ABC: 'Private Practice,' Whether Canceled Or Final Season, It's Likely Not Coming Back

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 9th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 7, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Private Practice :cry: :cry: 0.65
666 Park Avenue :oops: 0.71
Castle :| :| :| 0.74
Last Resort :cry: :cry: 0.76
Scandal :| :| :| 0.76
The Middle :) :) :) :) 0.95
The Neighbors :| :| :| 0.95
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.04

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With only a 13 episode order for this season, and the lowest ratings of all ABC dramas so far, the writing is on the wall for Private Practice. Even though it hasn't been announced as its final season, it's more likely to be canceled than renewed.

666 Park Avenue's results in its second episode drop it into the "certain to be canceled" range, while Last Resort will stay in the "likely to be canceled" category, for now. The non surprising drop in The Neighbors second episode ratings has it down to "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Unclear how long it will stay there.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Brian

    Castle fans, a word of caution. It may well get renewed, but if those numbers don’t get better…wouldn’t be surprised to see it get moved next year away from DWTS.

  • JAA

    @Brian, when almost every other show on ABC at 10pm this Fall is doing around 2.0 in the demos it’d be quite difficult to choose which show to move, don’t you think?

    So far we have 666 Park Avenue, Castle, Private Practice, Nashville (which has yet to premiere) and Scandal. 666 Park Avenue and Private Practice are doing worse than Castle, and Scandal is barely doing better than Castle. We just have to wait and see what happens with Nashville.

  • Declan

    @ Ram510

    What you say about people not watching 666 is true. My girlfriends parents won’t watch because of it’s name. But they did think the promos were interesting.

  • skinsforlife101

    Last Resort is the best new show on TV. ABC would be stupid to cancel it. I would try moving it to a different night before cancelling it. I agree with Lynn Andre Braugher is giving an Emmy level performance.

  • Bill

    Shonda could care less about Private Practice. She sacrificed that show for Scandal big time. Of course she won’t admit it, but it’s the truth. Private Practice was doing fine in its original time-slot. Scandal squanders most of its Grey’s Anatomy lead-in, and it’s no mystery why. Private Practice kept a lot of the lead-in, because (a) Grey’s Anatomy viewers miss Addison and (b) They’re similar shows. Scandal is totally unrelated to Grey’s Anatomy. I can recall Shonda tweeting that Scandal getting the post-Grey’s Anatomy slot would not hurt Private Practice. Yeah right, Shonda. The show can survive without Kate Walsh; Amy Brenneman and KaDee Strickland are excellent, it’s a matter of scheduling. Midseason, ABC should give Private Practice an additional 10 episodes, and put it back in its post-Grey’s Anatomy slot. Its a veteran show, and ABC should let it go out with a full season. For all we know, it will restore its old ratings if moved, and it could possibly get renewed for a proper final season. Even if not renewed, the writers can wrap up in the spring season. I’m seriously done with Shonda sacrificing Private Practice for her precious Scandal.

  • Jonathan

    Don’t forget the Richard Castle books sell quite well.

    As long as they do, Castle will be just fine.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Castle, Last Resort and Revenge are my only shows on ABC.

    Castle is already in syndication territory, so it might either be canceled or get a short final season next season.

    Revenge is likely to get another season depending on whether they screw up this season. My guess is they won’t screw up – they just were too good in season one.

    Last Resort is so implausible it’s never going to get more than one season. The only good thing about that show is Autumn Reeser – everyone else is forgettable, although some of them do a halfway decent job. But the plot so far is just brain dead.

  • Jamie

    Private Practice was slowly dying behind Grey’s last season. I don’t like Scandal, but I understand ABC’s decision. They were wasting the Grey’s lead in on a old dying show. They had to give a new show a chance. This would still be the final season of PP even it was behind GA, imo.

  • Emily

    in castle’s defence, it did just grow the dancing with the stars audience, although thats more a reflection of dancing with the stars, than castle, although a lot of attention has been focused on whether fox or cbs or nbc is going to cancel stuff first, these 666 park avenune ratings, it wouldn’t suprise me it that goes first

  • Precious

    There is no way Castle won’t be renewed. This is coming from someone who has never seen it, or any procedurals for that matter. I have also heard the quality of the stories have declined, but it obviously has strong staying power and a loyal fanbase. This mistake needs to be fixed to avoid any further false speculation.

    Its lead-in, Dancing with the Stars has dropped considerably since last season without hurting Castle very much at all, and Body of Proof was renewed! Another procedural that rated much lower. Also, none of ABC’s new shows for this season have been break-out hits.

    It’s time to realise that if a show is able to retain its viewership as it ages, and if the show is recognised as a staple show for that network, its future is not in question. Most people commenting seem to have the same opinion. And they’re all crazy fans?! Take a deep breath, Bill.

  • Angie

    @Bill – Scandal was a tenth higher than Castle both of the first two weeks.

    According to the finals listed on this site, Castle and Scandal were actually equal in week 1 and in week 2 Scandal was a tenth higher.

  • Frank

    I’ve gotta ask, the fact that Castle has a steady 10M viewers a night doesn’t count? I understand the importance of the 18-49 demo when it comes to revenue, but the viewers gotta count for something, right?

