ABC: 'Private Practice,' Whether Canceled Or Final Season, It's Likely Not Coming Back

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 9th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 7, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Private Practice :cry: :cry: 0.65
666 Park Avenue :oops: 0.71
Castle :| :| :| 0.74
Last Resort :cry: :cry: 0.76
Scandal :| :| :| 0.76
The Middle :) :) :) :) 0.95
The Neighbors :| :| :| 0.95
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.04

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With only a 13 episode order for this season, and the lowest ratings of all ABC dramas so far, the writing is on the wall for Private Practice. Even though it hasn't been announced as its final season, it's more likely to be canceled than renewed.

666 Park Avenue's results in its second episode drop it into the "certain to be canceled" range, while Last Resort will stay in the "likely to be canceled" category, for now. The non surprising drop in The Neighbors second episode ratings has it down to "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Unclear how long it will stay there.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Michael Rae B

    MY PREDICTION/ANALYSIS :

    – Modern Family, Once Upon A Time, Revenge and The Middle are certain to be renewed for next season.
    – Grey’s Anatomy will be renewed for next season. Possibly, next season could be the final season.
    – The Neighbors didn’t prove that the show is a flop during its start. But, ABC will order few extra episodes (most likely additional four episodes). But, The Neighbors will not be renewed for next season.
    – Scandal and Castle are likely to be renewed for next season. If they maintain their current ratings, they’re will be surely to be renewed.
    – 666 Park Avenue will get the Pan Am fate. ABC could possibly order only one additional episode. But, it is still unlikely because Pan Am get better ratings during its start than 666. But, the fate of the show is only burning the remaining episodes. It will not be renewed.
    – Last Resort will continue to dive or rise. The good news is that the show will not get the Charlie’s Angels fate. But, it is likely to get the Missing fate. As of this now, the show has average ratings. The renewal will still depend on the future ratings. Let’s see.
    – Private Practice is likely to end this season as the show gets lower ratings and Walsh leaves after this season. It might not be coming back.

  • Dude

    I am starting to feel like i’m the only one here who really likes ‘The Neighbors’. Hopefully they don’t cancel that, although my hopes aren’t too high.

  • scifi

    ABC will not cancel 666 early. They scheduled special Halloween episode to air, and at least 9 episodes are filmed to date.

  • jaybee

    Pp will go they will.probably all die in some horrible tragedy
    As a massive fan of both ga and pp have been really dissapointed in the way they have
    Both continued to think its great to have all deaths ppl die we get it but aren’t we entitled to see a happy ending for the caracters we love? fans will watch don’t have to keep killing ppl off
    The way Pete’s exit was handled was horrendous wrap it up maybe in a decent
    Way same with greys because they aren’t what they were .

  • Tim

    How come both The Neighbors and The Middle have the same index, but why is the Middle ‘more than likely to be renewed’ while the Neighbors is a toss up?

  • Ville

    How come both The Neighbors and The Middle have the same index, but why is the Middle ‘more than likely to be renewed’ while the Neighbors is a toss up?

    Because The Neighbors is a new show and its ratings are likely to decrease. If they stay the same then it will probably be renewed.

  • AcuraT

    I don’t understand the discussion here on Private Practice. Shonda Rhines and ABC have already stated that this is the last season, it is 13 episodes, and the lead character portrayed by Kate Walsh will not return as she is leaving the show after those 13 are filmed. There is absolute no chance of it continuing as all the involved parties said these 13 episodes are it. Makes sense as the appeal has left the show.

  • eridapo

    The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted ( ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

    What would be the impact if it were?

  • eridapo

    Cancellation Bear results up to 10/14/2012

    Private Practice 0.65
    666 Park Avenue 0.68
    Last Resort 0.73
    Scandal 0.78
    Castle 0.79
    The Neighbors 0.90
    The Middle 0.96
    Nashville 1.07
    Revenge 1.08
    Once Upon A Time 1.31
    Grey’s Anatomy 1.57
    Modern Family 1.97

    ABC Network Avg 2.616.

    MF alone shifts the ABC average from 2.441 to 2.616 (a shift of .175 points)

  • eridapo

    If we weight the average by 30-minute spots,

    Private Practice 0.66
    666 Park Avenue 0.68
    Last Resort 0.73
    Scandal 0.79
    Castle 0.80
    The Neighbors 0.91
    The Middle 1
    Nashville 1.08
    Revenge 1.09
    Once Upon A Time 1.33
    Grey’s Anatomy 1.58
    Modern Family 1.96

    ABC Network avg 2.59

  • Susan Rolston

    I love both Castle and Private Prctice. I guess my time watching ABC is over I have been basically watching cable channels so I guess I will no longer have a reason to watch the big three (as they were called in the past). Anyway most of the programming is “reality ” or “talent” which I am not interested in

  • SDT

    Shonda Rhimes just announced via Twitter that Private Practice will end after this season!a 13th episode.

  • Missy

    I enjoy watching Scandal, Revenge, Once Upon a Time and Nashville.I hope Scandal doesnt get canceled. ABC really have some decent shows. I can’t watch CW because I’m 40, and their shows are geared for the younger generation. The only show I could watch for the younger generation is the Big Bang Theory (too funny). I also watch Parenthood. Other than those shows, I rather read and use my imagination.

  • Denise

    I LOVE PRIVATE PRACTICE PLEASE DO NOT CANCEL IT, IT ALWAYS SEEMS WHEN THERE IS A GOOD SHOW PUT ON TV, BAM THE NEXT THING YOU KNOW IT IS CANCELED, IF IT IS CANCELED I THINK I WILL FEEL LIKE NOT EVEN WATCHING TV ANYMORE, THERE ARE ALOT OF GOOD BOOKS I GUESS I CAN READ. I WILL BE VERY DISAPPOINTED IF PRIVATE PRACTICE IS CANCELED. I WILL MISS ALL THE CHARACTERS THAT IS ON THAT SHOW, i WANT TO SEE CHARLOTTE,COOPER & MASON WITH THOSE TRIPLETS. IT WILL BE A VERY SAD DAY IN MY HOUSEHOLD IF IT IS CANCELED. ONE OF THE BEST SHOWS I HAVE SEEN IN A LONG TIME.

  • debra meadows

    i love private practice…i hate its going to be cancelled….just as you get involved with the characters, you start changing the night it comes on, the time, then it gets to be not shown for 2 weeks for other stuff..,,.,its a shame, its sad to see it go.,,

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