FOX: 'Ben And Kate' Is Likely To Be Canceled, The Extra Episodes Just Postpone The Date

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 23rd, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 21, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) final season 0.48
The Mob Doctor :oops: 0.55
Ben And Kate :cry: :cry: 0.75
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
The Mindy Project :) :) :) :) 0.97
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
The Cleveland Show :) :) :) :) 1.03
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.15
American Dad already renewed 1.19
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Family Guy already renewed 1.57
The Simpsons already renewed 1.61

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The fact that Ben And Kate received a full season order shouldn't give any comfort to its fans about its renewal prospects. With last week's terrible 1.2 adults 18-49 rating, it's now fallen into the "likely to be canceled" range. If you want to look at it from an either/or perspective, assuming Fox wants to keep its 2 hours of sitcoms on Tuesday, and New Girl and Raising Hope are a given for next season, they're going to want to introduce at least one new sitcom, so the lower rated of Ben And Kate and The Mindy Project is on it's way out. The higher rated of the two might be as well, but we'll have plenty of time to talk about that for the rest of the season.

Fox's The Mob Doctor is still certain to be canceled even if it airs through the month of November, and beyond!

Raising Hope is now predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • senor chang

    Shame Ben and Kate has bombed so far. Of course the one show I picked up this year would be subjected to this fate.

  • @ramirescl

    Good news for Raising Hope.

  • Karyn

    The only thing I can see saving Ben and Kate is if FOX decides it wants to pull an ABC have some 13 episode shows in the tank to avoid hiatus issues, but I don’t think that’s very likely. They seem to be heavily investing in comedy development, so it’s more likely they’ll be clearing things out than holding things in reserve.

  • Jimmy

    Poor Ben & Kate…it lost me though after the 3rd episode. The numbers are so sad.

  • atlanta

    FOX is a mess, can say there is only one drama that I watch now, there was a time when FOX was all that I watched. Sad. The comedies suck, I am discovering ABC and CBS again.

  • SarahL

    Better Ben and Kate than The Mindy Project.

  • tv#1

    Possible Fox Mid-season schedule…

    Mon:
    Bones
    The Following

    Tue:
    Glee
    New Girl
    The Mindy Project

    Wed:
    American Idol

    Thur:
    American Idol Results
    The Goodwin Games
    Raising Hope

    Fri:
    Kitchen Nightmares
    Touch

    Sun:
    The Cleveland Show/Ben and Kate
    The Simpsons
    Bob’s Burgers/The Cleveland Show
    Family Guy
    American Dad

  • THE OLD MAN

    “Maw Maw” is such a National Treasure as is Cloris Leachman, so hoping RH is a definite lock

    Ben & Kate, The Mob Doctor–alas, not long on FOX

  • jon

    My assumption is theyre waiting til January to outright cancelled it because they space for the Goodwin Games. But based on the preview if the Good win Games outright bombs….i can see Ben and Kate come back to finish the season giving false hope to fans before getting cancelled.

    @Bill….what do u think? Since Fox is really set on this two hr comedy block.

  • Tony ^_^

    I think FOX really wants the Tuesday comedy block to work, so I don’t think they’ll move “Glee” back to Tuesday.

    If “Raising Hope” does moderately well for the majority of the season, it will be renewed for a fourth season. Not to mention that it was FOX’s first comedy in a long time to get decent numbers and not be cancelled after its first season. :p So FOX will not cancel it without a decent finale. Lol…

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “My assumption is theyre waiting til January to outright cancelled it because they space for the Goodwin Games. But based on the preview if the Good win Games outright bombs….i can see Ben and Kate come back to finish the season giving false hope to fans before getting cancelled.

    @Bill….what do u think? Since Fox is really set on this two hr comedy block.”

    B&K has less than a 22 episode order, and my guess is that it airs all the episodes ordered and then The Goodwin Games takes its timeslot after it’s done. There won’t be any announcement by Fox until its not on their 2013-14 schedule announced in May.

  • SJ

    Ben and Kate is so much better than The Mindy Project. I hope that TMP goes at the end of the season as well. The Goodwin Games looks promising. I can see it pairing well with Raising Hope, which is just as hilarious as ever this season.

  • Kate

    If The Goodwin Games does worse then Ben and Kate do you think they will renew Ben and Kate for a second season over TGG or do you think that they’ll get rid of both and try something new in the time slot next season?

  • madbengalsfan85

    @tv#1 If (Big if) Glee does get moved, it will be to Mondays (Giving The Following the Idol lead-in). Fox doesn’t want to break up their 2 hr comedy block on Tuesdays

  • Jonny C…. formerly Jon

    @Kate most likely the latter cuz Fox will need space for next season, and unless The Mindy Project does worse than Ben & Kate ( which I doubt even with the spring erosion that occurs every year) Ben & Kate are done for.

  • RG-X

    What?! Come on – Why do I keep falling for new shows so early?!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “or do you think that they’ll get rid of both and try something new in the time slot next season?”

    Definitely that.

  • Ricky

    Now if only Mindy could slip and fall the same way B&K did…then RH and Goodwin Games can possibly both survive into 2013-14!

    If you wanna have some fun, come play the Elimination Game: http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/10/09/play-the-elimination-game/152342/comment-page-15/#comments

  • Hugo

    Why wouldn’t Glee be moved back on Tuesdays though? It IS a comedy (and is nominated as such in awards ceremonies) therefore it would fit in Fox’s comedy Tuesdays scheme.

  • madbengalsfan85

    @ Hugo…FOX is doing to Tuesday what CBS has done with Monday, four comedies in a two hour span (Same concept as Animation Domination on Sundays). An hour-long show like Glee doesn’t fit the mold

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