill

    I can’t believe Once Upon a Time was voted as second most likely to be cancelled first and now it was one of the highest rated dramas last season lol!

  • Networkman

    I choose Animal Practice because NBC has so many comedies waiting in the wings this season, that they don’t have to be patient with a show that garners low ratings.

    Since this is an election year, the SNL Thursday night show should garner lots of interest. NBC should have put their new show 1600 Penn at @8:30 to take advantage of that lead in. Up All Night should return back to Wednesday and it may just do that after Animal Practice fails.

  • CrimTV

    @Oliver

    Glee is too credible and Fox love it too much (lol) to cancel Glee without giving it a final season or renewing it, Glee is the least of Fox’s problems right now!

  • Networkman

    NBC will be concentrating its efforts on Go On and The New Normal. I believe these are the shows that the network is seeking to use to replace 30 Rock and The Office. And then they also have the Michael J. Fox comedy as well. So I don’t feel NBC will allow Animal Practice to reamin on the schedule for a long length of time with low ratings. Remember, there is also Betty White’s Off Their Rockers available. And that show did great for the network on Wednesday night.

  • The End

    One show that won’t be cancelled is Once Upon a Time, from seeing some summarys of the upcoming Season 2 episodes, it looks like more of the same, and then some. Fans getting exactly what they want with this show, I’m actually pretty damned hyped for this show I can’t wait to see how Season 2 turns out.

  • bluejoni

    I HOPE it’s Mob Doctor because I’m still mad about the cancellation of Terra Nova and Alcatraz !! Also why are there so many great shows packed into Sunday night ?? Not even counting the great cable shows of Dexter, Homeland and Boardwalk Empire !!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I can’t believe Once Upon a Time was voted as second most likely to be cancelled first and now it was one of the highest rated dramas last season lol!”

    Should I have added the US EPA disclaimer?

    “Your mileage may vary.”

  • DW

    i put revolution forgetting about the mob doctor but those two are the first to go due to time slots and that rev is a bad show havent seen mob yet. even though last resort is in a bad slot i do feel that x factor and its ilk have burned that genre where people will turn to last resort for the premise.

  • Gustavo

    IMO would be Last Resort.

  • Jason

    Monkey Hospital or Goon. One or de’ other.

  • ATXCountry

    One other factor to consider: election season means Presidential Debates. The current schedule could extend some less than stellar shows or give the networks some time to scramble in replacements.

    All are scheduled from 8-9:30 pm EST
    Pres Debate 1 – October 3 (Wednesday)
    VP Debate – October 11 (Thursday)
    Pres Debate 2 – October 16 (Tuesday)
    Pres Debate 3 – October 22 (Monday)

  • Joe

    Guys With Kids is doomed

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