Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-30, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Made In Jersey (F)||0.40|
|Blue Bloods (F)||0.54|
|The Good Wife||0.65|
|Person Of Interest||1.05|
|Mike & Molly||1.12|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.23|
|Two And A Half Men||1.27|
|How I Met Your Mother||1.30|
|2 Broke Girls||1.34|
|Big Bang Theory||already renewed||1.81|
Tying the lowest rated CBS drama premiere ever (Chaos, Spring 2011), Made In Jersey flopped out of the gate at 9pm Friday night with just a 1.1 adults 18-49 rating, 21% below the now canceled A Gifted Man's 8pm start last season. Because of that, it's certain to be canceled by the end of the season. The only question now is how long it lasts on CBS's schedule.
Prior to 2009, CBS was in the habit of canceling their lowest rated drama before November sweeps, but hasn't done that in the last three years. Last season's Friday rookie, A Gifted Man, lasted 16 episodes (until early March) on CBS's schedule. The extra three episode order to fill time before the NCAA tournament caused showrunner Neal Baer to foolishly taunt us. Feel free to guess when CBS moves MIJ off its schedule in the comments or whether the MIJ showrunner will choose to taunt us. We can only hope.
Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, rookie sitcom Partners doesn't have much of a life expectancy either, it's almost certain to be replaced by Rules Of Engagement at some point, perhaps sooner rather than later, but you can make your own guesses in the comments.
Could Vegas become the next Unforgettable? With or without the un-cancellation?
Is this the year another CSI bites the dust?
Did the move to 10pm Sunday kill The Mentalist?
After suffering through years of terrible ratings, will The Good Wife *finally* be sold into syndication by CBS? Will that mean the end of its run on broadcast?
These and lots more questions (and I hope answers!) coming in the weeks ahead.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.