CBS: Will 'Vegas' Be Canceled & Un-Canceled Like 'Unforgettable'?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 16th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 14, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F) canceled 0.36*
CSI:NY (F) :| :| :| 0.49
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.52
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.66
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.72
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.73
Partners :oops: 0.81
Vegas :| :| :| 0.82
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.97
Elementary :) :) :) :) 1.06
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
How I Met Your Mother :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Big Bang Theory already renewed 1.82

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The syndication gods that rule over the CBS schedule sometimes cause mere mortals to act in crazy ways. Like last season, when CBS canceled Unforgettable only to "un-cancel" it later for an announced short summer 2013 run. Perhaps the gods decided they were going to run short of fuel for their syndication engine several years from now and wanted to keep their options open. I can't be sure, the gods do not speak to me.

This season, Vegas, the new resident of the Tuesday 10pm timeslot, has ratings that look a lot like Unforgettable's once you factor in that CBS's overall scripted show ratings average is down about 25% vs. last season.

Unforgettable 2.9, 2.5, 2.5

Vegas 2.5, 2.0, 2.0

Last season I had Unforgettable as a "toss up" 3 weeks into the season, and that's where Vegas is today. I think it's unlikely that the Moonves gang pulls a keystone COPS act again and cancels and uncancels a show. Perhaps they're repeating a mantra of "measure twice, cancel once".

Because of the economics of off network syndication, the ratings for both Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods are irrelevant to their renewal prospects this season, both are "certain to be renewed" for a fourth season next year.

While the syndication gods demanded the current fourth season for ratings loser The Good Wife, they are not guaranteed to demand a fifth, so it will likely remain a "toss up" all season long.

Made In Jersey was unsurprisingly the first cancellation of the season.

Since CBS typically cancels its lowest rated sitcom each season, rookie sitcom Partners doesn't have much of a life expectancy either, it's almost certain to be replaced, likely by Rules of Engagement, sooner rather than later.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Vast Wastrel

    Apparently the syndication deal for H5-O didn’t have an out clause. I would submit that the script writing to start this season seemed to be out of a comic book but it would be an insult to comic books.

  • AlexFan

    Vast Wastrel, everyone is entitled to their own opinion you have stated yours , mine is I love #H50 and think it is great.

  • Katie

    I like and watch Hawaii 5-O but I can’t understand how that show is a for sure renew when it has had pretty low ratings this year for some reason but then Vegas which I’m pretty sure has better ratings and definitely more as far as the millions of viewers but yet it’s a toss up and might be cancelled? Doesn’t make sense to me. Pretty soon there is going to be barely any smart adult shows on tv because a lot of them get cancelled. I’m only 22 and I like the intelligent shows but I guess a lot of younger people are afraid to watch shows that are smart…

  • Riff Rafferty

    In fact, I don’t remember the last time you disagreed with me.

    Dearest Bill Gorman,

    Not counting “Unforgettable” and “Body of Proof”, which you tried relentlessly to kill, I believe the last time was your assessment of a “hit.” As in, every single thing that airs directly out of “Modern Family,” “The Big Bang Theory” and “The Voice” being one.

    P.S. What would you have done in Fall ’89 when 2 of the first 3 trigger-pullings of the season were time-slot ‘hits’ that aired out of “Roseanne” and “Night Court” (and would have ranked very high on “the index”)? Would your head have exploded?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Dearest Bill Gorman,

    Not counting “Unforgettable” and “Body of Proof”, which you tried relentlessly to kill, I believe the last time was your assessment of a “hit.” As in, every single thing that airs directly out of “Modern Family,” “The Big Bang Theory” and “The Voice” being one.”

    My Most Dear Riff Rafferty,

    I challenge you to find a single instance of me using the word “hit” as you noted. Go ahead, I’ll wait.

    Or are you equating my predictions that a show will be likely or certainly renewed as labeling it a “hit”?

    If so, I think our newfound bromance has clouded your mind, and you’re imaging that connection.

    And I damn well had Unforgettable killed, but Sony must have really made CBS a deal they couldn’t refuse to bring it back from the dead ;)

  • MGS

    “Partners – As mentioned on here, CBS always cancels lowest rated comedy and this is at the moment, but i haven’t completely given up hope on it. It could grow more still, not too likely, but not impossible. I’m hoping that the ratings follow the quality of the show (IMO) and continue to get better and better as the weeks go on.”

