CW: 'Supernatural' & 'Hart Of Dixie' Are Doing Fine, So Far

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 9th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 7, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hart Of Dixie :) :) :) :) 0.93
Supernatural :) :) :) :) 1.07

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The Cancellation Bear makes renewal and cancellation predictions sooner than pretty much everyone else in the TV media, but even he has been surprised by the speed at which commenters have pounced on the ratings for the first two CW scripted shows this season and proclaimed them as doomed.

Hart  Of Dixie premiered with a rating down a tenth from its premiere last season (and a tenth above its Spring average), and Supernatural was even with its premiere rating last season. Predicting doom for those two shows based on those two results is the height of commenter craziness.

Those who'd claim "You do the same thing!" are blinded by crazy. I don't predict doom for shows premiering at or near their ratings from last season after only two episodes have aired on the entire network.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • K

    Given the just released premiere ratings for Gossip Girl and 90210, Dixie should be safe for a third season if it remains steady this season.

  • Jeremy

    I can see Hart of Dixie and Supernatural airing next season.
    Just saw 90210’s ratings and it might not make it past this season.

  • Domdh

    The CW just keeps surprising me…

  • Brandy

    Harts doing fine, especially seeing GG,90210 ratings.I hope this isnt a sign of things to come this season.90210 might end this season with these ratings.

  • CrimTV

    @Brandy

    Me too, especially for the sake of Arrow, TVD and Beauty and The Beast

  • Jamie

    Does anyone know when the Cw will stop feuding with that one station so more tvs can broadcast it on channels. I miss my cw!

  • Pepper

    Supernatural is very likely to get at least a 9th season. Could even get a 10th, but it’s still too early to tell. 10 would definitely be its last.

  • coolioni

    Is it me or has Supernatural’s budget gotten smaller per episode ?
    It seems that the CGI has gotten less realistic and must be getting done wirth a cheaper company and must be created using cheaper methods becuase the VFX are really starting to look very fake on this show along with most of the green screen backgrounds.
    In seasons 1-6 of the show it was very real looking . These past 2 season so far the VFX have ooked very cheaply done compared to the first 6 seasons.

    I also have noticed that the cast size per episode has shrunk too. This also must be a cost saving measure that is being done to help keep the show on the air.

  • Honey Badger

    Hart Of Dixie best show on TV!

    CW please renew for another 5 years

  • Jared

    Hart of Dixie is a series that benefited from the reruns CW gave it all throughout the Summer. I didn’t watch at all last season but decided to catch up so I could watch season 2. Hopefully it stays steady. Love the show.

  • Tommy

    I’m scared for ‘90210’. I know it’s only been 1 episode, but a .5 for a premier is scary. Maybe it won’t get the GG/OTH treatment in 2013(a final shorter season) as many were predicting last year.

  • THE OLD MAN

    I haven’t been one to proclaim doom on either of these two shows (commendable to say the least) & think they have a fair shot when Emily Owens follows HOD & Arrow precedes Supernatural. Both are good combinations and with the loss of outlets for the CW this year, 0.7-0.8 is impressive, given the MIJ & MD ratings on the big nets.

  • Tom

    @Tommy – I was thinking the same thing in reverse. HoD and Supernatural are definitely going to benefit from CW’s Ratings “Thud” on Monday.

    The real danger here is the same danger that existed last year: Will the network itself survive? Even if they want to keep the network going a complete relaunch has to be looking plausible right about now.

  • tv#1

    I know we are only one episode in, but I think it is pretty safe to say that this will be the last season of 90210. I can’t see it coming back.

    HOD will most likely return. It has a relatively solid fan base, and the CW seems to be strongly behind the series. Supernatural is almost a given too just as long as it doesn’t see any major ratings drop.

  • Melanie

    Can’t wait to see the ratings for Arrow this week. A lot is riding on it for the CW — can they still launch a ‘hit’? Will TVD remain the network’s top ratings dog?

    I think HOD’s premiere ratings indicate that renewing it over TSC was a good decision. TSC was in such ratings freefall at the end of last season, I shudder to think what it would have premiered at this season.

    GO SUPERNATURAL!! Ten seasons and a movie!

  • Wright

    Supernatural is the best show on the CW followed closely by TVD. Arrow may give it a run for its money though.

  • Kavyn

    Here’s hoping Nikita premieres strong too, even though it probably won’t :(

    Oh, and EO is available online if any of you didn’t know. The episode was alright, it’s basically exactly what you would expect from the trailers.

  • Claire

    Supernatural is one of the best shows I’ve ever seen. Love it.

  • Danimals

    Based on the initial release of Gossip Girl and 90210’s ratings, Heart of Dixie and Supernatural look like they are going to renewed assuming that they remain steady, but based on the past that should not be a problem for these two shows.

  • tv#1

    Possible mid-season schedule for the CW could be…

    Mon:
    Beauty and the Beast
    Nikita

    Tue:
    Hart of Dixie
    The Carrie Diaries

    Wed:
    Arrow
    Supernatural

    Thur:
    The Vampire Diaries
    Cult

    Fri:
    Emily Owens MD
    90210

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