CW: Woefully Rated 'Nikita' Is Likely To Be Renewed; Wait, WHAT??!!

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 23rd, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 21, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.37
Gossip Girl final season 0.49
90210 :| :| :| 0.62
Emily Owens, M.D. :| :| :| 0.62
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.74
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 1.17
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.60
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.79

-
Nikita premiered with a "look away" bad 0.3 adults 18-49 rating for its third season. However, when the CW renewed the already poorly rated Nikita for a third season last spring, co-owner Warner Brothers (that produces Nikita) put a stake in the ground that should get it a fourth season to reach 88 episodes for stripped syndication. The other co-owner of the CW, CBS, has done this before with their low rated dramas (most recently, The Good Wife), and I predict will do it again (Blue Bloods, Hawaii Five-0).

I'm not going to guarantee Nikita will air during the broadcast season, perhaps the CW will do with it as they have America's Next Top Model and push it off to a mostly or all summer schedule, but those 88 episodes are going to get made, last spring's renewal all but guarantees it.

Emily Owens, MD premiere ratings were woeful too, and it'll probably be in the headline next week.

Because the folks at the CW seem to like short final seasons for their veteran shows, I assume 90210 will be renewed for a 13 episode final season next year, even with its terrible ratings. They could certainly change their tune and cancel it though if schedule time next season gets tight.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Raykim

    2013-2014 fall
    MONDAY
    -Copeland Prep
    -Nikita

    TUESDAY
    -Hart of Dixie
    -Alice in Wonderland (Wunderland)

    WEDNESDAY
    -Arrow
    -Supernatural

    THURSDAY
    -The Vampire Diaries
    -Sleepy Hollow

    FRIDAY
    -Amazon
    -Beauty & the Beast

  • Brandy

    Bizzaro, you’re right.according to today’s DVr L+SD+7D 90210& GG get 50% increase to 0.7& HoD a60% to 0.8 & VD got a 30% increase and Arrow & Beauty & Beast got a 21% increase from DVr.I didn’t see anything about Nikita but last year, it got a 0.7 with DVr but now probably a 0.4.

  • Kate

    90210 and GG get a 75% DVR increase, not 50%.

  • Hades

    even with those Live+7 gains 90210, GG and HOD look poor. 0.7, 0.7 and 0.8 respectively were still lower than what the rest of the CW line up that achieved live +SD.

    While we have no DVR numbers for SPN that week, Arrow was up to a 1.7 and 5.1 million viewers, Beauty a 1.5 and 3.8? million viewers and TVD up to a 2.1 and 4.1 million viewers.

    Its going to be interesting to see the figures as the season goes on.

  • Bizarro

    @Hades
    This is good for Beauty and we will see how it helps the older shows like 90210 which they renewed based on DVR ratings before because DVR ratings don’t usually help the freshman shows get renewed.

  • Anthony C.

    CW 2013-2014 Fall Schedule

    Mondays:

    8:00pm- Hart Of Dixie
    9:00pm- The Carrie Diaries

    Tuesdays:

    8:00pm- The Hundred
    9:00pm- Supernatural

    Wednesdays:

    8:00pm- Arrow
    9:00pm- Sleepy Hollow

    Thursdays:

    8:00pm- The Vampire Diaries
    9:00pm- Embrace

    Fridays:

    8:00pm- Misfits
    9:00pm- 90210(13 Episode Final Season)/The Selection(January 2014)

  • peter

    What syndicated network will buy a show which pulls in less then one million viewers and has no fan base. Gossip girl which rated around 0.6 last year and has a huge buzz around it struggled to find someone to buy its rights

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures