NBC: 'Up All Night' Stumbles On Return, As The Cancellation Bear Begins This Season's Chase

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

September 25th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-23, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.55
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.72
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.76
The Office final season 0.89
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 0.93
Go On :) :) :) :) 1.43
Revolution :) :) :) :) 1.73

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After feasting on so many NBC shows last season, the week before the official start of the season produced yet another NBC show that the Cancellation Bear is chasing.

The premiere ratings for Up All Night were the lowest of the shows that have already premiered on NBC, but the season has just begun, and its not clear yet where the ratings renewal floor will form for NBC shows. Since it's not a rookie (like Fox's doomed The Mob Doctor) there is little chance the show will be pulled off the schedule before its full 13 episode order airs this season. Once more NBC shows premiere, we'll have a better idea of how bad things look for Up All Night.

The premieres for Revolution, Go On and The New Normal currently place them in the "likely to be renewed" range, but since this is just the first NBC Renew/Cancel Index post of the 2012-13 season many predictions are easily subject to change as more ratings results arrive. Visit each Tuesday for the latest predictions!

Yes, I know there were new NBC scripted episodes aired prior to September 17, I just decided not to include them in my calculations.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • THE OLD MAN

    Agree UAN will be 13 & out, as right now it seems only Go On & TNN are safe

    Can’t wait to see GWK & AP on the grid–hopefully w/ the 1 red face sweating profusely

  • Jamiestp

    I actually thought Guys with Kids was okay. Probably not for broadcast television though.

  • Riff Rafferty

    We were quite shocked “Up All Night” came back at all. The viewers bailed in droves, it wasn’t very good, and it cost an arm and a leg for a freshman sitcom. Not that we were expecting the Peacock to go from 6 comedies to 10 (certainly not considering the extreme difficulty in finding anything remotely resembling comedy in most of those 10) but… let’s just say they made some bozo decisions for what to bring back and what not to — and this soggy diaper was front and center.

    Remember when “Jesse” got canned in that time slot? With, what was it, 20 million viewers?

  • Raykov

    @Bill

    By the end of its season Parenthood will be only 20 episodes short from the 88.

  • Oliver

    @Jeff (Canada)
    There is zero chance NBC will put Go On up against TBBT.

  • Anthony

    I know there aren’t any ratings in yet for the Wednesday and Thursday shows but I think that the bear will have plenty of shows to feast on from NBC. I can realistically see EVERY show from the Wednesday and Thursday schedule being cancelled by seasons end. 30 Rock and The Office are in their last seasons, UAN is DOA, I don’t have faith in Animal Practice or Guys with Kids, SVU has never done well at 9:00 and it’s ratings were pretty low last season, thus no confidence in it or Chicago Fire. I could POSSIBLY see Parks being renewed as filler (depending on how many of the new comedies survive) and MAYBE Rock Center as cheap schedule spackle. Those two days will be blood baths to say the least.

  • Bern

    Revolution and Grimm are my addiction from NBC.

  • Michael

    Revolution is not doing too bad. Keep it up Revolution!! You may be able to make it!!

  • Nick

    Ah, the magic of Bill Gorman and his trusty calculator.
    :-D

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “By the end of its season Parenthood will be only 20 episodes short from the 88.”

    And given that NBC typically orders fewer than 20 episodes of it per season, leaves it “a bit further from syndication than required to trigger my automatic “no worse than a toss up” rule”.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I know there aren’t any ratings in yet for the Wednesday and Thursday shows but I think that the bear will have plenty of shows to feast on from NBC.”

    Indeed. The ratings floor for renewal at NBC has yet to be set for this season.

    “Ah, the magic of Bill Gorman and his trusty calculator.”

    FEEL THE MAGIC!

  • Oliver

    Is there a specific reason why networks won’t pull shows that aren’t rookies or is it simply because they have rarely done so in the past?

    I know ABC pulled Samantha Who and burnt it off during Summer, and Arrested Development got its order cut and had its final episodes burnt off against the Olympics.