    I completely agree with you about Partners. I watched the pilot and it was absolutely terrible, didn’t laugh once, but I decided to keep watching it for some reason and it just keeps getting better and better. Maybe others will realize this as well and the ratings will pick up (yes I know this is very unlikely), because I actually enjoy it.

  • Steven Hite

    We really enjoy Vegas! Both lead men are great! I hope CBS gives it a chance! Too good to throw away!

  • Feedback

    This is what CBS needs to do with their scheudle for mid-season:

    1. Sundays

    The Good Wife has never been in more peril. Not only are its ratings consistently down, but it is going to finish up the number of episodes it needs for syndication. Couple that with the fact this show isn’t an Emmy-darling anymore and this is a recipe for cancelation. It’s time CBS starts reshaping their Sundays.

    The Amazing Race and The Mentalist can keep their spots, but “Person of Interest” should be moved to 9pm here. CBS needs a hit at 9pm and PoI is the one to do it. It could also help Mentalist’s ratings to try and make sure that it doesn’t follow in TGW’s footsteps.

    2. Mondays

    Lamentably, CBS only has 2 comedies for mid-season and none of them should go here. I’m guessing CBS is going to have to stick by Partners until the end of the season unless they want to add some encore programming here. This night is going to have to stay the same.

    3. Tuesdays

    CBS needs to cancel Vegas. It’s just not doing well. They can premiere “Golden Boy” here at 10pm to see if it takes advantage of the NCIS:LA lead-in. If it fails like Vegas, they can air the final episodes of The Good Wife here.

    4. Wednesdays

    This night should stay the same. They could toy around with adding “The Job” between both Survivor cycles, but I think that show should stick to Fridays.

    5. Thursdays

    They need to move “Friend Me” to 8:30 to capitalize on The Big Bang Theory’s lead-in and move “Two and a Half Men” to 9:00 so “Rules of Engagement” can capitalize on the lead-in as well. The night can end with “Elementary” which is doing quite well for itself.

    6. Fridays

    If Golden Boy is a success, they can move “The Good Wife” right after CSI:NY. If it’s not, and they have no choice but to put TGW on Tuesdays, they can finish up CSI:NY’s season without breaks and put “Undercover Boss” and “The Job” here for a reality-themed Friday night.

  • Glturns70

    CBS Needs to cancel Vegas put The Good Wife back on Tuesday night at 10 if ratings rebound partner TGW with Elementary to classic smart shows.

  • Kirby Palm

    Partners is OK, not great, best part is the guy’s wife, she’s a hottie! However, if cancelling Partners would bring back Rules of Engagement, by all means cancel it immediately! RoE is an AWESOME show, deserves to run until the stars die of old age!

  • Kirby Palm

    Too bad about Made in Jersey, I thought it had potential, never got a chance to develop. I like Vegas all right, but I think it might need an infusion of better writers. I dearly love The Good Wife, not only because Julianna Margulies is awesome in the title role but because the show breaks new ground in depicting relationships. The hot little investigator is a constant source of intrigue. The actual court cases each week are a distraction.

    I must admit that I’m pleasantly surprised that Person of Interest is doing as well as it is. I love it, but it’s the kinda show that I’d expect to be the only one that loves it.

    I hope Elementary develops a solid audience. Good show.

  • Jimmy

    I’m kind of bummed that Partners can’t seem to find an audience. The show had a weak start, but it gets better and better with each episode. I wish it would have time to grow.

  • Martha

    I watched the 1st show of Vegas and could not believe the hype…..the show was terrible so will never watch again. Also, can’t believe the networks cancel great shows to bring on bad new series. I really liked Unforgettable, Pam AM, and The Firm was terrific if they would have given it half a chance.

  • Sheri

    Why won’t they just let Rules of Engagement die. David Spade’s role in that is the most horrible character ever to be on television, and the show is painful to watch… or to even be subject to the previews of. Stick a fork in it, please!!

  • Lasal

    Just found out about Partners. That shows is hilarious! I don’t usually watch shows with gay characters, but they do it in a way that is not annoying. Routh is awesome!

  • Paul

    Unforgettable was such a GREAT program! I would watch that any day over Vegas which I never watched.

  • Charles Lupke

    Don’t shoot the horse until it eats its breakfast at least, I like the show no one is perfect and giving the actors in this show character development takes time. That’s why they call it development. Don’t be so short sided that you don’t give it a chance America . Like 3D is so great, it takes out story and character development it show you a floating donuts. Don’t be the do-nut and use some thought beyond flashy special effects and let this story grow and with its growth you will find that characters will get the depth that they develop over time like a child grows so should the show go on……

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