Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from September 17-October 21, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Fringe (F)||final season||0.48|
|The Mob Doctor||0.55|
|Ben And Kate||0.75|
|The Mindy Project||0.97|
|The Cleveland Show||1.03|
|American Dad||already renewed||1.19|
|Family Guy||already renewed||1.57|
|The Simpsons||already renewed||1.61|
The fact that Ben And Kate received a full season order shouldn't give any comfort to its fans about its renewal prospects. With last week's terrible 1.2 adults 18-49 rating, it's now fallen into the "likely to be canceled" range. If you want to look at it from an either/or perspective, assuming Fox wants to keep its 2 hours of sitcoms on Tuesday, and New Girl and Raising Hope are a given for next season, they're going to want to introduce at least one new sitcom, so the lower rated of Ben And Kate and The Mindy Project is on it's way out. The higher rated of the two might be as well, but we'll have plenty of time to talk about that for the rest of the season.
Fox's The Mob Doctor is still certain to be canceled even if it airs through the month of November, and beyond!
Raising Hope is now predicted as "certain to be renewed" even with its somewhat weak early ratings. While the syndication gods ruling Fox aren't quite as predictable as those ruling CBS, it would take nothing short of a cataclysm to prevent the show from getting a fourth season.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.