CBS: 'Made In Jersey' & 'Partners' Are Certain To Be Canceled; Will Their Showrunners Taunt Us Too?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 2nd, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-30, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F) :oops: 0.40
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.47
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.54
Hawaii Five-0 :| :| :| 0.65
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.65
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.76
Partners :oops: 0.87
Vegas :) :) :) :) 0.90
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.90
Person Of Interest :) :) :) :) 1.05
Elementary :) :) :) :) 1.12
Criminal Minds :) :) :) :) 1.12
Mike & Molly :) :) :) :) 1.12
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
How I Met Your Mother :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.48
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.81

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Tying the lowest rated CBS drama premiere ever (Chaos, Spring 2011), Made In Jersey flopped out of the gate at 9pm Friday night with just a 1.1 adults 18-49 rating, 21% below the now canceled A Gifted Man's 8pm start last season. Because of that, it's certain to be canceled by the end of the season. The only question now is how long it lasts on CBS's schedule.

Prior to 2009, CBS was in the habit of canceling their lowest rated drama before November sweeps, but hasn't done that in the last three years. Last season's Friday rookie, A Gifted Man, lasted 16 episodes (until early March) on CBS's schedule. The extra three episode order to fill time before the NCAA tournament caused showrunner Neal Baer to foolishly taunt us. Feel free to guess when CBS moves MIJ off its schedule in the comments or whether the MIJ showrunner will choose to taunt us. We can only hope.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, rookie sitcom Partners doesn't have much of a life expectancy either, it's almost certain to be replaced by Rules of Engagement at some point, perhaps sooner rather than later, but you can make your own guesses in the comments.

Could Vegas become the next Unforgettable? With or without the un-cancellation?

Is this the year another CSI bites the dust?

Did the move to 10pm Sunday kill The Mentalist?

After suffering through years of terrible ratings, will The Good Wife *finally* be sold into syndication by CBS? Will that mean the end of its run on broadcast?

These and lots more questions (and I hope answers!) coming in the weeks ahead.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Bud the Couch Spud

    Classic shows like “Cheers” and “Seinfeld” would never survive in this day and age. It took a long time for those shows to find an audience back in their day, now neither one would last more than two weeks when held to today’s standard.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I don’t understand why Unforgettable was cancelled in the first place. It was a pretty solid show ratings wise if I remember correctly. MIJ never stood a chance. I bet CBS will try to get Unforgettable on the air by midseason.”

    You remember incorrectly. Unforgettable averaged just 72% of CBS’s scripted show average rating last spring. That’s “cancel me” ratings.

    Unforgettable isn’t currently in production. I’m not sure how quickly it could be spun up (and we probably would hear about it if it was) but appearance before April is unlikely.

    And CBS doesn’t *need* Unforgettable early. They can keep MIJ on the schedule a while like they did A Gifted Man, or put Undercover Boss on Friday for awhile.

  • Dinaminjo

    Partners second episode was actually better thatn HIMYM, but thats just my opinion..

    Is there any chance CBS swaps it with 2.5 men before pulling the plug?!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “What is this “Cancellation Bear” stuff other than taunting itself? Don’t get mad at the creative people who rightfully get miffed that others are gleefully predicting the cancellation of the product of their sweat and toil.”

    Not mad at all. We love the publicity!

    And predictions are not taunts, they’re my reading of *reality*. I don’t call out specific showrunners, producers or stars until they call us out. After they do, I figure all’s fair.

    Feel free to disagree with my predictions, but don’t be so comical as to disagree with the freedom to predict.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Classic shows like “Cheers” and “Seinfeld” would never survive in this day and age. It took a long time for those shows to find an audience back in their day, now neither one would last more than two weeks when held to today’s standard.”

    Perhaps the most classic of the classic Fan Excuse Bingo squares.

    New bingo card coming tomorrow!

  • SherLOCKED

    Yes. I think moving The Mentalist to Sun at 10pm will kill it.

    and it is NO ONE’s fault but CBS! I will be so pissed if it goes!

    But at least they have Elementary now…which can easily be my “Mentalist” replacement as it where. I need at least one show like that on air or I’ll just not care about TV(besides Community).

  • Tom

    MIJ’s rating was so bad that CBS has to do something, whether time-swapping with NY or immediate yanking. (It may produce all 13, but that’s it.)

    Vegas doesn’t smell like another Unforgettable. First off, I don’t think it lasts as long this season. Second, UF’s budget was Poppy Montgomery – and that’s it. Vegas has bigger headliners and period shooting. I don’t think there’s a way to reduce Vegas’ budget to Unforgettable territory.

    I think GW and The Mentalist get another season before Vegas does. Heck, I might be willing to guess Unforgettable itself gets another season before Vegas.

    Partners is gone before sweeps. Assuming RoE takes over instantly, does it get a backorder or does CBS try another comedy in Spring?

  • Jeff (Canada)

    “Classic shows like “Cheers” and “Seinfeld” would never survive in this day and age. It took a long time for those shows to find an audience back in their day, now neither one would last more than two weeks when held to today’s standard.”

    Blame society and the “instant information” age we live in. Once we gained the ability to learn such random facts like ‘what the average rainfall is in Peru in springtime’ in an instant from the palm of our hand, our desire to have everything new/fast/now increased tenfold.

  • ruudisss

    Didn’t Chaos premiere just as bad? I think it also had 1.1.

  • ILoveSitcoms

    [quote]Feel free to disagree with my predictions, but don’t be so comical as to disagree with the freedom to predict.[/quote]

    I disagree with making a big joke of it. I empathize with the creative people whether or not I like their product.

    It’s pretty easy to predict which series will get canned especially if you’re capable of factoring in the night, the competition, the status of the series and the network, factors this site repeatedly seems to miss.

  • Dan

    @Bill Gorman – I don’t think they will do “The Bridge” deal with Made in Jersey that they did with A Gifted Man. The Bridge is what I call a network ordering additional episodes of a show as a filler to get people’s hopes up that the show might get a second season. Examples include NBC’s Chase, ABC’s The Forgotten and Detroit 187, CBS’s A Gifted Man. FOX’s Standoff years ago. MIJ has low ratings and negative reviews, Id be surprised to see it on the air in November. They could replace it with repeats or Undercover Boss and by midseason I could see Golden Boy airing in the slot. My guess is Unforgettable probably wont be ready until summer, but could have been put to bettger use as a midseason replacement.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Didn’t Chaos premiere just as bad? I think it also had 1.1.”

    You are correct, sir.

    Editing the post now.

  • Susie K.

    I’m getting really tired of the networks cancelling shows that have huge numbers and win their time slot in total viewers, but have low 18-49 ratings. THE RATING SYSTEM NEEDS REVISED to more accurately reflect today’s viewers. Just because someone turns 50, doesn’t mean that they stop spending money or buying products that advertisers offer.

  • Dan

    I think its possible both Vegas and Elementary could see second years if they both hold up. Tuesday at 10pm has been hard on CBS shows on the past and a lot of those shows got pulled after a few eps back in 2005 and 2006. Good Wife and Unforgettable did pretty well there because both NCIS powerhouses aired at 8 and 9 but numbers have gone down in that slot. If Vegas can hold up then it will get a full year.

  • Dan

    Made In Jersey also got worse reviews then A Gifted Man, and last fall I don’t think CBS wanted two fall cancellations (A Gifted Man and How to Be a Gentleman) Although this season could see both Made In Jersey and Partners being early casualties.

  • Martin

    Bill,

    Why is there no discussion of Hawaii Five-O’s renewal/cancellation prospects?

  • Holly

    @Susie K,

    I’m getting really tired of the networks cancelling shows that have huge numbers and win their time slot in total viewers, but have low 18-49 ratings. THE RATING SYSTEM NEEDS REVISED to more accurately reflect today’s viewers. Just because someone turns 50, doesn’t mean that they stop spending money or buying products that advertisers offer.

    The focus on the 18-49 demo isn’t a function of the ratings system, it’s a function of the advertising companies. If the advertisers suddenly decided that the most important demo was people 65-80, the measurement system wouldn’t have to change at all. You’re problem is with the advertisers.

    Until the advertisers change their minds, the networks will continue to focus on the 18-49 demo and so will websites like this.

  • Holly

    Bleh! *Your* problem

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Why is there no discussion of Hawaii Five-O’s renewal/cancellation prospects?”

    1. It’s got a syndication deal, it would take an unprecendented ratings plunge to take it off the schedule before May, 2014.
    2. I do a new post every week. Not only will there be plenty of time, but before long I will be scrambling to find new shows to talk about.
    3. It’s in the table, I don’t discuss every show, every week.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I’m getting really tired of the networks cancelling shows that have huge numbers and win their time slot in total viewers, but have low 18-49 ratings. THE RATING SYSTEM NEEDS REVISED to more accurately reflect today’s viewers. Just because someone turns 50, doesn’t mean that they stop spending money or buying products that advertisers offer.”

    Your whine is irrelevant for CBS shows.

    While I haven’t done so, if I ranked CBS shows by relative total viewership (even though that’s meaningless for the business) the predictions would likely be the same.

    Winning the timeslot is completely irrelevant except for the press release writers. It doesn’t make CBS any more money.

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