  • Ultima

    @Jeff
    Thursdays 2013:
    8:00pm – Go On (Matthew Perry’s old Friends timeslot, NBC marketing practically writes itself at this point)
    8:30pm – Parks & Rec (final season of 13 episodes)
    9:00pm – New Michael J. Fox show
    9:30pm – Community (returning to the timeslot it started out in, for a final season of 13 episodes)

    Done.

    I’m pretty sure the only thing that will be “done” is any chance of sitcom success on NBC. ;)

    Why are so many people obsessed with NBC having two hours of comedy on Thursdays? NBC abandoned it before (while Friends was still on the air!) and it was probably a mistake to go back to it.

    Sure, The Office was able to drag a few shows along with it into syndication, but now we are looking at a very realistic chance of Go On being the oldest NBC sitcom on the air next season.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Is there a specific reason why networks won’t pull shows that aren’t rookies or is it simply because they have rarely done so in the past?”

    My comments are based on the fact that it almost never happens.

    I can only guess that it almost never happens because of some combination of financial and scheduling related reasons.

  • Rebecca

    I think NBC needs me to have a Nielsen box, lol. I watch 12 of their shows (compare that to just 3 on CBS, 6 on Fox, 1 on CW, and actually I watch maybe 12 on ABC too – so they could use me also, lol): Revolution, Smash, Go On, Animal Practice, Guys With Kids, 30R (and am streaming the old episodes to re-watch them now; forgot how funny it was early on), UAN, The Office, P&R, Community, Grimm, Whitney…and I plan to watch 1600 Penn and maybe Next Caller. And Off Their Rockers when I have time or when other shows are reruns (so make that 15 NBC shows for me, plus whatever they own that I don’t know about on cable…I don’t have cable channels, only regular networks, but I stream Psych now that I caught up online – do they own Psych?). And my DVR is almost always set to NBC, just mainly for the Ellen show on weekdays (16 shows, then) – but with the darned digital cable the channel has to stay on whatever channel I plan to record, so it’s usually NBC all week. I don’t always get to see all these shows live, of course – life gets in the way, but I DVR or stream most of them (okay, so don’t give me a Nielsen box). I know they won’t all last (AP and GWK might go away) but I’m here rooting for them. And there’s a good book out right now about NBC, if anyone is interested – not done with it myself yet but it’s on my Kindle and is good so far…”Top of the Rock: Inside the Rise and Fall of Must See TV” by Warren Littlefield and someone else (can’t read the tiny print on the “cover” on the phone’s Kindle screen)…all done interview-style (script-like) with lots of comments from other NBC people (actors, etc.). Very interesting [and sometimes humorous] read – I’m up to the “Mad About You” years now. Another NBC show I watched.

  • Oliver

    Thanks for the response, just wondered if you were privy to some insider knowledge.

    I wonder if there’s some underlying contractual reason, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s simply because networks generally don’t renew flops.

    I hold out hope Community replaces UAN on Thursday.

  • Nash

    Parenthood is very likely to get a fifth season, if not the last one then a short 6 season will be the final season. The show has been losing steam now, its not as good as the first two seasons but the ratings are not that bad (yet), I think it got 1 or 2 more seasons left.

  • Nash

    {And given that NBC typically orders fewer than 20 episodes of it per season, leaves it “a bit further from syndication than required to trigger my automatic “no worse than a toss up” rule”.}

    True, wouldn’t be surprised if its goes back to a 13 episode order for season 5.

  • Oliver

    I read Top of the Rock but I took it with a giant pinch of salt as it felt like a very airbrushed version of history.

    I’d love to read a similar book from a more objective author.

  • Nick

    @Rebecca

    You must be the only person in the world that watches more than a few NBC shows. ;-)

    Personally, I watch 4 NBC shows (Go On, The New Normal, Revolution, and Off Their Rockers)
    That’s compared to 6 for CBS, 6 for Fox, and 11 (!) for ABC.

    Also, NBC doesn’t own all their shows. No network does. They don’t own Revolution, Chicago Fire, AGT, Rock Center, and Dateline, along with a few others.

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