  • Lynn

    The schedule I would like to see next year, alot of new shows on here, that are abc’s development list:
    Sunday:
    7pm AFHV
    8pm OUAT
    9pm Gaslight or A Knight’s Tale or Finn and Sawyer
    10pm Revenge

    Monday:
    8pm Shield
    9pm Castle
    10pm Last Resort

    Tuesday:
    8pm Happy Endings
    8:30pm 20′s vs 30′s
    9pm Apt 23
    9:30pm Taming of the Shrew
    8-10pm Bachelor (winter)
    10pm The Mix or Westside

    Wendesday:
    8pm The Middle
    8:30pm Middle Age Rage or Knock, Knock or Spy
    9pm Modern Family
    9:30pm Suburgatory
    10pm Nashville (if this does well leave it here so it can continue to build an audience)

    Thursday:
    8pm Body of Proof or The Taste
    9pm Grey’s Anatomy
    10pm Burns and Cooley or the untitled David Shore project or The Heart Speaks

    Friday:
    8pm Last Man Standing or another multi-cam
    8:30pm Malibu Country or another multi-cam
    9pm Shark Tank
    10pm 20/20

    * move DWTS to the Summer and try to rejuvenate it by either cutting it down time wise or finding new judges, basically whatever needs to be done to make the relevant again, then put the show back on the schedule in the Fall of 2014.

  • Lynn

    @ richard steven hack:
    you are wrong about Last Resort being dead plot wise, it has like 5 different plots going on a once that seems lively to me. Last Resort is a unique show that reminds of the good all days when network TV was actually good. When network TV actually tried to do different shows. Now a days most ground breaking shows are on premium cable channels.

  • martha

    ABC should cancel PP, DWTS and 666 Park avenue, hope that Nashville does well, and keep Castle for another season to give it a descent ending

  • Chrisann D

    Wondering if there is a renew/cancel for daytime scripted. Can anyone tell me?

  • gerry

    everyone going on about shonda hating on pp because of scandal taking its spot…. come on! of course abc is going to use the grey’s ratings to push a new show. if it hadn’t been scandal it would have been something else. pp had already held that spot for some time.

    i like both shows enough, but pp has run its course. its over. i’d rather have 13 episodes with the fully finished ending that the show/viewers deserve than continued speculation potentially leading to more episodes with some sad ending akin to the one bros/sis had.

  • Honey Badger

    http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/10/09/espns-monday-night-football-wins-the-night-among-all-programs/152352/

    ESPN’s ‘Monday Night Football’ Wins the Night Among All Programs
    Categories: Network TV Press Releases

    Written By Amanda Kondolojy

    October 9th, 2012
    via press release:

    ESPN’s Monday Night Football Wins the Night among All Programs
    Texans-Jets Delivers 10.5 rating and 14 Million Viewers

    Last night’s ESPN Monday Night Football game – the Houston Texans’ 23-17 road victory over the New York Jets – won the night among all programs – broadcast or cable – in households, viewers and all key male and adult demos. As a network, ESPN won the night in all key male and adult demos and finished second in both households and viewers.
    The Game earned a 10.5 household coverage rating (9.0 US), representing an average of 10,282,000 households (14,047,000 viewers – P2+), the eighth largest audience among viewers (seventh among households) for any program on cable television in 2012, according to Nielsen. The Game peaked between 9:45-10 p.m. ET at an 11.5 household coverage rating.

    In Houston, The Game delivered a 12.0 rating on ESPN and a 22.4 rating on KHOU-CBS, for a combined 34.4 rating in the market. In New York, The Game delivered a 9.5 rating on ESPN and a 4.3 rating on WWOR-IND, for a combined 13.8 rating in the market. The top-10 rated metered markets (not including primary home team markets): Las Vegas (18.4), San Diego (15.2), New Orleans (14.9), Austin (14.8), Denver (13.7), Richmond, Va. (12.9), Norfolk/Portsmouth, Va. (12.2), San Antonio (12.2), Albuquerque, N.M. (11.8) and (tie) Atlanta and Birmingham, Ala. (11.7).

    Through the first five weeks of the NFL season (six games), ESPN’s MNF is averaging a 10.4 household coverage rating (9.0 US), 10,227,000 households and 13,981,000 viewers, increases of four percent, three percent and three percent, respectively, from the same point last season.

    ESPN Digital Platforms
    ESPN also saw significant traffic across its digital platforms on Sunday and Monday:
    ESPN.com NFL section – An average minute audience of 33,000 was up 26 percent from last year with an average 4.0 million unique visitors, up five percent compared to the same two days last season.
    ESPN.com Fantasy Football section – An average minute audience of 68,000 (up 45 percent), averaging 3.1 million unique visitors (down slightly from last year).
    ESPN mobile Web NFL section – An average minute audience of 42,000, up 62 percent, reaching 3.5 million unique visitors, a 14 percent gain.

    Peyton Manning on MNF Next Week
    Next week, ESPN’s MNF returns with an AFC West division showdown as Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos travel to San Diego on October 15 to face Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers at 8:30 p.m.

  • Robert

    If 666 can stay on these numbers it will be a keeper but i wonder if its meant to be a mini series. But if it isn’t then this show is a keeper it wins its timeslot right now on sunday night against football. And it has higher ratings then most of their 10pm shows right now. Don’t write it off yet and i think its way to premature this site has done that if you look at ratings across the board for 10pm shows.

  • omar

    castle will back again in midseason now viwers are in toss up between shows

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