CBS: 'Hawaii Five-0' & 'Blue Bloods' Are Certain To Be Renewed, The Syndication Gods Demand It!

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 9th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 7, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F) :oops: (canceled 10/10) 0.36
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.47
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.66
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.70
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.72
Partners :oops: 0.85
Vegas :| :| :| 0.85
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.94
Elementary :) :) :) :) 1.05
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
How I Met Your Mother :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.86

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10/10 Update: Made In Jersey is the first canceled show of the season.
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Last season the Renew/Cancel Index adopted the rule of "If a show will be within one season of syndication at the end of this season, it will fall no further than a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation". Now, at least for CBS (and perhaps other nets later), I'm taking it up a notch.

Since CBS is a well oiled syndication machine, and has shown that it will sacrifice low current ratings for the  bounty (or even the potential bounty) that the syndication gods provide I am christening a new rule: If a CBS produced & aired scripted show reaches a third season it is certain to receive a fourth. That fourth season typically ensures at least the minimum number of episodes (~88) needed for stripped syndication.

On that basis, I have moved both Hawaii Five-0 (already sold to TNT) and Blue Bloods to "certain to be renewed". Cue both doubting and relieved commenters!

While the syndication gods demanded the current fourth season for ratings loser The Good Wife, they are not guaranteed to demand a fifth, so it will likely remain a "toss up" all season long.

Made In Jersey is the biggest CBS Fall premiere drama flop in quite some time (arguably, ever). It's certain to be canceled, the only question is when.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, rookie sitcom Partners doesn't have much of a life expectancy either, it's almost certain to be replaced, likely by Rules of Engagement, sooner rather than later.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Susiebear

    Of the eight writer/producers on CSI NY, only two have contracts for a season 10. Same of the main cast, only one actor and NOT Gary Sinise has a deal in place. That means CBS would have to renegotiate MANY new deals to have a season ten, so unless there is a ratings miracle, say goodbye to Mac Taylor.

  • Petar Ivanov

    2 news for POI!!!

    1 LOST’S MARK PELLEGRINO TO GUEST STAR ON Person Of Interest BREAKING CASTING NEWS FROM NEW YORK COMIC CON:
    Lost fans, get ready for a mini-reunion on Person of Interest (Thursdays 9/8c on CBS), as Mark Pellegrino (the enigmatic Jacob from the fan-favorite drama) joins Harold Finch (series star and fellow Lost alum Michael Emerson) in an upcoming episode (airdate to be announced).

    2 Person of Interest on the cover of the new TV Guide Magazine!

    More and more great news for best show in all broadcast networks. Next great news: POI take post superbowl slot.

  • Diane

    I love H50, and very much like Blue Bloods. I am a little nervous, but as was said before, they are not being blown out by ABC and NBC, after football is over, I think the East Coast will go back to live viewing instead of DVR for H50, and the ratings for all 3 will even out even more.

    @Bill….I have heard rumors that they may move H50. I was hoping it would be moved to Tuesdays when Unforgettable was cancelled (by the way I liked Unforgettable also). Do you think they would move H50, and if so what is your best guess as to where?

  • Alex

    I see CBS cleaning house on it’s drama’s this year. Made in Jersey already gone, CSI:NY should be gone, the same with The Mentalist and The Good Wife.
    Rules will finally be at 100, so I expect to see it canceled too. It will be the “lowest rated comedy” that gets canceled.
    I was a big critic of Partners but after watching it, its not too bad. I’ll change my story if it drops below H50

    “But there is no room for a new comedy on CBS’s schedule!”
    – I see Thursday being expanded to a 2 hour comedy block.

    More comedies will help out all the gaps CBS will have in Dramas. Then again, If 2.5Men and HIMYM both end because of contacts ending they don’t need to cancel a comedy.

  • W

    My family is very happy about Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods!

  • Diane

    Please, please! Do not cancel Blue Bloods! Love the family aspect of the show and all the characters…..

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