CW: '90210' Would Be Canceled Elsewhere, But Expect A Short Final Season On The CW

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 16th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 14, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Gossip Girl final season 0.46
90210 :| :| :| 0.46
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.68
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Beauty And The Beast :) :) :) :) 1.37
Arrow :) :) :) :) 1.48
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.82

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With its woeful premiere ratings, 90210 would be headed for certain cancellation anywhere else but the CW. However, the CW has shown a fondness for short final seasons of their veteran shows (One Tree Hill, Gossip Girl) once they are past their sell by dates, and that's what I'd expect for 90210. However, I reserve the right to keep the prediction a "toss up" for at least a while until we can see more results for other CW shows over the next few weeks.

Hart  Of Dixie's second episode ratings cooled noticeably, and it's now no better than a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation at the end of this season. It could become another one of the Cancellation Bear's sophomore snacks.

The rest of the CW shows likely have the folks at CW HQ giddy with their initial results.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Linda

    The CW never gave Veronica Mars a final season. :(

  • Joseph

    I agree, there’s no need for a short final season next year since they could totally announce right now that this is it for 90210 and have plenty of time wrap it up. I think Flop of Dixie will say goodbye aswell.

  • Tom

    The trades report that the CW is committing a substantial portion of the projected revenue stream from its Netflix deal to developing new programming. The Hulu deal and ad revenue from the CW’s own online site add to that revenue stream. Those are big factors to consider in evaluating the CW’s relations with its affiliates. The CW is clearly going to have to clean house to make room for better programming. That means 90210 and Hart will inevitably have to follow GG out the door. However, only 18% of the CW’s viewers currently see the network’s shows through a digital platform. So, I wouldn’t expect Warners and CBS to walk away from their affiliates any time soon because the latter are still key to the CW’s viability.

  • CrystalBall

    I saw the B&TB pilot and while it wasn’t very good, I believe it’s not that bad and maybe it will manage to hold a 0.8 (the question in my opinion is how much it shares Grey’s audience). If so it could fill a friday spot and wouldn’t have to be replaced (and they will probably launch something after the vampire diaries).
    Ideally right now the CW would have 2 slots to fill (HoD/90210) and they have potentially 3 more failing show to come (Nikita/EOMD/TCD) which doesn’t leave much room for failure …

  • Ryann

    90210 should be cancelled, I like the show and watch every week but the show went down hill after the first half of season 3, it never recovered and got boring (how many car accidents have happened aha)
    90210, Gossip Girl, Emily Owens and maybe HOD cancelled
    Arrow, Supernatural and VD have nothing to worry about. Looking foward to Cult, when is it meant to start?

  • Moe

    Love seeing the green smiles for Supranatural!! Loving this season so far!

  • Ralph

    Oh shut up Moe

  • Richard Steven Hack

    The Index this season on the CW is like a mirror image of last season. Last season most shows were dead or dying. This season over half the shows are showing legs.

    When Nikita returns it will even out since Nikita will have low ratings. BUT IF Nikita survives season 3 (and given it should not have survived season 2, it makes sense that it very well might), it will almost certainly get a season four for the syndication gods.

    If Arrow and BATB don’t do anything terminally stupid over the next four episodes, I think both will get a second season.

  • Jon

    Hart of Dixie should have never been put up against NCIS. That is just suicide. Why didn’t they keep it where it was last year.

  • Tom

    C’mon Jon. Hart of Dixie has gone from ridiculous last season to just plain insipid. That’s why no one tuned in for the second episode. They could predict what was going to happen and no one cared. HOD’s time slot has nothing to do with it. It’s a lousy show. There’s no sense wasting a good 9 PM primetime spot on this flop when an even marginally better show would virtually be guaranteed better ratings.

  • PV

    People are too hard on HoD and 90210 right now. Don’t forget that the new shows only have they’re premiere numbers right now.. There’s still 21 episodes to go and they MAY fall and get worse than 90210 and HoD’s ratings by now.. And at the end of the season, if 90210 and HoD still get a .5-.6 and the new shows get something around that, they may renew both HoD and 90210 and cancel two new shows (I predict it will be B&B, it won’t keep TVD’s audience, it’s too bad. And maybe Emily Owens M.D.)

  • Kate

    If they don’t announce this season as being 90210’s last by the midseason break, it will get a shortened final season. IMO at least.

    @PV – exactly. TSC and Ringer started off strong and we all saw how that went. The pilots could stay strong(ish) until spring and nosedive like those two did and suffer the same fate. No one knows anything at this point in the season aside from the obvious renewals of TVD and SPN.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “The Hulu deal and ad revenue from the CW’s own online site add to that revenue stream. Those are big factors to consider in evaluating the CW’s relations with its affiliates.”

    No. The only thing that matters to the CW affiliates is the ratings for the CW network shows, how much they cost them, and what their cost and ratings for alternatives are.

    “So, I wouldn’t expect Warners and CBS to walk away from their affiliates any time soon because the latter are still key to the CW’s viability.”

    I think you may be confused about what people think will happen with the CW affiliates. It’s not that CBS/WB/CW will walk away from the affiliates, it’s that the affiliates may walk away from the CW.

    The affiliates can get better ratings than CW network stuff in most timeslots today with syndicated shows like 2.5 Men. If thats’ the case when the agreements run out in 2016, they could see major defections.

  • Amber

    Also The voice is killing all the other shows. 90210 is up against the voice.

  • Zach

    I love it when people talk about Nikita doing well (better than last season) or switching nights. It gives me a good laugh. Nikita will be lucky to pull a .5 on Fridays this year and scrape to a final fourth season. Say what you want about 90210’s current abysmal ratings, but at least it did better longer. I don’t think it will get a short final season because of pity or loyalty from the network. It will get one because more episodes for syndication means more money for CBS. Also I don’t know if this is still true but back in the first and second seasons 90210 earned about a million dollars an episode in foreign sales. I imagine it makes a lot more money for the network than Nikita could ever hope.

  • omar

    Supernatural
    Beauty And The Beast
    Arrow
    Vampire Diaries
    nikita
    all upove will renewed bec. gossip girl in final season 90210 will renewed for final season of 13 episodes hart of dixiy bye bye

  • PV

    C’mon, people renewing B&B already? It has only ONE episode. Lost .4 from TVD lead in with NO COMPETITION. I don’t mean to be a hater but… I guess the ratings will fall a lot during the season. It’s silly to renew a shot just by it’s premiere. (Which rating wasn’t that good at all) I predict a 0.9-1.0 for the second episode at best.

  • rob60990

    I don’t think the CW will renew 90210 for another season when they could easily within the next few months announce this season as the final one. Barely over a million viewers now and that may change in the finals doesn’t bode well for spring.

  • Ben Thompson

    I don’t think that The CW will give 90210 a final season.

  • Micheal

    @KS
    Online fans of SPN ruin how I fell about the show. I usually watch it for myself in then form my opinion. So far season 8 is way better than the last two seasons.

    I’m not a big Castiel fan, but I don’t let that cloud my judgement on how I fell about the show as a whole.
    If you no longer like the show fine but I’m tired of seeing you comment about it all the time.

    Example – I can’t stand Revolution but I don’t B about it either.

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