NBC: 'Up All Night' Stumbles On Return, As The Cancellation Bear Begins This Season's Chase

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

September 25th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-23, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.55
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.72
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.76
The Office final season 0.89
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 0.93
Go On :) :) :) :) 1.43
Revolution :) :) :) :) 1.73

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After feasting on so many NBC shows last season, the week before the official start of the season produced yet another NBC show that the Cancellation Bear is chasing.

The premiere ratings for Up All Night were the lowest of the shows that have already premiered on NBC, but the season has just begun, and its not clear yet where the ratings renewal floor will form for NBC shows. Since it's not a rookie (like Fox's doomed The Mob Doctor) there is little chance the show will be pulled off the schedule before its full 13 episode order airs this season. Once more NBC shows premiere, we'll have a better idea of how bad things look for Up All Night.

The premieres for Revolution, Go On and The New Normal currently place them in the "likely to be renewed" range, but since this is just the first NBC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2012-13 season many predictions are easily subject to change as more ratings results arrive. Visit each Tuesday for the latest predictions!

Yes, I know there were new NBC scripted episodes aired prior to September 17, I just decided not to include them in my calculations.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • KS

    I think Revolution can certainly outrun a lot of crap on NBC.

  • César

    Parenthood :(

  • Jeff (Canada)

    I can see Up All Night being “13 and done” this year, and then not come back. With 30 Rock and Office both ending this year, and Up All Night probably ending too, I hope this means they keep Parks and Community kicking around!

  • Dan

    Up All Night has 13 episodes like all comedies besides The Office and Parks & Rec. UAN since its a sophomore show will air all 13 eps. Go On, New Normal and Revolution will gets full seasons.

  • senor chang

    A+ image.
    Average is highly skewed right now because of Revolution/Go On, but once everything on Wednesdays and Fridays begins airing we’ll have a better idea of how things are about to shake out.

  • Raykov

    No Grimm? I agree with the chart 100%. It’s too early to give 1 ot 5 emoticons so that’s why Go On and Rev have only 4 and UAN has 2.

  • Alex

    I think NBC probably just has to call it quits on the entire Thursday line-up this season. Let the end of The Office serves as the ‘end of an era’ and launch a completely new block around the new Michael J Fox series next year. I’d also recommend (unless they do surprisingly well) ditching the returning comedies currently slated for Friday this season. Its pretty obvious the audience has already made the decision not to watch these shows and just plugging away with them isn’t the answer. I can understand why they did it this year but next season they now seem to have the perfect chance to relaunch the Thursday block. They should take it.

  • RJ

    Up All Night should start with the red embarrassed face. No way it gets renewed.

  • Jared K

    @Raykov – Grimm isn’t mentioned here because 1) all of its Monday episodes aired before September 17, and 2) NBC put Grimm on Mondays so that it could bring in a new audience with the hope that it would bring that audience to Fridays starting this week. If Grimm falls on Fridays, its early season ratings on Monday won’t matter.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “No Grimm? “

    No new Grimm episode aired last week. It will join the table next week after it airs a new episode this Friday.

  • Jared K

    Go On and Revolution will both get full season orders relatively soon – NBC will be eager to get out the message that they have new hits and “this season will be different” (we’ll see, though I grant that they’re off to a good start). The New Normal may well pick up a full season order as well, despite its lesser numbers, just so NBC can claim total victory.

    Parks and Recreation will hit syndication numbers this season – after that, it’s anyone’s guess. I think a short final season is most likely, though obviously, the more the better :)

    Up All Night has a long, tough road ahead of it. That’s a brutal timeslot.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    ” It’s too early to give 1 ot 5 emoticons so that’s why Go On and Rev have only 4 and UAN has 2.”

    Not too early to give The Mob Doctor 1. After this week, it won’t be too early to give them out for NBC shows either.

  • KS

    Even though, NBC renews Revolution now. I don’t really think, its gonna loose even a penny.

  • EatMorePez

    You know NBC is already eyeing Go On to be the Thursday night tent pole next season.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    Thursdays 2013:
    8:00pm – Go On (Matthew Perry’s old Friends timeslot, NBC marketing practically writes itself at this point)
    8:30pm – Parks & Rec (final season of 13 episodes)
    9:00pm – New Michael J. Fox show
    9:30pm – Community (returning to the timeslot it started out in, for a final season of 13 episodes)

    Done.

  • RJ

    @Jeff (Canada),

    Community back on Thursdays? You make me laugh.

  • senor chang

    I actually think there’s a case to be made for NBC launching a two-hour block on Tuesdays, particularly if FOX struggles (I hope not, because I love Raising Hope and Ben and Kate). But Thursdays would still
    be the next best option for a block, sadly.

  • Vance

    Bill, don’t you think that NBC will try and push Parenthood to syndication? I think it will be renewed to bring the episode total up.

  • Jamiestp

    I usually refrain from these type of posts but…Retire Community his season. Bring Parks And Rec back for a shortened final 13 episode season next year.
    All other old comedies end this season.

    2013-2014 wish it were 1994 Thursday Night Line up:

    8pm: Go On
    8:30: New Normal( I see this as a weak Link but will do considerably better than P&R)
    9pm: New Michael J Fox Comedy
    9:30: New Comedy
    10pm Drama (some less dramatic than Rock Centers ratings)

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Bill, don’t you think that NBC will try and push Parenthood to syndication? I think it will be renewed to bring the episode total up”

    While Parenthood is a bit further from syndication than required to trigger my automatic “no worse than a toss up” rule, I doubt it goes lower than a “toss up” in my predictions at its current ratings levels.

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