CBS: 'Made In Jersey' & 'Partners' Are Certain To Be Canceled; Will Their Showrunners Taunt Us Too?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 2nd, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-30, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F) :oops: 0.40
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.47
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.54
Hawaii Five-0 :| :| :| 0.65
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.65
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.76
Partners :oops: 0.87
Vegas :) :) :) :) 0.90
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.90
Person Of Interest :) :) :) :) 1.05
Elementary :) :) :) :) 1.12
Criminal Minds :) :) :) :) 1.12
Mike & Molly :) :) :) :) 1.12
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
How I Met Your Mother :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.48
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.81

-
Tying the lowest rated CBS drama premiere ever (Chaos, Spring 2011), Made In Jersey flopped out of the gate at 9pm Friday night with just a 1.1 adults 18-49 rating, 21% below the now canceled A Gifted Man's 8pm start last season. Because of that, it's certain to be canceled by the end of the season. The only question now is how long it lasts on CBS's schedule.

Prior to 2009, CBS was in the habit of canceling their lowest rated drama before November sweeps, but hasn't done that in the last three years. Last season's Friday rookie, A Gifted Man, lasted 16 episodes (until early March) on CBS's schedule. The extra three episode order to fill time before the NCAA tournament caused showrunner Neal Baer to foolishly taunt us. Feel free to guess when CBS moves MIJ off its schedule in the comments or whether the MIJ showrunner will choose to taunt us. We can only hope.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, rookie sitcom Partners doesn't have much of a life expectancy either, it's almost certain to be replaced by Rules of Engagement at some point, perhaps sooner rather than later, but you can make your own guesses in the comments.

Could Vegas become the next Unforgettable? With or without the un-cancellation?

Is this the year another CSI bites the dust?

Did the move to 10pm Sunday kill The Mentalist?

After suffering through years of terrible ratings, will The Good Wife *finally* be sold into syndication by CBS? Will that mean the end of its run on broadcast?

These and lots more questions (and I hope answers!) coming in the weeks ahead.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I disagree with making a big joke of it. I empathize with the creative people whether or not I like their product.”

    I see, we should be somber and boring? I empathize too, but reality is reality. Should we all keep our heads in the sand until May?

    “It’s pretty easy to predict which series will get canned especially if you’re capable of factoring in the night, the competition, the status of the series and the network, factors this site repeatedly seems to miss.”

    The factors/methods we use have proven very predictive in the past. But our methods are 100% explained and public, they’re not rocket science. Feel free to make your own predictions if you disagree.

  • Martin

    @Bill

    I would’ve expected some dicussion from a show that has to be the biggest ratings disaster story of returning shows this season.

    I can expect such ratings slumps from shows on their fifth and beyond seasons, but usually shows only on their 3rd season don’t tank that hard in the ratings. Although, there is Glee, too, if you think about it..

  • Petar Ivanov

    CBS are idiots! All their new shows Partners, Vegas, Elementary and Made in jersey are CRAP! Who watch them and how they even greenlight them is the big question. But even bigger qiestion why they don’t spend money as much as ABC and don’t advertise as well as ABC their second year hits POI and 2BG like ONCE and REVENGE that is the better question.

  • ILoveSitcoms

    “Classic shows like “Cheers” and “Seinfeld” would never survive in this day and age. It took a long time for those shows to find an audience back in their day, now neither one would last more than two weeks when held to today’s standard.”

    Did Seinfeld or Cheers premiere to terrible ratings? I know they weren’t hits right off the bat but I’m sure they didn’t bleed viewers in their first weeks on the air. Poorly received television series got cancelled quickly back in those days as well. From Cheers premiere season (1982-83), 13 (!) sitcoms premiered that never got a second season. Nothing has changed and as we know that’s the problem because a model based broadcast viewers is woefully obsolete.

  • Dan

    Hawaii 5-0 will probably get a fifth season because of syndication, its not doing terrible and CBS whole monday schedule have gone down.

  • Dan

    @Bill – It may be too soon, but maybe a future Renew/Cancel index could be about HIMYM. It still has renewal ratings but hasn’t gotten a ninth season deal so there has been talk that the show may end this season.

  • Mon

    @Petar Ivanov
    Person of Interest is getting A LOT of promotion. I watch/record CBS evety night. It’s maybe the top promoted CBS drama. It’s being promoted tirelessly that it’s getting annoying.

  • Percysowner

    I’m getting really tired of the networks cancelling shows that have huge numbers and win their time slot in total viewers, but have low 18-49 ratings. THE RATING SYSTEM NEEDS REVISED to more accurately reflect today’s viewers. Just because someone turns 50, doesn’t mean that they stop spending money or buying products that advertisers offer.

