Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 7, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Hart Of Dixie||0.93|
The cancellation bear makes renewal and cancellation predictions sooner than pretty much everyone else in the TV media, but even he has been surprised by the speed at which commenters have pounced on the ratings for the first two CW scripted shows this season and proclaimed them as doomed.
Hart Of Dixie premiered with a rating down a tenth from its premiere last season (and a tenth above its Spring average), and Supernatural was even with its premiere rating last season. Predicting doom for those two shows based on those two results is the height of commenter craziness.
Those who'd claim "You do the same thing!" are blinded by crazy. I don't predict doom for shows premiering at or near their ratings from last season after only two episodes have aired on the entire network.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.