CW: '90210' Would Be Canceled Elsewhere, But Expect A Short Final Season On The CW

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 16th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 14, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Gossip Girl final season 0.46
90210 :| :| :| 0.46
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.68
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Beauty And The Beast :) :) :) :) 1.37
Arrow :) :) :) :) 1.48
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.82

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With its woeful premiere ratings, 90210 would be headed for certain cancellation anywhere else but the CW. However, the CW has shown a fondness for short final seasons of their veteran shows (One Tree Hill, Gossip Girl) once they are past their sell by dates, and that's what I'd expect for 90210. However, I reserve the right to keep the prediction a "toss up" for at least a while until we can see more results for other CW shows over the next few weeks.

Hart  Of Dixie's second episode ratings cooled noticeably, and it's now no better than a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation at the end of this season. It could become another one of the Cancellation Bear's sophomore snacks.

The rest of the CW shows likely have the folks at CW HQ giddy with their initial results.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • iMember

    Arrow received its back 9 order for the season. Stephen Amell just tweeted about it.

  • Mark Wood

    Before Bill & Robert release next weeks data.

    Here is this weeks averages (as opposed to the Fall season average that Bill & Robert use) for the CW in total viewers, Adults 18-49, and adults 18-34*

    * Top Model and Nikita have not had adults 18-34 released, using Nikitas average of last year of its 18-34 equalling its 18-49, and using Top Model average number to date for 18-34.

    Total viewers the average is 1.79 million viewers
    Arrow 3.55
    Vampire Dairies 2.91
    Supernatural 2.12
    Beauty & the BEast 2.00 (Boy rounded to the hundredth sure makes that look better).

    Emily Owens 1.67
    Top Model 1.45
    Hart of Dixie 1.40
    90210 1.06
    Nikita .95
    Gossip Girl .78

    Remember when Nikita at least had the bragging rights of being one of the more watched shows on the CW, even if its audience was outside either of the two primary general age demos used by the CW.

    Adults 18-49 .73 average

    Arrow 1.3
    Vampire Dairies 1.3 * In alphabetical order since we don’t have data to the hundredth
    Supernatural 1.0

    B&tB .7
    90210 .6
    Hart of Dixie .6
    Top Model .6
    Emily Owens .5
    Gossip Girl .4
    Nikita .3

    Adults 18-34 *estimated for Nikita and Top Model Average with that estimate .76, average without including Friday .84

    VD 1.3
    Arrow 1.1
    Supernatural 1.0

    90210 .7
    B&tB .7
    Gossip Girl .6
    HArt of Dixie .6
    Top Model .6 (again estimate)
    Emily Owens .5
    Nikita .3

    Interesting thing, for the first time every new show this season has had an equal or better adults 25-54 ratings then either 18-49, or 18 – 34. While the CW absolutely wants to get out from the Brand of “W18-34″, Marc has stated its his goal to reach general 18-34 (the same goal the CW originally had, the same goal of the WB), and he is also not shying away from 18-49 results (though they pay a little less then 18-34 demos). Not surprised that Arrow is hitting an older audience 1.5 in that demo, but very surprised that Emily Owens .6 and Beauty & the Beast flat with a .7.

    And out of the four shows that have followed VD, B&TB for a 2nd episode has the lowest percentage of retention in adults 18-49, adults 18-34, and even w 18-34, out of Supernatural, Nikita, or Secret Circle. It can claim in having a slightly higher retention in viewers compared to Secret Circle, but is below both SPN and Nikita. All in comparison to 2nd episode.

  • Kirby Palm

    I don’t mind an unbelieveable amount of skill or even science fiction, but I won’t watch TV shows with supernatural stuff any more. I just can’t take that BS. So, on the CW I’m now watching Nikita, Arrow, and Beauty & the Beast. It looks like they’re all doing OK for now. I saw the horrible reviews on B&TB, but I suspect some of that was from not expecting the type show, expecting something more Disney-like. The setup is good; with decent writing, it’ll do well.

    I really wish I could view these shows in 16:9 format. I understand that my local affiliate can only broadcast a “.2″ channel in Standard Definition, but it’d be nice if we could get Standard Definition in 16:9 rather than 4:3 — y’know, like they do on DVD’s. That’d be great.

  • Kirby Palm

    I like Nikita, but you gotta admit that they’re stretching the premise kinda far. They could have wound the show to an ending at the end of last season. Now they’re basically starting afresh with a whole new mission.

  • Jamie

    The one redeeming factor with the CW is the fact that their good to their shows and the fans of there shows. The fact that if there’s a veteran show with a fanbase on there network that just because they have a bad ratings season doesn’t mean they don’t get the ending they deserve when fans invest alot of themselves to enjoy it year after year. Sure, I don’t really like 90210 but it’s been on afew years now and has developed a fanbase so then it deserves a last season to give back to the fans. The shortened, final season is not in the least about ratings it’s about giving back to the fans that were the reason that show lasted a long time. So like it or not like it..If it were your favorite show and it was still really good and the ratings weren’t would you want them to just trash it just because of the ratings or would you as a fan want to have a last season and an official ending? To me, to sit there and say this show or any other show doesn’t have the right to a final season when they’ve been on past four years that’s alittle unfair. And to say that the CW is wrong to show respect for these shows that have been on a long while is just wrong. It’s that reason alone I respect the CW network because while most networks will put the fate of the ratings up front, while the CW considers the fans that have been there through all of the series. Like I said, I’m not a fan of this show but If I were, good or bad, I’d want a final season anyway.

    But as far as new shows that don’t have to do with teens. The hit a lucky break with Arrow, I’ll admit that. But it’s like Marvel so alot of people will love it anyway. But the majority of the people that watch the network are teens. It was a teen network to start with. I never understood why the network couldn’t be a bit more versital. Put the teen dramas and soaps on for the teenagers and young adults who love those kind of shows..Put on the actions shows like Nikita for that fanbase, Put on some horror and cult shows for the fans that like shows like Vampire Diaries, Supernatural, and Arrow. Then maybe add something that the whole family could watch. Maybe a family drama. A show like party of five was in the 90′s but not as teen. And then acouple of comedies. That’s what they need. That was what I miss about the WB when it was the network because they had teen shows and cult horror but they also had comedies and family dramas,too because they were versital. I like Abc Family alittle bit better. I think that Secret life is ten times better than anything on 90210..I can say I love almost every show that’s on abc family while the cw outside of the WB carry over shows I can’t really say I like any of them. I sort of like gossip girl at times but am not really a dedicated fan of it. I saw Arrow, It’s okay. I don’t know if it’s going to be something I’ll really like or not. It seems alittle pointless without alittle bit of supernautural to it. Even the marvel movies had it where the villain’s had power..I like Nikita but this just seems to me a marvel story telling version of nikita meets revenge. and while I thought it was okay it didn’t really excite me or anything. While I thought Beauty and the beast was completely boring and uncreative. Probably the worst pilot episode I’ve ever seen and the beast isn’t really a beast..he looks like he stepped off of the cover of GQ magazine. But I do agree on the fact that they need to get more serious about new shows. If Arrow succeeds and becomes a big hit for the network that’s really great but I think most of us know that TVD and SPN are on there way out soon and obviously 90210 is as well. Gossip girl ends this year. So there’s one hit..But the network has always had atleast two hits with TVD and SPN But they need to dig for something original and quality for their next show and I seriously doubt that it will be ‘cult’.

  • erin

    Will There be a full season 6 on 90210

  • erin

    @Bill
    Will There be a full season 6 on 90210

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