    The ratings system is just numbers and I haven’t seen evidence that the numbers aren’t correct. What would need to change is the perception of the advertisers as to which group is most likely to buy their products and which group is most likely to be influenced by ads. I could make an argument that older viewers are as valuable as younger ones, but the advertisers don’t believe that. Even if people over 50 (and I’m over 50) are a good target, changing opinions is hard.

    So don’t blame the ratings system, blame the people who pay for the ads.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “@Bill – It may be too soon, but maybe a future Renew/Cancel index could be about HIMYM. It still has renewal ratings but hasn’t gotten a ninth season deal so there has been talk that the show may end this season.”

    That’s certainly a topic for a future post as I seek to vary CBS headlines, even though my take on it will be “Could happen. I have no idea!”

  • Richard Steven Hack

    To chime in on the advertisers issue, since we’re talking about most of the major corporations in the country, and since most of them presumably have tweaked their predictions about who buys the most stuff as well as plenty of analysis of historical buying trends over decades to back up those predictions, I’d say anyone contradicting them had better have some serious facts to lay out if they want to be taken seriously about “reforming” the system.

    Just because you THINK the system is broken doesn’t mean it is.

    Not that I’ve ever been a cheerleader for corporations, most of whom are run by morons, but really… :-)

  • Dinaminjo

    @Dan
    HIMYM is not about ratings, it’s about the actors wanting to do other stuff.
    So they will have another season only if they get all five of them to sign new contracts..

  • Flame

    @ILoveSitcoms, who asked “Did Seinfeld or Cheers premiere to terrible ratings?”

    As for Cheers, I am working myself through the final 4 seasons on DVD, and they said during the 200th Episode Special that Cheers ranked dead last (78th of 78) in its premiere week.

  • cas

    I feel that CBS should have left Men on Monday’s and then premiered a new comedy behind BBT. I’m not sure why they didn’t. I mean BBT has stronger ratings than HIMYM. I do love both shows though. As a Sophia Bush fan I am sad her show is failing. Best of luck to her.

  • RG-X

    Being that Made In Jersey is on a Friday – this could be tricky – expectations are much lower.

    It was a cute show – I caught it by accident – no ratings on Friday were great on anything last week except Shark Tank – sooo – I don’t know.

    Partners will be gone by sweeps or at least on hiatus then cancelled. Even the promos are annoying; Over-Acting!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    If any CSI goes – it will be NY – they just brought on Elisabeth Shue and it ‘s maintaining ratings compared to new shows like Vegas – which won’t last as long.

  • Ben

    I agree that Partners and Made in Jersey should be cancelled. Partners is in a great slot, but, it’s a terrible, unwatchable show. Made in Jersey has lower expectations (airing on Friday nights) and it’s a formula, by the numbers program.
    CBS is bringing back Rules of Engagement and Unforgettable. Maybe they should think about bringing back Rob. It took a few years for Family Guy to return to Fox and for Futurama to be brought back by Comedy Central (after being cancelled by Fox). I never watched Rob when it was on the air, but, it had good ratings and it was an inexpensive program to produce. Is it too late for Rob to return to CBS? Or some other network that wants it?

  • DJC

    Please, someone help – what’s the future looking like for The Mentalist? With those ratings, is a 6th season still a possibility? Is it likely? Unlikely? What would be considered ‘good’ or ‘better’ for The Mentalist than the 2.1 it got on Sunday? Thanks.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Please, someone help – what’s the future looking like for The Mentalist? With those ratings, is a 6th season still a possibility? Is it likely? Unlikely? What would be considered ‘good’ or ‘better’ for The Mentalist than the 2.1 it got on Sunday? Thanks.”

    Certainly a possibility, that’s why the prediction is a “toss up”.

  • charlotte mustain

    the numbers for Hawaii 5-0 will be higher when people wake up and see that revolution is doing the same thing each week, hiding from the law or looking for a place to hide, there is no story background to it. Hawaii 5-0 is the best show on tv, the show is starting to get inresting. i think that steve and wo fat are half brothers. Mama McGarrett got some explaining to do.

  • DJC

    @Bill Gorman Thanks, so I guess it’s 50/50 atm then, though it’s far too early I guess. What sort of ratings would we be looking at for The Mentalist to be a likely renewal?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “@Bill Gorman Thanks, so I guess it’s 50/50 atm then, though it’s far too early I guess. What sort of ratings would we be looking at for The Mentalist to be a likely renewal?”

    It’s probably not 50/50, but because of non-public information I don’t think we can guess better than that at this point.

    Were it to have done a 2.4 rating, it would have been a “likely renewal”, maybe even a 2.3 in a stretch.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures