NBC: 'Revolution' Ratings Keep Falling, But It's A Long Way From Danger

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 9th, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 7, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Animal Practice :cry: :cry: 0.67
Up All Night :cry: :cry: 0.68
30 Rock final season 0.70
Guys With Kids :| :| :| 0.80
Grimm (F) :) :) :) :) 0.80
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.86
Parenthood :) :) :) :) 0.86
The New Normal :) :) :) :) 0.98
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
The Office final season 1.06
Go On :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.77

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The adults 18-49 ratings for NBC scripted rookie darling Revolution keep falling week to week [4.2, 3.4, 3.2, 3.0] which causes some of our commenters to predict its demise. However, because NBC's scripted ratings are otherwise so completely woeful (only 2 other shows broke a 2.0 rating last week, and one is in its final season), Revolution ratings can still fall a very long way before it's in danger of becoming a meal for the Cancellation Bear.

How low? If the season stopped today, NBC would certainly be renewing scripted shows averaging a 1.7 rating, and maybe a 1.6. Will Revolution ratings fall that far? Never say never.

And for commenters who'll cry foul at Revolution's "retention", don't bring that Retentionista nonsense around here.

Up All Night and Animal Practice ratings aren't falling every week, but are already so low as to make them both likely to be canceled.

Where's the bear? He's not just in the NBC post this season, he's moving around!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Honey Badger

    Can The Cancellation Bear hang out at NBC headquarters and get them to replace the executives? I am sure The Cancellation Bear is hanging out around there anyways waiting for the next meal. Although I think the The Cancellation Bear has finally met its match, there are just too much bad shows at NBC that should be canceled for the The Cancellation Bear to consume.

    Comcast cannot be happy.
    Is there any way that NBC can get replacements for all the bad shows that need to be canceled?
    Could NBC use their other networks like NBC ‘s Telemundo, Bravo, NBC Universal, Oxygen Media, USA Network, CNBC, Universal Pictures , to fill out the NBC schedule?

    good question about Rock Center, why does NBC have this program on. It has very low ratings that will never get better.
    NBC does not care about ratings, they only care about the expense of shows.
    Very bad management at NBC, with tanking ratings will continue to drop, so revenue will continue to drop, and that is why NBC make a billion dollars less than other networks.

    Tonight’s ratings for Go On, The New Normal and Parenthood will decide the fate of NBC this year. If they continue their low ratings NBC is doomed this year.
    Animal Practice, Guys With Kids, Up All Night and 30 Rock and most other NBC shows are very bad low rated shows and will continue to drop.
    NBC does not have any shows in the bullpen to help. NBC using low rated Community and Whitney to help is a joke, this will only mean low ratings wherever they put them.
    What else does NBC have to help? Just a bunch of bad shows.
    It is no use for NBC to move their low rated shows around; they will have low ratings wherever you put them. It is like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic when it was sinking
    Throwing more money on advertising and promotion won’t help. NBC tried that last year with Smash, spending a record huge amount of money on advertising, they gave it a great time slot right after the highest rated TV show The Voice, and it still had disappointing low ratings.
    Most NBC shows low ratings and falling
    NBC surviving on The Voice and Sunday Night Football that get great ratings
    NBC they are sinking fast, and they were barely above water to begin with

    I agree with Oliver, except that this now has to be a short term and long term solution.
    “NBC’s long-term solution is to develop more successful shows. The problem is that their shows are bad and/or unmarketable. NBC’s development is a complete mess.
    NBC execs need to figure out who exactly their network is supposed to appeal to. Their schedule lacks any cohesion whatsoever. Fox has a similar identity crisis.”

    What would you do to save NBC now?

  • X

    Revolution is this years Terra Nova. I do not expect a second season. Heck, based on the horrible writing, directing, acting, you name it, I was shocked Revolution was given an entire first season. Once the masses realize they are watching science fiction, they will turn and run from this just like Terra Nova. Dinosaurs and JJ Abrams can only fool the masses for so long. Lost was damn lucky it was a good show at its core.

  • Alexa

    It seems “Revolution” is the new go-to show to drive comments on this site. I happen to like the show, but I’m never going to be the type that hate-posts about other shows or caress whether it gets renewed for next season; my life will go on either way.

  • Alexa

    Ah, see X’s post as proof of my first comment.

  • Agnes

    Honeybadger, you post that ever growing polemic against NBC in every thread. Nobody is going to read that, we’re all just going to assume you love NBC :p

  • AppleStinx

    ‘Revolution’ has been reduced to a primetime soap opera. Last night I watched only to see if any of the characters had a single rotten tooth after 15 years without power.

  • Greg

    “Animal Practice ratings aren’t falling every week”

    Technically, AP’s latest episode rated a 1.3 which is lower than the previous one (1.4) which rated a LOT lower than its premiere so… yeah, they are falling every week.

  • senor chang

    The amount of vitriol directed at every science fiction show on the air boggles the imagination. They can’t all be Lost, guys: deal with it.

    I’m kind of hoping NBC sees some success with Guys With Kids just so that there will be one other network with multicams that isn’t CBS. They just seem a lot more pleasant than the CBS comedies, which can be funny but are often far too cruel for my liking.

    As for the other shows…well, better luck midseason, I suppose.

  • Robert Taylor

    The real question is how many more weeks you guys will milk “Revolution” by having a poll for us to guess if the ratings will drop or not. It’s getting old.

  • Honey Badger

    Agnes – just postings facts and looking for answers

    and most posts are about NBC due to the fact that they are the major network in trouble, and have so many shows with low ratings that are dropping

    Does anyone have any solutions?
    Or is NBC current status acceptable?

  • kennya

    Only the voice airing monday to friday from 8-10 would save nbc haha

  • Honey Badger

    Is there any way that NBC can get replacements for all the bad shows that need to be canceled?
    Could NBC use their other networks like NBC ‘s Telemundo, Bravo, NBC Universal, Oxygen Media, USA Network, CNBC, Universal Pictures , to fill out the NBC schedule?

  • toadytoady

    Is this a “spot the bear” thing?

  • badman

    @ X

    why were you shocked for revolution’s full season order?

    NBC doesn’t care if you don’t like the show! They don’t care if you compare it with Terra nova or The event or anything else! They care about ratings! As you can see above Revolution is their best rated show with a lot difference from their second show!

    So… i guess that’s why Revolution got a full season order and this will be the reason for the renewal too!! ;)

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Is there any way that NBC can get replacements for all the bad shows that need to be canceled?”

    By my count (always suspect), NBC has the following *scripted* shows still to premiere this season, I don’t track unscripted.

    1600 Penn
    Chicago Fire
    Do No Harm
    Hannibal
    Infamous
    Next Caller
    Ready For Love
    Save Me
    Whitney
    Community
    Smash

    So, yes, they have plenty of replacements.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “The real question is how many more weeks you guys will milk “Revolution” by having a poll for us to guess if the ratings will drop or not. It’s getting old.”

    The real answer is: as long as they get the pageviews. That is our threshold for “getting old”.

  • Max Vrany

    @Bill, which is exactly how the networks see it. Shows aren’t old if they can still get good ratings. NFL Football has been on TV since 1939!

  • AppleStinx

    My preliminary prediction for next week’s poll is 2.2.

  • Jiji Moran

    I agree, “Revolution” is turning into another show with great potential that can’t deliver.

    The relationships seem all disconnected, and the only thing keeping the show going is the unnecessary violence, and the mystery of who turned off the lights.

    I hope that once the boy is recaptured that they will embark in some novel and exciting new quest, cause this one is getting boring. So far the worst enemy they have encountered is the guy with the dogs.

    I’ll keep watching until I can’t take it anymore.

  • Jim

    Revolution has obviously been riding the coattails of The Voice, especially when the start of the show was synced up with the start of the new season of The Voice. As its ratings continue to drop, it’s going to have to prove it can keep viewers from changing the channel after The Voice though. Having a strong lead-in is great for a show, but eventually you’ve got to be able to keep viewers on your own merit or they won’t stick around.

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